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The Boomer

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Everything posted by The Boomer

  1. Actually, I once tried to explain Boston's mascot to some friends in Rio and they thought a pair of socks were the lamest thing ever. This from a country when one of the most popular football team's mascot is a dead, salted codfish.
  2. Letting go of veteran, in-decline players will net you exactly squat in today's market. If it was that easy, then the Cubs and Mets would not have the lineups they do today. If you want value, you have to offer value. It's possible we could trade a Beckett to a contender at the ASB, but they aren't going to be that eager to give up much for him since they's prefer (and can probably get) a cheap rental for a fraction of the cost.
  3. Is that supposed to be a rhetorical question?
  4. How come these adjustments that you want to make don't need to be made when they hurt your case? Like Melancon and Bowden pitching in the #7 and #3 hitters' parks in MLB? Your ERA is your ERA except when you don't like it; then we need to make adjustments for league and division.
  5. Even if the true talent level of the BP is below average, I don't think you can characterize the last three games as below average. So then someone must not be using the talent that is there to best effect. Apparently, Bobby V. agrees with me PA tweets: Bobby Valentine on the #RedSox bullpen: “I’ve just to manage it better, that’s all I think.
  6. You are conflating two distinct points. #1. I currently don't see Lavy and Middlebrooks as able to replace Papi and Youk or even close. I will be happy to revise that opinion as the season goes on. #2. If we are 12 games out of first at the ASB, then moving someone who has value who isn't going to be around long-term and who will be of marginal value to us in 2013-2014 is something to think about. If you do that, then you want high-quality prospects in return who can produce cheaply in 2014 and beyond. None of the names I mentioned are cheap except in MLB terms. Two will be making more than $10 million in 2013. One is a pitcher who has an injury history. All of them should be candidates for trades at the right price. I'd much rather trade Lackey, but I assume he has negative value right now so there's no point. Beckett's contract will highly reduce whatever we get back, so that's not worthwhile since you only do it for real value.
  7. Who's going to start his games then? Plus, IMHO once you've settled on someone you need to stick with it until it's clear it's not working. Everyone knew it was a decision with risk attached to it, but it's a decision that's been made and Bard deserves his shot.
  8. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but you seem to think it will never happen. If we are 12 games out at the ASB, something will happen and it won't be releasing Darnell McDonald.
  9. I don't exactly see why the situations aren't comparable. They are not the same, but they are similar in that both teams have a lot of money invested in high priced talent that may or may not deliver. The Cubs were probably worse off, but not that much worse. I only see 4 players meaningfully coming off the books next year: Papi, Youk, Dice, Jenks. Youk has an option. If none of them come back, then that's $43 million in capacity. However, I don't see a lot of cheap talent to step in and replace that production right away, plus we may need more than a DH and 3B during the off-season. So the team may choose to replenish the farm at the ASB this year by trading some players with value for prospects. It makes a lot of sense if you're not going to make the playoffs in 2012 to trade away a Lester, Buchholz, Ellsbury, etc. if you can get top prospects back.
  10. People said that about the Cubs too, and look where they are. I don't think it's that serious or necessary at this time, but if we are struggling at the deadline there could definitely be a fire sale to free up capacity for next season.
  11. I think we have some options; none of them are fully proven but all have some potential. This is a golden chance for Bobby V. to show how he can creatively manage a bullpen based on matchups, situations, and the talent we have on the team already.
  12. This is the guy who runs the sabr group for the Sox. Math undergrad and Harvard MBA. 10 years at IBM. http://www.sloansportsconference.com/?p=47 Also a Canadian.
  13. It's instructive to compare how things were handled in Atlanta vs. Boston. Both epic collapses, but Atlanta has simply put it behind them and moved on. Boston (including the team, the FO, and the fans) has not. As an old colleague of mine used to say: "If it ain't fix, don't broke it." We'll see if either approach works during the actual season.
  14. If anyone is going to be in Florida on 3/26 and wants to see the Sox play the Phillies in Clearwater, I have a line on 3 Berm tickets for a very good price. Send me a PM if you're interested and I can put you in touch with the seller.
  15. Great minds think alike - I didn't know that but I'm not expecting any royalties either.
  16. I always misspell his last name so I came up with it to save me from looking like a dope.
  17. With Padilla it's probably going to be some of both. I'll bet he throws behind someone's head and gets suspended though. The talent is there but he's a mean SOB.
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