Palodios
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Everything posted by Palodios
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So could you give 5 million for an allstar game, 10 million for MVP/CY, and more for HR milestones? There is probably some way to swing it.
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MLB players being bullied? Pure s***. The majority of them get one little owie, and make millions of dollars doing nothing. There is nothing wrong with the Red Sox wanting to get what they paid for.
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Crawford's wrist WAS a problem. Agon's shoulder WAS a problem. I'm not sure how learning from their mistakes is such an issue.
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The Red Sox have given themselves a considerable amount of flexibility for the upcoming years. Next year, they lose about 30 million in payroll between Salty, Ellsbury, Drew, and Iglesias's 2 million dollar signing bonus. Lester also has an option. Plus, the threshold jumps up to 189 million. The following year, they lose well over 70 million in payroll between Lackey, Ortiz, Dempster, Gomes, Lester and Ross and others. 70 million! They'll be making a run for Felix.
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Ethier would be a monstrous liability in right field. He is simply awful defensively to begin with, so you're stuck hiding him under the monster. Is he worth 85 million to platoon with Johnny Gomes? Maybe, but I certainly don't think he'd be happy with that arrangement.
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If there isn't one by the end of the night, I'll throw one up there:lol:
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I think Napoli is going to be the 1B. The OF is either going to come from inside the organization (Brentz/Bradley/Kalish), or from a midseason trade. No clue what is going on with pitching.
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While I have been arguing in one direction, I am encouraged by Drew's splits last year. It looks like he started off playing poorly on the bum ankle and gradually improved every month. June .167 .231 .167 .397 Jul .192 .277 .260 .537 Aug .205 .317 .352 .670 Sep .275 .342 .451 .793 Hopefully the ankle enjoys the offseason and we'll see a season closer to the .793 than the .397.
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Welcome! (Mods might want this moved to the Introduce Yourself area)
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Drew has had many ups and down defensively at SS-- some good years, some bad. For their careers, Drew has had a UZR/150 of -4.6. Aviles is at 9.3. I would say that is obviously in favor of Aviles.
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Drew has had exactly one season with a WAR above 2.2. He has had exactly two qualified seasons about a .750 OPS. I understand he's a Red Sox now, but be reasonable here. Jeter has had a higher OPS than Drew, for certain, and wasn't a failure of a base-stealer. Asdrubal's career OPS is nearly identical, Castro too. Scutaro has been very similar over the last few years, but has a better OBP, with lower slug. Reyes? Furcal? Ramirez? There are plenty of guys hovering around the same .750 OPS that Drew is at.
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In Avile's rookie season, he had a 4.4 WAR, in only 100 games. They're both mediocre shortstops who will produce an OPS in the low .700s. Neither would be a game-changer. For the difference in the bat, Aviles makes up with his glove.
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Why?
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You're ignoring that Aviles has been a significantly better defender at SS than Drew is. That is why I make the claim that it balances out. Aviles also thrives in high pressure situations-- .956 OPS with RISP and 2 outs. Drew? .729 OPS in those situations. Aviles is also coming off a healthy season.
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Aviles had a season of a .833 OPS, and one of a .748 OPS. Aviles's career OPS is .715 with a UZR/150 of 9.3. Drew's career OPS is .762 with a UZR/150 of -4.3. I would argue that the differences are negligible. Fenway Park may be a good thing for Drew, but as it stands right now, the Farrell trade is looking very ugly.
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Actually... Look at his recent stats. He isn't that much different than Aviles, who will be earning about 2 million in arbitration this year. It seems to make Farrell look 8 million dollars more expensive. Sure hope he is really their guy.
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High value, but the length is what makes it worthwhile. They're one pitcher away from being a contender.
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In 2011, Iggy hit .554 in AAA. In 2012, Iggy hit .624 in AAA. He's also still very very young-- At 22, he still has plenty of time to develop. I'm not expecting wonders here, but a .650 OPS from Iglesias doesn't seem completely unreasonable.
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Middle infield depth is pretty important. Stephen Drew is 29 years old and has a career .762 OPS. He's the equivalent of signing a more established Marco Scutaro. Ciricao goes to the bench, and Iggy works on his bat in AAA.
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The Jacoby Ellsbury trade extravaganza thread
Palodios replied to MANNYHOF24's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Santana, Santana, Santana. Didn't work that time either:lol: -
As it stands right now, the Toronto Blue Jays are the best team in the division. But, I would bet that the Jays have used up all their bullets this offseason. Rays, Yankees, Red Sox, and Baltimore will follow. However, I don't believe that Ben is done. If the Red Sox add a very good pitcher, and sign Stephen Drew, they could put themselves in the position to win this wide-open division.
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As it stands right now, the Toronto Blue Jays are the best team in the division. But, I would bet that the Jays have used up all their bullets this offseason. Rays, Yankees, Red Sox, and Baltimore will follow. However, I don't believe that Ben is done. If the Red Sox add a very good pitcher, and sign Stephen Drew, they could put themselves in the position to win this wide-open division.
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At this point I'd be fine ditching Napoli and going for Laroche. Gold glovers at 1st, 2nd, RF, CF, SS(close enough) plus David Ross's cannon at C, and a solid defender at 3B. The pitching isn't very good right now, so maybe having an elite-elite defense behind them would be more important than the small boost in offense that Napoli would provide over Laroche.
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The biggest peril to bringing RA Dickey to the American League East isn't just that the hitters are complete beasts. The entire division has seen Wakefield 4-5 times a year for the last seventeen years. The knuckleball can be unhittable on certain days, but this division knows exactly what to expect for the others.
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We just signed Dempster. What's next this offseason?
Palodios replied to beeee_c's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Looking at Edwin Jackson's career numbers is not a very good screenshot of what his career has been. He came up to the majors very early -- 19 years old-- and was outmatched for the first four years-- his ERA in those years was 7.30, 6.28, 5.45 and 5.76. Here is what his numbers look like over the last four years. W-L 45-41 ERA 3.98 ERA+ 106 WHIP 1.32
