I did not say I was right about the cliff. I was just describing my feelings about DD when he was here and when he was let go.
I don't think it's fair to call 2019 as part of the "cliff" but some might.
I do think the expectations going into this year and the decision not tp spend over the tax line we a result of "the cliff." (I also thought the cliff would start around 2021, so I was wrong about that, too.
We certainly bounced back much quicker than I expected, so the term "cliff" does ring rather hollow, but we did feel some of the effects in 2019 and 2021. Just because 2020 was shortened doesn't change the fact that we sucked.
The main point I kept saying over and over was that the system had changed making it harder for winning and high-spending teams to rebuild their farms while winning at the same time. A few things happened:
1) DD drafted better than I expected with such low picks, and I often gave him credit for that.
2) Bringing Bloom in to rebuild the farm was a stroke of genius.
3) Losing big in 2020 allowed two major things to happen:
A. We were able to trade players for prospects that we could not have done, if we kept winning.
B. We got a nice draft pick in 2021 and turned it into the best player in the draft by many accounts.
C. We also will have a decent comp pick, next draft for not signing Fabian.
4) Not going over the tax line in 2021 without causing major grief among the Sox faithful will likely set us up nicely for a return to glory much sooner than I expected.
5) Bloom stealing Whitlock from the Yanks was a major get. (Who expects Rule 5 picks to do this?)
I'm thrilled the "cliff" was so short, or if you please, never really happened.
It wouldn't be the first time I was wrong and won't be the last.
BTW, on DD's massive quantity of prospect trades, I was only against 2 of the deals: Kimbrel and Pomeranz, and I later admitted DD won those trades. (I was wrong, then, too, although Pom didn't really help us win a ring, and Kimbrel scared the beJesus out of us in the 2018 playoffs. They guys we gave up amounted to little more than squat.)