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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    While he led the league in K's 4 times, he also led the league in walks twice and had over 100 BBs 8 times in his career. (He only qualified in PAs, eleven years.) He had a .385 OBP from 2004 to 2009. If Dalbec can do anywhere near this... POW! Even at the end of his career, he managed a decent .329 OBP from 2010-2014.
  2. moonslav59
    How about... "Ball- Deck?"
  3. moonslav59
    Can't really argue, but I still have the CC dump at #3. I loved the OCab deal, but it was for just 3 months. (maybe #7) Beckett & Lowell helped bring us the 2007 ring, but we gave up a lot (Maybe #6). The Schill trade was very nice, but DLR did put up a 107 ERA+ in his first 4 years w COL. (111 year 2-4). Schill's playoff heroics will never be forgotten. (#4 or 5) Chris Freakin' Sale! What can I say? We gave up a lot, but the jury is still out on them. (#4- maybe 5, but I'd say ahead of Schill.)
  4. moonslav59
    Yes. Dunn's career OBP was .364. He was under-rated due to the high K rate. (His D did not help, but Dalbec is not bad on D.)
  5. moonslav59
    This kid is for real. Forget the K's. His OBP cancels that out, and his HRs make him a big plus. ROY, baby! (Sarcasm alert, perhaps.)
  6. moonslav59
    1. Pedro 2. VTek & Lowe 3. Dodger Dump
  7. moonslav59
    You keep bringing him up as about the worst case scenario possible. Yes, much can happen, but your mentioning Pablito so often seems to indicate you see this as Raphael's path. Or not.
  8. moonslav59
    That's what makes the trade so fascinating. I rank it as a top 3 Sox trade of all time.
  9. moonslav59
    I've said this all along.
  10. moonslav59
    Agreed. Chavis and Arroyo will get every chance to win a more permanent spot of the roster. If either fails, give Munoz a second look-see.
  11. moonslav59
    Yes. Will it be 2021? IDK
  12. moonslav59
    Plus, that trade, IMO, just happened to be one of the best trades the Sox have ever made, so there is that component to the deal.
  13. moonslav59
    His highest OPS by team was with the Sox at ages 29-30. .895 BOS .888 SDP (ages 24-28) .793 LAD (ages 31-35) .673 TEX (ages 22-23) .672 NYM (age 36) He followed the bell curve pretty closely (kinda flat at the top): 862>849>871>958>904>957>806>803>817>830>784>642>
  14. moonslav59
    I never said career 1.050. I'm talking a season or two at around 1.050 when he reaches peak prime. A hitter has hit over 1.050 forty-six times since 2000. A hitter has hit over 1.030 nearly seventy times since 2000, including JD Martinez, Ozuna, Jim Edmonds, Brian Giles and Carlos Pena. I don't think it's a stretch to think Devers has a season around 1.050 in the next 1-4 years. I'm not big on comparing Devers to Big Papi, and Papi was somewhat of a "late bloomer." He actually had his 4th best OPS year in his final season at age 40! Papi did follow, almost perfectly, a blee curve from ages 24 to 33, then saw a second bell curve from 33-38 or 39. 24-33 810> 799>839>961>983>1001>1049>1066>877>794 33-40 794>899>953>1026>959>873>913>1021
  15. moonslav59
    I realize I could be wrong. I once projected 50 HRs from AGon. Devers is a pure hitter. He's played at every level at the youngest age. He's still 1-3 years from peak prime. I'm just expecting a bell curve.
  16. moonslav59
    I added Chavis: Cordero 573 vs LHP/ Arroyo is 597 vs LHP/ Gonzalez is 724 vs LHP/ Chavis .699 vs LHP Renfroe 717 vs RHP/ Arroyo is 678 vs RHP/ Gonzalez is 732 vs RHP/ Chavis .740 vs RHPs (reverse split for Arroyo & Chavis)
  17. moonslav59
    My math skills are going downhill, fast!
  18. moonslav59
    I'm talking over 1.050 and 50 HRs! Yes, BLOW AWAY! He's still a couple years from peak prime, and his "rawness" is wearing off.
  19. moonslav59
    I would flip JD and Dalbec. Dalbec has "more to prove" than JD. I could see Cordero maybe not starting vs LHPs, but he should get a chance to show what he can do versus them. If he struggles, we could play EHern in CF vs lefties and Arroyo, Chavis or Marwin at 2B (batting them 9th).
  20. moonslav59
    I thought it was pretty clear I was comparing EHern to the Holt we saw with the Sox, not the much older one. I try to spell things out more clearly going forward.
  21. moonslav59
    There is still a real possibility that Devers can blow away his 2019 season. I'm more than just hopeful he can do that. I am fairly confident he will.
  22. moonslav59
    I'm hopeful Ottavino can win the job and do well. Our starters and pen should be much better than last year, so maybe we can reduce the amount of save opportunities available to blow.
  23. moonslav59
    You're welcome. My focus was on the top 6-7 in the line-up, but I think many are short-changing our 7-9 hitters. True, some other teams have deeper and stronger bottom of the orders, but our bottom 7-9 willbe better than most and maybe even better than 20-24 other teams. Vaz has a .798 OPS with 30 HRs in about 700 PAs from 2019-2020. That's a damn good 7-9 hitter. EHern is not a bad hitter at all. He should hit about .750. That leaves Renfroe of Cordero (off-handed) or Arroyo, Chavis or Marwin, if EHern plays CF. This may be our weakest slot in the line-up, but there is some hope it's not all that bad, and we have 5 guys to choose from as the hottest of them all.
  24. moonslav59
    While line-ups may not mean much, batting someone first or ninth means a lot more of less PAs for Kiki. In 2019, the number 1 slot had 241 more PAs than our # 9 slot.
  25. moonslav59
    Not sure, but fangraphs projected 87.
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