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SoxFanForsyth

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Everything posted by SoxFanForsyth

  1. I like this deal a lot. David Ross is a very underrated player. Throws a ton of runners out (44% CS% last year). Good pick up. Good start to controlling the running game. Like you said, probably the end of Salty with the Sox, which is fine. The Sox need to get away from having any sub-.300 OBP guys outside of Iglesias.
  2. The thing is that it's a short amount of time, so it's not going to burn them. It gives them a great shot at winning a WS in each of the next 4 years, and they still have massive amounts of payroll flexibility. If they signed Hamilton to a $30mm deal right now, they would be sitting at around $120mm in payroll. If they are willing to go up to the $175 mark, or even the $189 mark by 2014, that still gives them almost $70mm to spend on everything else. If it hamstrung them, sure, I agree, don't overpay. But it doesn't. They still have truckloads of payroll flexibility and they lose no minor league talent.
  3. Exactly. If the Sox gave him something like 2/$68, he could still go out and get 4/$100 when he's 34 and make his $170 in 1 less year. It's ok for the Sox to go crazy on short term deals like this. It's the length of the deals that bites them in the ass.
  4. Thats the thing. The Sox CAN do BOTH. There is no choosing here. Even if the Sox spent $30mm on Hamilton, and then another $30mm on the others, they are still going to be at the $145mm range. Hell, they could even go trade for Mauer and still only be at $165. Not saying they should. I'm only saying that's how much money they have.
  5. Not all dollars are created equal. If the Sox have a hole, they can go out and overspend on a player like Hamilton to limit the back end of the deal to only 4 years and still get someone who helps them immediately.
  6. This is exactly why I think the Sox should consider something like 4/120 for him.
  7. All of your posts? Ignorant.
  8. Here were his gamelogs for his wins in 2010: 1: 6.2, 2 ER 2: 7.0, 3 ER 3: 7.0, 1 ER 4: 6.0, 6 ER 5: 6.1, 2 ER 6: 6.0, 4 ER 7: 7.0, 2 ER 8: 6.0, 3 ER 9: 7.0, 1 ER 10: 7.1, 2 ER 11: 7.0, 5 ER 12: 8.0, 2 ER 13: 7.0, 1 ER 14: 7.2, 2 ER Now, if you ask me, anytime you allow 4 ER or more, it's at least somewhat of a lucky win. So, I can see how you would say that 3 of his wins were lucky. But, looking deeper into it, here are some of his other starts. 8 IP, 0 ER, No Decision 6 IP, 0 ER, No Decision 7 IP, 1 ER, Loss 6 IP, 2 ER, No Decision 7 IP, 2 ER, No Decision 7 IP, 2 ER, No Decision So, it evens out, maybe he was due another 1-2 wins even than he got, but for the most part, it evens out. He certainly shouldn't have taken a ND against the Mariners in 2010 when he threw 8 IP, 0 ER. But, sometimes our memory deceives us, I know mine often does, so I just wanted to provide some clarity.
  9. On a side note - Anthony Ranaudo threw 3 hitless innings last night in Puerto Rico, throwing 93-94 with a good change and curveball, according to Speier. If he can get back on track, with Webster, De La Rosa, Barnes, Owens, Workman, Britton, and Brian Johnson, the Sox have a ton of SP depth.
  10. Innings eater is a guy who goes out there and throws 7 innings almost every night, makes all of his starts, and saves your bullpen, all while keeping your team in the game and giving them a good chance to win. Throwing 7 IP and allowing 3-4 runs keeps your team in it every game. Is Lackey overpaid? Absolutely (unless you count his new option which drops his AAV to around $10.333mm. But he is what he is, a 5th starter who will take the ball with his elbow falling off and goes out there and competes. He's not the best pitcher in the world, but he's your 5th man.
