This is all true. Where some of us seem to run into disagreement on is how long of a sample size do you give/need?
I tend to want longer sample sizes than most here, but I'm not claiming to know more than anyone else. I may disagree with team management on some decisions or choices, but I trust they know more than I do.
For a player like Cordero, who has "all the tools" and has shown some success is very scattered and small samples sizes over several year, couples with the fact that last season was one giant cluster-you-know-what, probably deserved an extra long look and chance to find a groove or show what he can do. As much as it hurt the team, with AAA not playing in April, he was kind of locked into the 26 man roster. I still think he can work his way back to the big club over the length of the team control we have on him. What he does in the minors may determine his ability to stay on the 40 man roster once the 5-6 rule 5 players are added in December.
Chavis has some decent numbers in the bigs, spread out over 3 seasons, despite the high K rate and seemingly an inability to fix the holes in his swing. Once can argue his career numbers are fueled by a couple hot streaks in his career, but that can be said about a lot of players with samples sizes under 650. I was hoping he'd get an extra long look this year- not really because I think he'll be great or even good, but mostly so we can determine if he deserves a roster spot going forward. I hate holding onto AAAA type players, always wondering if they coulda been more, while taking up a roster space of someone more promising. If possible, find out what they got and move on. The 2021 season seemed perfect for this idea, until we started off winnings so much.
Dalbec is a hard cookie to evaluate. His high OBP and power in the minors is not something you see often in a guy who K's 25-30% of the time. High OBP does not always translate to the bigs, and it hasn't really all that much, so far with Dalbec, but he doesn't even have 250 ML PAs, yet, and those 237 PAs are spread over 2 seasons. To me, he deserves a very long look, but with a team looking to make the playoffs, that is not always easy to do, when the guy is struggling vs RHPs so much. If you straight platoon him, now, he'll never be able to work on his swing vs righties- something he needs to do to become a solid player, and something we need to know if he can learn sooner rather than later. The guy is older than Verdugo and Devers. I'm not sure more time in the minors will tell us anything more than what we already know.
I'd have no problem with the Sox letting all these three go, if I felt they all had a legitimate chance to prove they belong. I don't think any have, yet.
I also don't think any are playing well enough, right now, to be FT players on a playoff team. Dalbec is vs LHPs, and I thought Chavis was looking okay in a very small sample size, but Santana looks better and Kike & Arroyo returned, so that was that.
I hope Chavis and Cordero do well in AAA, and Dalbec makes the adjustments needed to stick around, but the more these guys play, the more we'll know.