2024 ZiPS Projections for the Sox:
FWAR
2.6 Bello
2.2 Sale
2.1 Pivetta
1.8 Crawford
1.5 Houck
1.0 Murphy+Walter+Drohan
4.1 Pen
3.6 3B- Devers
3.4 SS- Story
2.4 1B- Casas
2.4 DH- Yoshida
2.3 RF- Dugo
2.0 2B- EValdez & Co.
1.9 LF- Abreu/Yoshi
1.9 CF- Duran/Rafaela
1.5 C- Wong/McGuire
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2024-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/
The Red Sox look like an 80–86 win team or so. That kind of team can surprise, and with the coins flipping a bit different last year, they could have made a real wild card run. The Orioles, Blue Jays, and Rays are a clear tier above them, though, and when all is said and done by winter’s end, I think the Yankees may be as well. But that last question is a tale for another ZiPS entry.