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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. 1 mistake ruined a good outing. Yesterday was about the offense.
  2. Also 3 years older than Porcello at the time all of this happened.
  3. Stolen bases are awesome. Fun TV, I love em. And they are more important in a lower scoring environment. But Earl Weaver's ideas about offense are still the more accurate ones.
  4. When a guy goes, it is possible that the batter is less inclined to take a pitch he'd normally take.
  5. The march towards history continues tonight.
  6. Oh sure Verlander wasn't - but every manager would give him benefit of the doubt there. Ausmus has generally done a not good job - but not for that.
  7. I am sure it helped a little. At the same time, Pedroia's numbers have been relatively consistent regardless of what was going on in front of him.
  8. Considering the top 3 starters were three of the last 4 Cy Young Award winners - that hardly seems to be a dig.
  9. Indeed - that said for him to reach a consistent 3-4 win level (i.e. what he is being paid for allegedly) ... an uptick in the strikeouts would be a good thing
  10. Castellanos had a bad year in the field - but it was not much worse than Cabrera and since Castellanos should improve and he is a living breathing human, he should represent a signficant improvement going forward. Kinsler is above average at 2B, maybe a bit less. Pedroia is one of the very best. Napoli is better than Cabrera at 1B. Miggy is a bad 1B too - better than Fielder but that says more about Prince.
  11. Fielder for Cabrera was a small uptick (if that) at the least essential position. Castellanos was the biggest improvement since he was replacing a catastrophe.
  12. I do agree - a tick up in the K-rate would be a little bit reassuring. Red Sox ARE above average at 3 of the 4 infield spots - although the left side is a little dicier. (because of Bogaerts' uncertainty) I do wonder how many Sox fans actually realize how positive the projections for this team defensively is? Now it got REALLY positive (2nd in the AL) if you accept the pitch framing impact measurements for Vasquez. (and I'm not sure how much Hanigan and co drops off there) But if Bogaerts improves enough and Ramirez does not get totally bamboozled by the Wall like Crawford did, this team should be a very good defensive squad.
  13. The big issue is pitching out of the stretch vs the windup ... there is some substantial difference there with many pitchers. The mythology of the base stealer making pitchers nervous is there - but this isn't 1983. TEAMS just don't run that much anymore. I mean aside from your Dee Gordon or Billy Hamilton outlier, we're still taking about 40-50 steals leading the league.
  14. When we talk affordability, we are discussing two considerations: 1. Is the cost-benefit analysis favorable? 2. Do we have the money? A real world example: I got an estimate to put a second floor on my starter home. It was $X and would increase the house's value by $3X. So CLEARLY it is a good financial move - if I could actually afford the $X (which I can't). The Red Sox basically do not have to worry about the second consideration, and can ALWAYS stretch for a bonanza.
  15. you kidding? They lost 46 times!! A little bit of optimism man!
  16. Porcello's career has been marked by shaky BABIPs and FIPs which trend below his actual ERAs. He has generally played in front of bad defensive teams. Ground ball rates have been excellent and he has been trending positively generally. It will be interesting.
  17. There is a budget yes, but it is a choice. I don't think they are tight but they do have valuations they want to stick with. But in terms of "budget" it is really about how much of John Henry's money does he want to commit vs whether anybody can keep the lights on.
  18. I don't love the rotation - but I am 100% certain that this is not going to be the rotation this team enters crunch time with.
  19. 86-76, wins the division. The 86-76 probably undersells what I think of the Sox qualitywise, but the division is so even that outside of Tampa, it is hard to predict anybody getting away from the field. Now the last two years, in fact a monster team emerged, but predicting four teams around 83-87 wins is the percentage play.
  20. If the catcher defense is good, then things will be fine. The offense was going to be lousy most likely regardless. What might be worrisome is that industry guys absolutely gush about Vasquez' pitch framing and I don't know enough about the other guys to see where they are in that area. But I am assuming it's not "horrible".
  21. The Porcello deal is an overpay. At the same time, does he have a reasonable probability of providing sufficient WAR for the investment? Yes. Absolutely. I have no idea if Betts is going to be a star - but he is doing everything a star does. (handled every jump in level given to him quickly) It's one thing for us to say "slow down, let's be patient with him". But it's another when he is forcing us to believe in him. HamRam will hit, and hit a lot. Question is entirely about keeping him upright. Pedroia of 2013/2014 level offense is a well above average starter (when you consider the defense). Pedroia with his pop back is a legitimate MVP candidate. I am not betting on the latter, but clearly day 1 is positive. Of course besides the small sample size caveat - Philadelphia is a bad team.
  22. I am nervous - to be on the cusp of an undefeated season like this. I hope you all appreciate the history that is being made here.
  23. I don't even think you have to look it up much. As a general rule, every pitcher is at least tried as a starter. There are the odd Craig Hansens or Josh Fields who are drafted to close right away, but those have not turned out well. I think it's just common sense - you try them as starter, but once you conclude the guy doesn't have a third pitch (for instance), then they move to the reliever pile.
  24. The idea that starters can be broken in via the bullpen has been around since Earl Weaver. In a case like Barnes, to me it is less about what is good for him than how can he be maximized. If Barnes has 3 pitches already and is not going to be learning a lot at AAA then he can make a big league contribution. If there is not an opening to start now, the bullpen makes sense - especially with the severe lack of multi-inning guys in the league generally. An innovative idea that I think would make sense these days would be to put a guy like Barnes in your bullpen for semi-planned 40-50 pitch outings. Doing that you could get 100 innings of good relief pitching maybe.
  25. There is some truth here, but it's not like it's 1983. Teams run more now than they did in say 2007, but teams generally don't run all that much. And very very few runners have green lights that the pitchers influence. Hell, the Red Sox led the league in SBs in 2013 based on Jacoby Ellsbury and basically cherry-picking. I am also generally not sure how much catchers influence hit and run calls, which is where significant amounts of "managerial aggressiveness" takes place.
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