sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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He did - but he is also placing a very large bet on Kluber (I don't blame him - if you are going to wager, do it on your ace). Using Miller and Allen for stretches which limit their availability tonight. Also a quiet hat tip to Pomeranz who allowed Farrell to keep the pen on schedule ... you could see right away Porcello was in trouble - strikeouts yes, but everything was high in the zone
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Last night was frankly pretty good tactical work across the board - really Porcello stunk and that was the extent of it. Francona clearly managed that game like a man betting on his ace in Game 2. We'll see if it works. He pulled Bauer before the Sox big bats got that crucial third look at him - and used his best reliever to get through the most vulnerable stretch of the game.
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the fans made him do it
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color guys are fine - Darling in particular. EJ is better in his spot as the world's best studio host
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everything high in the zone so far - Porcello getting some swing and miss, but the location not sharp at all
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i meant to type everything I don't expect WAR's precision to be so great that say a 1-win difference is definitive proof of a better season - but a 2 or 3 win difference gets you more in that direction. Trout and Betts stand alone in bWAR. (though Trout ran away with fangraphs version - basically the defensive measurement is the differential)
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It's not whether he starts - but whether they use him as a matchup lefty or a "2012 Lincecum" 6-out option
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Because WAR does not capture anything and a difference of 1 win can be explained away - but it captures a lot.
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No real issues here - Hernandez vs Merrero is a matter of taste and Hernandez can at least MAYBE be useful with the bat. Barnes over Hembree I also have no real issue with - although Hembree's outstanding numbers against righties made him more interesting to me in this sort of setting. The real question will be how they plan on using Pomeranz - keep him for long relief/mop up (like they did with Dempster in 2013) or deploy him more meaningfully.
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My guess is they look for a reliable right handed corner sort so they have some ways to build a good jobshare at 3B. Could be as simple as keeping Aaron Hill, who probably would be better with a bit more run. Or go for somebody like a Luis Valbuena. Between him and Sandoval (or Shaw), you could assemble a very effective 3B.
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The comeback from 2-0 down in 2003 against Oakland including SURVIVING Grady's first attempt to do that thing he did in that game against that team in the next series deciding game ... and there was always something wobbly about watching Derek Lowe try to get a save like that
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It didn't happen in Cleveland, but that JD Drew Slam in Game 6 ranks way up there in the most out of nowhere big plays
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Being in Fenway for that 21 run explosion in Game 4 was one of my treasured ballpark memories
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It shows that the right decision can have the wrong results anyway ...
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With Kimbrel, burning a couple of good prospects (and all you can do is the valuation at the time) for a reliever makes me puke in my mouth a little - but if you do it, a stud under contract is the guy to do it for. Margot sure looks like a starting CF, granted it would never have happened here.
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A horrible season in a hitter's league. Clearly did not pounce on a pretty good Age 19 season. He's still pretty young - but yeah this was not good.
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Trout and Betts are close enough for there to be a debate. Jack is right on this basic point - if you ding Trout because his team stinks, you are actually evaluating the team and not the player. Ultimately it comes down to Betts' superior defense (since Betts was one of the league's best RF this year) vs Trout just making many many fewer outs (which is what the job of a hitter is)
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More relievers is always a priority - so that has not changed ... for the most part who will be good is hard to gauge so you are probably best just stocking up and seeing what happens Another bat would be helpful - what position is an open question. Obviously if you can get an impact starter you need to look into it.
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Been a long season - the Papi business was worth them enjoying on its own. For all his tactical issues (which are not that bad) - Farrell has had a good read on his clubhouse pretty much all season.
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It would be a bummer. But it has been a resoundingly succesful season. Sox could win it all - Sox could lose in the ALDS. Playoffs are genuinely flukey.
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totally forgot it was 1st and 3rd (not 2nd and 3rd) so could have let Britton pitch to EE anyway
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I think there is enough empirical data that for one game - given the caliber of opposition, being at home is not decisive.
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I don't fault the logic of the trade - I have questions about the specific players ... questions about the specific purchase, not the philosophy of such a purchase (if that makes sense)
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Your numbers are not discussing home field advantage - just home games ... that teams play better at home, which is almost universally true. The question is how much of that comes from the "home" part, and does it matter. The trouble with using playoff home field advantage to glean this is that ... in the 21st century, excepting the World Series, teams with the extra home game are usually "better" than the other team and would be favored in a neutral setting. The definition of the home field advantage is that extra home game ... the decisive game. I only used World Series results to try to control for the fact that in recent times, the home team in those decisive games is usually the better team to begin with.
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Listen - if you take the long view, the Red Sox "lost" the Josh Beckett deal ... but they don't win the 2007 title without Beckett or Lowell, they were difference makers while the party lasted. Nobody weeps about this.