sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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An improvement in approach and a juiced ball means a heckuva season.
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It IS a good deal - but if we are picking door number Bogaerts when the choice is Bogaerts v Betts (if it comes to that), yikes.
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Given the scale of the moves - I have to assume that ownership had to green light the big ones. The Sale and Price deals were too big to have been done without ownership weighing in. Dombrowski had just left Detroit - there was a clear MO. Henry knew this would happen and is basically using him as a human shield because the team did not make the playoffs. Henry has done this before so this is not tin foil hat stuff. Also note that Henry's issue is payroll, not the farm per se. Dombrowski maybe traded one prospect (Kopech) we'll really miss.
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He'll opt out if they intend to trade him ... and I suspect the team and his agent will be somewhat open here. It'd be bad future business for the Red Sox to doublecross him.
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He's will be woeth every penny for whomever has him - now within the Red Sox contract universe there are complications. But 26 year old superstars are not things big market teams should be dumping willy nilly. But Henry wants to cut costs - and he is the biggest controllable future cost. It's depressing to consider but he is clearly greasing the skids for it. In some ways this eventuality is a reason why I low key did not understand the Bogaerts extension.
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I don't want to deal Betts - but that would be a direction change severe enough for Dombrowski and management to not see eye to eye on. The one thing I don't bet on is Henry's consistency.
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Right. My issue with the Dombrowski thing is that Henry is not copping to being responsible for the directive. It's a demanding fan base - like it should be for the prices they pay - and Henry has consistently shown very little stomach for absorbing criticism when anything does not turn out amazing.
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You spelled Mookie wrong
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Porcello at his current salary is insane. But bringing back Porcello for a lower number is not because of the durability. He had a terrible season - but stylistically can probably still be a useful back end starter. Weirdly his batted ball stats did not change all that much - at least in terms of hard contact. But he allowed more fly balls, and in juiced ball 2019 that is a very bad thing.
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It's a large budget. Now I am not sure that GMs will so obviously see it. "Okay, to the guy asked me to cash in our farm assets for the major league club. The boss greenlighted all these extensions and then sacked me when the talk show callers got mad at the team." This is a desirable job - but it's pretty great that the Steinbrenners are demonstrably better bosses.
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I don't think anyone will be scared per se - there are only 30 of these gigs. But ownership cannot credibly assure a GM he will get 4 or 5 years with full confidence.
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Given Henry's comments about the luxury tax, and clashes with Dombrowski about the future ... I expect both to be gone. I would not be surprised if Dombrowski did not actually want to be on hand when Betts is on the Dodgers next year. The Red Sox will find someone fine - I don't think EVERYONE will be scared away. But ownership has shown little appetite for standing behind their hires when things aren't amazing.
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What is interesting is that Dombrowski really did in his drafting reflect a bit of a sea change from the predecessors who often chose the relative safety of position players. But Dombrowski actually drafted pitchers. Of course Groome gets hurt right away - and that shows the risk in the approach. But acquiring pitching talent has decidedly been an organizational blind spot.
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The Yankees organizationally have had a lot of luck getting more mileage out of those AAAA/utlility guy sorts than any team in the league, and it has been pretty consistent.
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There was a lot fluky in the starting pitcher performance - it is weird to see only Rodriguez do better, and everybody else go markedly worse. Overall a disappointing year - easy to overreact to, with ample evidence being demonstrated by the principals.
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I think this is a fairer take - if there were issues on that end, and ownership was not let in on it, that is a different issue. Listen, the Red Sox will land someone good - this is a prestigious gig, and Sam Kennedy has a better reputation than Lucchino as far as being easy to work with. But whichever of your Hoyers, McLeods, Swadiye's or anyone else gets hired, there has to be some commitment to giving him time. Especially if the guy is going to be, um, encouraged, to deal Betts.
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Considering the injury trouble in the rotation, this team is still going to win 85 games. There is nothing in this claim that really justifies Henry's whiplash. He's basically running the team like a WEEI caller. Remember, this "cliff" year includes three players who will get MVP votes and another who will appear on at least a couple of Cy Young ballots. There are some reasonable regression arguments for being in the mix next year. 118 wins was not a realistic assessment of the roster, but then neither is 85. Again, it's weird to see an owner who acts so dispassionately in his actual business (And in Liverpool FC if you follow them) behave so rashly the way he has with this team over the decade.
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I am fairly optimistic. Strikeouts were still there, WHIP was good. He struggled with men on base, which seems fluky. Ultimately - and this is a little cliche - his mistakes were hit very hard. He seemed to be one of the prime victims of the juiced ball, not getting the movement on the slider at times.
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I am inclined to blame ownership about as much as DD for it - there was no reason to do it before the season. Henry is not in the dark here. I look at it this way. If ownership prioritized the farm, then they would have hired somebody else besides Dombrowski to run the operation. But Henry was itchy to win again, so this is what happened. This is the sort of instability folks teased Steinbrenner about in the 80s. Now, there are a lot of Red Sox alums out there GM-wise who know the landscape which will help.
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This team has 3 players who are going to get MVP votes this year and one who will get a couple of Cy ones and somehow won't get 90 wins. It was all about the starting pitching collapsing.
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I think a lot of the staff thought Swihart had the most raw talent of their catchers and it was worth looking into it. It didn't work out - though the FO did steer out of it fairly quickly.
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The Sale extension doesn't happen without ownership greenlighting it.
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Or he was scapegoated by an ownership that has shown a history of being very reactionary. Dombrowski's MO was well known. Henry brought him in to fix the major league club.
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It is probably simplistic. While it could explain the slow start, it does not explain why it never got better (except for a light stretch). What could be argued is that the slow start meant the bullpen got burned out very quickly.
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Dombrowski did exactly what his boss wanted him to do. And so the team will have its 4th GM in 7 years while the Yankees GM has somehow lasted 22 years. Those two titles are awesome though.