Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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In 2018 the Cubs had 5 relievers with an AAV of $3.5 million or more-Morrow, Cishek, Strop, J Wilson and Duensing. Their total AAV was about $32 million. If Theo is the man, doesn't this suggest it's a sound strategy to spend a bit on the pen?
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Sure, take a risk, Dave. Just make f'ing sure it works.
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What's funny about this particular discussion is that Dombrowski was so heavily criticized by many for not devoting enough attention to the pen in Detroit's years of contention.
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Ben devoted huge resources to acquiring an established closer. Theo has also invested huge resources in his pen starting in 2016 with the trade for Chapman.
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Unfair. Theo would do the same.
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I kind of like moon's idea of signing Cody Allen. Assuming our scouts and analytics guys have figured out what went wrong with him last year and how to fix it.
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As I said in the other thread, this is not just DD's MO. It's no different from what Theo or Ben would do in this position, if you look at their histories.
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It's not something Theo or Ben would do, either. If you look at their histories, most years Theo and Ben went into the season having invested pretty heavily in the bullpen through signings or trades.
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Kind of a false equivalency, I think. Bogaerts is going to be looking for $200 million or so. Signing Kimbrel wouldn't be the difference-maker in keeping Bogey or not. It's not like if we sign Kimbrel we'll have an expensive bullpen compared to other teams. Right now we have a very inexpensive bullpen.
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The Machado decision is going to be huge for the Yankees, one way or the other.
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That's a plausible scenario, except I don't think the Phillis would have gone as high as 350 million. I think the numbers will come in lower than that. How about 8 years, 280 million, opt out after 3. That would be the best contract offer in history based on the AAV and the opt out.
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I agree that Theo was excellent at that. But it must also be noted that the rules in this area have changed substantially, and the 'reward' for letting a free agent walk is pretty small now.
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I really don't know what the answer is. I think any rules we could come up with are going to be arbitrary to some degree. You're always going to get different opinions from different people. We've already heard that one of the voters isn't going to vote for Rivera. Should David Ortiz be in? Schilling? I think they should be, but I realize they are not clear-cut choices.
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I think Kimbrel is in for a big letdown. His numbers were just not very good last year, especially when you include his postseason numbers, which were downright horrible of course. I can definitely see him having to settle for $60 million.
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If CWS and PHI are willing to go 10 years, don't you think they'd also be willing to give him an opt out?
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You are a fearless prognosticator!
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Devers has a better K/BB ratio though. His is about 3/1, whereas WMB's was about 5/1.
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I don't need a twitch test. I already know I'm very twitchy.
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That's for sure.
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We're in no position to be aggressive. Our payroll is already through the roof and our farm is depleted. But we have one hell of a team lined up for 2019. Our stars are all still in prime years. The 2013 team was much more veteran-centric. Really very dissimilar to the 2018 team.
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It's pretty hard to improve on a 119-57 season anyway.
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Paxton is an upgrade if healthy, that's for sure.
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Producing your own superstars is pretty rare, and when it does happen, it's generally because of a very high draft pick-or blind luck. Mookie Betts was blind luck, because there were innumerable opportunities for other teams to grab him before we did.
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Sure, they're only potential improvements. They're certainly attempted improvements. I'm just not sure why dgalehouse spoke as if we haven't done anything yet this offseason.
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I'm easy to please. I love how all those moves worked out for us this year.
