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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Singing to the choir. Chavis is the kid I most traded on the BTV site, but I've argued he deserves a long look, this year. I'm a huge Dalbec and Devers fan, so I don't want him playing there, except for normal rest days. I also like EHern in CF. That leaves Chavis beating out Arroyo and Marwin for most of the 2B duties in my book. I think Cora wants EHern more at 2B, so let's see.
  2. 90% of his errors are throwing, so 1B seems obvious, if he can't fix the arm issues. Throwing issues at 1B are not as much of an issue. He's got a plus glove and range. That's not just my opinion. The data backs it up. Believe what you want, but he's no where near as bad as you think he is. If he was a 24 year old in AA, you'd say give him more time, but you are penalizing him for being called up at such a young age. He showed growth from year 1 to year 2 and from year 2 to year 3. He regressed in 2020, but that was one Eff'd up short season. A few mishaps in ST'ing is not reason enough to bump him to DH, where we are paying someone $22M to play, and JD can't play anywhere else but DH. There is no other option but to jerk him to 1B with less than 3 weeks to opening day. I'd argue that is no option, either. Live with it. If he sucks on D this year, the move to 1B- not DH- will be obvious and successful. Book it.
  3. I've always been one who does not take ST'ing games and stats all that seriously, but Dalbec is for real.
  4. 40HRs and 400Ks is fine with me, as long as his OBP is above .330. (I think it will be above .345.)
  5. He's got very quick reflexes and is faster than someone his size would be expected to be. He was a plus on defense in 2019- the whole year. He was 22, then. Many players are barely in AA at that point. If he was 26 or 27, you'd have a point. Also, have you seen how slow many 1Bmen are in MLB, now? Devers would be a plus 1Bman within 1-2 years, if he's moved there. He will not be a DH, until many years from now. Now, can he become the next Pablito, as harmony keeps mentioning? Sure, but I doubt it. He just turned 24. Give him another year like most 24-25 year olds get.
  6. He did say "send him down," but I think he went back and edited that out and just put move to "DH." I'm not sure why he can't be fine at 1B, if he doesn't work out at 3B.
  7. Assuming he gets to .850+, he seems like the ideal #5 hitter. Versus LHP #4 is fine, too.
  8. I’m perfectly fine with moving Devers to 1B, if he shows no improvement.
  9. It's most likely Cora's call.
  10. He gets a full year, unless he totally sucks, this year. Dalbec will get some time at 3B, so we can see how he looks, too. If JD struggles, it might be easier to play Devers at DH, some, but he's not playing 1B, this year. From 2019-2020, Devers places 26th out of 37 3Bmen in UZR/150 with 500+ innings at 3B (-1.3). From 2017-2018, Devers placed 40th out of 46 3Bmen in UZR/150 with 500+ innings at 3B (-7.2). While that certainly is not great, when you look at his age and progress, he deserves a longer look. Again, if there ever was a Sox season for giving players another look, it would be 2021.
  11. Serious as a heart attack, jacko, and the numbers back me up. His low UZR/150 is fueled totally by his errors and low DPs- mostly due to throwing. Fangraphs career numbers: UZR/150 +6.5 Range (league avg in 2020: 0.0) -15.4 Errors (mostly on throws)- league avg in 2020: 5.6 -3.0 DPs (my guess is throwing badly)- league avg in 2020: 0.0 Inside Edge 2.9% of remote plays 19.0% unlikely plays 55.4% of even plays 74.5 % of likely plays 93.5% of routine plays I'll compare Devers to someone you actually might know something about- Kris Bryant (#25 out of 51) and Justin Turner (#26 out of the top 51 3Bmen in innings played since 2016): Bryant/Turner UZR/150 +0.7/-0.1 Range +0.6/+3.8 Errors +0.1/-2.7 DPs Inside Edge 0.0/ 2.0% remote 11.5/ 16.1% unlikely 49.3/ 57.4% even 70.8/ 83.3% likely 95.2/ 97.1% routine Devers holds his own on remote, unlikely and even plays. He botches easy ones and throws poorly. Plus, you do realize he just turned 24. Dalbec was in the minors at that age.
  12. I would not be surprised if Dalbec is the better defensive 3B, right now, or that Devers could become a plus 1Bman faster and easier than a plus 3Bman, but I think Devers deserves at least another year to show what he can do at 3B. (He's younger than Dalbec.) Like, is there a chance we win it all, this year, anyway, and swapping these two ruins those chances? Let's find out, once and for all, if Devers can play 3B. I'm already on record as saying Verdugo belongs in RF, so I'm 100% with you, there. I'm fine with EHern & Cordero playing CF, with Cordero playing some in LF, too, if he proves he belongs. I love Cora. I once called him the Sox best manager of all time, so yes, I trust his opinion more than my own.
  13. Fred was unbelievable on defense and what a plus his offense was.
  14. Take another look at the "enormous sample size" and remember that Devers was called up very young and spent his whole minor league career playing in leagues where he was the youngest player. UZR/150 -11.5 in just 508 innings his first year at 20 freaking years old! -5.2 in his first full season at age 21 and showing real progress. +2.4 at age 22. YES, he went plus by age 22. Then, in the messed up COVID season of 2020, where he played just 475 innings at age 23, he regressed to -10.6. Overall, he's at -3.8. It was at -0.9 from 2018-2019 in 2370 innings, but go ahead and count his last 475 sample size as enormous. I, for one, am thinking a guy who just turned 24 deserves some slack and the chance to show he can continue the improvement he was showing before last year's cluster f__k season. He's got plus range and a strong arm. He needs to improve his accuracy and footwork. He's 24.
  15. Thanks, Bell. Tremendous article.
  16. Devers go down, as in demote to AAA? Sometimes you crack me up. Other times, I scratch my head. Arauz gets 2 rbi, and you choose this game to decide to DFA him, too? Pivetta could be the dark horse that gives us just enough to get over the top and make the playoffs. (I like his chances better than Perez or Houck for 2021.) Hall is not on the 40 man roster, so DFA'ing him doesn't matter.
  17. 23 days to opening day!
  18. LaRoche was actually not bad. I'm not sure what Theo saw in Kotchman, The Rays, of course, got one last .800 year out him a couple years after us. (He had one .840 season with the Angels long before us. LaRoche had an .834 OPS in his previous 6 seasons before the trade to us. He had a few good seasons after us, too.
  19. Adam Everett- traded as a prospect for Carl Everett.
  20. Since there is no AAA until May, maybe they decide Duran would do better being on the 26 man roster, even if he doesn't play everyday. I'd like to see Munoz get another chance, too. I don't see why Wilson should play over anyone, unless there are 2-3 OF injuries or issues.
  21. Gotcha. Yes, I too am hopeful many of our promising prospects will produce in the next 2-4 years. We need a few to do well to have a better chance at winning it all again.
  22. I hope so, but we are talking about 2021. Yorke is largely unknown.
  23. I would prefer Munoz, too, but I trust Sox management to know if Arroyo is worth keeping around. I agree on Downs. I also kind of feel the same about Duran.
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