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FredLynn

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Everything posted by FredLynn

  1. FredLynn
    Its likely $13.5M; its only $14M if he finished first or second in Cy Young balloting (http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/buchhcl01.shtml#contracts). The fact of the matter is that he is all ours, probably for the rest of the season. I don't think thats such a bad thing. I am curious to see if somehow he can combine durability with performance, for once, this year.
  2. FredLynn
    If he cannot manage to stay healthy this year or if he cannot perform well then we should definitely see what we can get for him next offseason. In my mind, this is his last chance to that he can pitch at least 170 innings and pitch well.
  3. FredLynn
    The time to trade him has passed. If we were able to get a pitcher equally as good but less fragile during the offseason that would have been a great move. Right now we are going to have to give him a chance to keep healthy, for once. I don't see them getting rid of him this year.
  4. FredLynn
    Lets assume they do the right thing and move Kelly to the pen and keep Wright in the SR. Once ERod returns we would then be pretty well set for our starting five-as long as they stay healthy. I am not sure where they would park another "dependable pitcher" who would, essentially, be our #6 SP. Good #6 SP are hard to come by. I don't see another way to handle it other than assume Buchholz is going to get injured before the season started, trade him, and try to get a "more dependable" SP, if we could find one. Maybe Miley is available again.
  5. FredLynn
    I agree about the fragility issue. Thats his Achilles heel. That said, for the past four years, 2012-2015 inclusive, he has averaged 145 IP with an average ERA+ of 134. Two great years; two bad ones. If you project his salary based on 200 IP (200/145x$13M) you come out at just under $18M/yr for a pitcher with an ERA+ of 134. Ordinarily that would be a great deal for the Red Sox, but because his fragility has additional costs (ie, finding someone else to take his place when he gets hurt) I think its just a fair contract. Basically, I agree with you: its not an overpay. I don't see a pressing need to get rid of him just yet.
  6. FredLynn
    Buchholz has a lifetime ERA+ of 110: above average. Like most pitchers, he has had some good years and some bad ones. Meanwhile, we are paying him just $13M this year and assuming they pick up his option for next year, its $13.5M. In today's market, thats a bargain.
  7. FredLynn
    Approximately four years.
  8. FredLynn
    You're kidding. Another Farrell brain fart.
  9. FredLynn
    Why is Elias even with the club? Surely there has to be better options. When was the last time Koji pitched? This one is in the L column....but win tomorrow and we win the series. Take three from Atlanta and we are in decent shape
  10. FredLynn
    Likewise with JBJ. He has a floor that he needs to meet or one or the other, Vasquez or JBJ, needs to get out of the lineup. None of it will matter if the pitching doesn't improve.
  11. FredLynn
    As I wrote, I am not replacing him right now. I would look at it again in June. If he BA is still below .200 and his OPS is south of .680 I am considering my options. Let me ask you this: what if, hypothetically, Vasquez by June is hitting at .150/.450. Do you keep him in there? What about .120/.400? My point is that there is a number that he has to be able to achieve with the bat or other alternative need to be considered if we want to play October baseball.
  12. FredLynn
    I am not saying that something has to be done about our production from our catcher and starting CF right now; I would give them until June. But if we want to compete for October baseball we cannot have BOTH of those guys stinking it up at the plate. And of course the pitchers have to be much better. Thats a separate issue entirely. One black hole only.
  13. FredLynn
    So you are saying that because our pitching sucks that means that Vasquez and Bradley have acceptable numbers? Perhaps we can score more runs with Swihart or Castillo.
  14. FredLynn
    I don't mind one guy in the lineup not hitting the ball. But when Vasquez is at .146/.498 he IS a problem. He is even a problem if your CF is hitting only .240/.631. You cannot have both of those guys in your lineup hitting like that all year. Right now guys like Shaw and Holt etc are picking up the slack; that can't last at that pace.
  15. FredLynn
    He isn't even consistently good at that. He was good at it last year, but his OPS vs LHP in 2014 was .561 and in 2013 it was .712. Sometimes he is good vs LHP. Its a mysterious move to get him when we already seemed to have that position covered.
  16. FredLynn
    You don't cut him, of course. If he cannot start hitting the ball I would give Swihart a chance as the #1 catcher and make Vasquez a backup. You HAVE TO hit the baseball. Because he is so good defensively I would give him more time and allow less production offensively to keep his job. But at some point he cannot be an automatic out.
  17. FredLynn
    First, thats an exaggeration. He has a lifetime MLB .265 BA and a career 1.8 dWAR. Also, he was out of baseball for so long that its likely he would improve. Chris Young is a lifetime .235 hitter and isn't as good defensively. Castillo at least has a chance to be good with regular reps; we all know Young sucks.
  18. FredLynn
    I never understood why they picked up Young. I would have given Castillo a shot at the job. Right now at Pawtucket he is at .345/.820. Yet Young is still here.....
  19. FredLynn
    They can drop Young too
  20. FredLynn
    I realize that. We can stipulate that they can hit, overall. But their pitching is next to last in ERA in the league. Hard to win that way on a consistent basis, and their record shows it.
  21. FredLynn
    If Vasquez and JBJ don't step it up offensively they may be out of a job. Certainly they should.
  22. FredLynn
    Hard to win when your pitching staff is surrendering over six runs a game OOPS...4.8 RPG
  23. FredLynn
    Thanks Fuchholz
  24. FredLynn
    I agree. What's Zimmer doing ?
  25. FredLynn
    Not move him: release him. Next year its likely that Hanley will move to DH and Sam Travis will be ready to take over at 1B. Sandoval is useless; no one wants him. Thank you very much Ben Cherington. Henry is going to have to eat his contract. The issue is that unless he is on the DL he is taking up a roster spot, one we could be using for someone more functional. I am sure they tried to move him. Who would take him, even for free?
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