  11. $16mm per year is ridiculous IMO. The biggest concern with him is longevity. In the short term, he's going to give you a ridiculous talent. Since there's really no budget for the Sox this year, and the Sox are going to be filtering in young talent like Brentz, Bradley, Bogaerts, De La Rosa, Webster, Barnes, Iglesias, and Middlebrooks over the next 2-3 years, they'll have the flexibility to go out and drop $30mm on him because they're not going to have to shell out a big deal for LF, CF, SS (long term), SP/CP, SP, SP, SS (short term), 3B. If there was ever a time that the Sox would be able to do this, it would be this year. Signing Hamilton, Sanchez, and LaRoche puts this team right back into playoff contention. And none of those guys (outside of Sanchez) would require more than 4 years.
  12. It's not great, no. But for a #5 man, to give you 215 innings and a 4.40 ERA and 14 wins, I'll take that every single day of the week. Every day. And he gave the Sox a 3.96 ERA in the 2nd half of 2010, so he was better down the stretch.
  13. That could be. But if someone gives him 7/150, wouldn't he be better off to take 4/$120mm and then during the final 3 seasons, go after a $12-14mm deal? That'd essentially give him 7/159. I don't know. Maybe the Sox give him 4/$120 with a $20mm mutual option? Then he's just $10mm short of that deal with 2 years to make it up, or $30mm short with 3 years to make it up. I think he'd be very interested in a short term, high AAV deal. I am curious if people would be willing to give it to him.
  14. Apparently the Sox are still interested in Hamilton. Here's a question. The Rangers just said they aren't going more than 3 years on him. Since the Sox just cleared truckloads of money in the Punto trade, would you go 3/$100mm or 4/$120mm for Hamilton? Essentially, you give him a stupid, stupid amount of money in AAV, but you limit him to only his prime years. I think I would be willing to go up to around 4 years, $110-$120mm. It's not the money that I'm concerned with. It's that 5th and 6th and 7th year that I'm worried about. Thoughts?
  15. Nobody is expecting him to be a 3.3 era guy. But turning back to 2010 Lackey is hardly a stretch. Especially with a manager who was there in 2010 as his pitching coach. Gammons was saying his elbow was so messed up that his pitches, specifically his fastball, had zero movement.
  16. Wow. I literally just came in here to say virtually the exact same thing. This would cost none of the top prospects (B's), and would put this team in contention next year
  17. I am beginning to like the idea of Sanchez. I hope they lock him up to a deal. They are also in on Masterson and Choo. I'm 110% all for this. I know a lot of people aren't big on Masterson but I think he can easily turn back into the 2011 Masterson with a little work with Farrell and Nieves on his delivery. Lester Buchholz Sanchez Masterson Lackey would be a post season rotation I think. No true ace in there but 5 guys who can certainly give you an era between 3.3 and 4.2, which will win a lot of games.
  18. Sox out of the Justin Upton sweepstakes.
  19. I know I've said this 100 times, but I really hope the Sox take a long, hard look at Michael Morse of the Nats. He can play LF or 1B, but if the Nats resign LaRoche, and a CF (Bourn), then with Harper taking over in LF, Morse would almost certainly be on the block. He'd be a very nice addition at 1B. Over the past 3 years, he's hit .296/.345/.516. He's got a 162 game average of 35 HR, too, so if the Sox can keep him healthy for 150 games, he'd likely be a 30+ HR guy.
  20. Lincecum out of the mix.
  21. Another incredibly insightful post. Such a good contribution from you.
  22. The Red Sox are no longer on Justin Upton's no-trade list. That's terrific news. Although it likely wasn't going to stop a deal, it's still great news. Go get this deal done, Cherrington.
  23. Couple things: 1. Upton plays significantly better defense than Ross. 2. Upton, at Fenway Park, would bump his numbers pretty well, just like they bumped Ross's. 3. Upton is also capable of swiping 20 bags. Has Justin Upton sometimes had a tough time living up to the hype? Sure. But he just finished his 24 year old season. 24!!!! That's how old Bryce Brentz is essentially. Hes' still learning. It would be great for the Sox to pick him up and grab him during the years where he will project to blow up.
  24. Just a 1 year deal for 3mm? No risk in that whatsoever, and if he gets back on track, he's got a ton of upside.
  25. Having said all of this, if the Sox are able to acquire Upton and keep the B's and De La Rosa (dealing Webster/Doubront, Cecchini, Miller/Breslow, and like an Alex Wilson), I'd be fine with that too.
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