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SoxFanForsyth

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Everything posted by SoxFanForsyth

  1. You need to download Boxee, it runs it so much smoother.
  2. I'm with you man. All I have is MLB.TV and other than that, I don't get to see s***. I am getting the iPhone for Verizon, though, which plays the games live, so at least I'll be able to catch all the games on my phone if I'm away.
  3. Maybe Cashman will sign Scutaro for 3 years/51mm when he turns 37 and comes off his career worst season? :thumbsup:
  4. I'm so incredibly jealous of you people who are buying tickets to the Fens for this summer. :rant: It's 60 degrees in Nashville today, and after it being 30 degrees everyday for the past few weeks, it feels like I should be out buying beer and hot dogs for a Sox/Yanks game tonight. Dammit. :thumbdown 15 days, 19 hours until P&C Report!!
  5. ...which are better than Jeter's 2010 stats As for as Gonzo's 44 blasts, I think Gonzo will hit over 40, so I don't think that's too far of a reach. I think Crawford's average may be a few ticks high, HR a couple low, and Pedroia's HR's are about 5-7 low.
  6. As for Beckett - his fastball got raked last year. From 2007 - 2009, his fastball's runs above average was 17.8, 18.7, and 9.2. Then, in 2010, it dropped to -14.5. His curveball also dropped 4.8 runs above average in comparison to 2009. Last time his wFB was below 0 was in 2006 when he posted a 5.01 ERA. Gotta get that fastball working and stop throwing that cutter so damn much.
  7. I see no indications that Burnett will turn it on and be a high 3 low 4 ERA guy next year. If he pulls his ERA down to 4.50 I'll be impressed to be honest. His curveball, while in 2009 was at 16 runs above average, was at -3.9 in 2010. Not sure if it's mechanics or location, but if he can't fix that, he clearly doesn't have any other pitches that can sustain effectiveness over the course of a season.
  8. Dammit. I hate west coast games. Going to bed at 12:30 am central time is a quick game.
  9. I don't think anyone is arguing that he has the potential for improvement. I'll agree with that, but the thing I don't agree with is calling it a sure thing.
  10. Well even after Eiland came back, he posted a 5.26 ERA. I guess I just don't understand what you're claiming his problem was, other than the alleged divorce (which his Agent denied was even going on). So Eiland isn't the reason, as shown by his stats from June 30 - end of the season. He and his wife, per his agent, weren't going through a divorce, and his agent even said that Colin has "no idea what he's talking about". So, what's going to be different from 2010 to 2011 that would indicate better performance?
  11. I think what you mean is that he's going to be pitching with a dirty butthole. And I agree.
  12. I honestly think Pettitte is going to pull a Clemens and come back half way through the season. And to be fair, if you're going to assume that Burnett bounces back, you have to assume that Beckett will bounce back as well. Physical problems are much easier to accommodate than mental problems. Either way - The difference in ERA was comparing the teams as constructed right now. If Pettitte comes back, the Sox still have an advantage in SP, but it's not nearly as significant.
  13. I don't see how you can possibly say that the Sox don't have an incredibly significant, aka huge, advantage in the SP. Last year, the Sox SP posted a 4.17 ERA, and that was with Wakefield starting 19 games. Last year, the Yankees SP posted a 4.35 ERA, and that was with Pettitte posting a 3.28 ERA. Now you don't have that luxury. In all starts by pitchers not named Andy Pettite, the Yankees posted a 4.51 ERA In all starts by pitchers not named Tim Wakefield, the Red Sox posted a 3.97 ERA A 0.54 difference in ERA is a huge advantage.
  14. Oh I get it. Because the Yankees signed Bartolo Colon. Puns are fun.
  15. We're not purely basing the votes on this, but it would be extremely beneficial to have something as a frame of reference, so that voters have a solid knowledge of how players are doing right now. Without up to date stats, there is a high likelihood of participants using historical stats as a frame of reference rather than current year stats, i.e. Youk vs Chase Headley. If Chase Headley is hitting .374 with 6 HR in our first month, and Youk is hitting .305 with 4 HR, people will still sway their votes because Headley may go unnoticed as he plays for a west coast middle of the pack team. While Youk is going to get partial treatment because he plays for the team that we all watch every night. All it's doing is making information available. It's not a ranking system, but it is giving information to the participants.
  16. Just let me know if you want me to do this. I'll be happy to do it, and I think it will be a very useful tool for judgement. Just looking at the rankings from this past week, I was looking at the teams and thinking "Crap, I can't remember much about this guy" and really want to avoid that problem in the future.
  17. I disagree. When you look at it, the teams aren't even. Martin vs Salty - Wash Gonzo vs Tex - Gonzo Pedroia vs Cano - Cano Jeter vs Scutaro - Wash. Jeter's 2010 campaign is a wash with Scutaro's 2010 campaign, but if Jeter bounces back, he has an edge. Youk vs ARod - Youk. Youk has similar power numbers, yet much higher OBP than A-Rod. Crawford vs Gardner - Crawford Ellsbury vs Granderson - Ellsbury. Granderson is a glorified platoon player. He hits lefties about as well as Ortiz. Going by Ellsbury's 2009 numbers vs Granderson's 2010 numbers, we give up 15 HR and 7 RBI's, but we get 70 more hits, 20 more runs scored, 50+ more stolen bases, and a guy who hits lefties as well as he hits righties. Drew vs Swisher - I'll give Swish the nod since he had a great season last year. Ortiz vs Posada - Ortiz. SP: CC = Lester Buch > Hughes Beckett > Burnett Lackey > Nova DiceK > Mitre Bullpen is all square other than closer, so slight edge to Yankees.
  18. Each team needs to keep an excel sheet of their players performance so that not everyone has to go through each player and look up their stats to keep up with how they're doing if they aren't able to watch every game. Stats such as BA/OBP/SLG/OPS, HR, Runs Scored, Stolen bases, UZR, etc And for pitchers - IP, ERA, Quality Starts, BB:K, etc. If everyone does that, I'll compile a master spreadsheet that has a tab for each player, and then a tab for all pitchers and all hitters, filtered by position, so that we can see who our own league leaders are at each incremental voting. I know we're not using fantasy valuations, but this will at least give us a frame of reference when we are looking at the teams (i.e. Forsyth has a team ERA of 4.2 but his offense is scoring 7.2 runs per game, and his defense has an aggregate UZR of 42). Obviously everyone will value things differently, but I think it will at least give us something to look at rather than having an overload of information.
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