You thought I was going to let this go?
First off, Bard, even if he has an ERA of 4.00, isn't going to pitch 180 innings+. How many innings could he pitch? Maybe 120 max? So we are getting about .6 of the year from him (a year I am counting as 200 IP from a SP). Furthermore, remember that we didn't add Bard to the team; he was already here. So adding him to the rotation will most likely improve it, but it also detracts from the quality of the bullpen. Remember: for the vast majority of the season he was the most effective relief pitcher we had in the pen, until he tired out at the end.
Second, have you looked at our #5 SP recently? They all STINK. Right now, I would be thrilled if they could have an ERA of 5. I don't see that happening in the ALE. Furthermore, assuming that Lester/Beckett/Buchholtz will all remain healthy all year, or even most of it, is a mistake. We are, most likely, going to be seeing a lot of Padilla, Cooke, Germano, and the like in the 5th and 6th positions this year. Looking at it objectively, all we have done is replaced Papelbon with Melancon and Bailey. Thats really not much of a change. And we also have Jenks to look forward to, and its also likely that Albers will return to his career norms that include a career ERA of over 5. We also have Doubront and Bowden, two guys who have shown us nothing so far.
I agree that the offense will continue to be effective, but they were never the problem. Our offense was #1 in OPS and runs scored last year, and we didn't make the playoffs. Its about the PITCHING, and I don't see them as an improved staff right now. I see us as a 90 win team this year..give or take a game or two.