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Imperial59

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Everything posted by Imperial59

  1. Imperial59
    A personal favorite of mine. He posted 4 scoreless innings after getting lit up all season and he's back to his normal form And that's just your first post in this thread.
  2. Imperial59
    Do you really need to break down your predictions into smaller sections like this? You're just repeating the same thing over and over again by predicting improvement from virtually every position.
  3. Imperial59
    To be fair, Beltre had bone spurs removed, the surgeons didn't do anything to the ligaments or tissue like they did when Posada and I believe Drew did in 2006. It's a rather minor surgery. The only negative side effect of the surgery that I've ever heard of happening is that the bone spurs can eventually grow back. EDIT: Beltre had the same surgery in 1998 and was just fine in 1999. Kevlim Escobar had the surgery in 2005 and was just fine in 2006. I can't find anyone who just had a bone spur removed (without having something else in the area surgically repaired) and didn't return to form the next year.
  4. Imperial59
    Irony anyone?
  5. Imperial59
  6. Imperial59
  7. Imperial59
    I'm well aware. I said that if he had a normal BABIP he would have had to face a lot more batters in the same amount of innings that he pitched last year. And it's logical that the more batters you face, the more likely you are to give up a home run. The more home runs you give up in the same amount of innings, the higher your home run rate. You follow?
  8. Imperial59
    I don't see any objective reason to believe his HR rates will drop. He's a fly ball pitcher (45.7% of the balls hit off him are fly balls) with a below average HR/FB rate (9.1%). It shouldn't be surprising that he's giving up a home run every 9 innings against major league hitters considering he gave up 0.7 home runs per 9 innings against minor league players who were typically many years younger than him. Remember, he started his minor league career at age 25 after pitching in the Mexican League. If anything the numbers suggest his home run rate might increase because of his below average HR/FB rate and his low BABIP. If he had a .300 BABIP last year he would have had to face a lot more batters in the same amount of innings.
  9. Imperial59
    This recent article suggests that he may consider retirement after 2011 (when his current contract is up) and if he is to play after then, he'd only want to play for the Red Sox. "If Drew decides to continue his baseball career after 2011, there's only one place he wants to play -- Boston." http://sports.espn.go.com/boston/mlb/columns/story?columnist=mcdonald_joe&id=4943324
  10. Imperial59
  11. Imperial59
    The bullpen probably won't be the same force it was last year, there are plenty of candidates for regression. Mo - Aside from the fact that he'll be 40, he had a .263 BABIP and 91.8 LOB%. His 1.76 ERA suggest he was as dominant as ever, but his 2.89 FIP (the worst of the decade) suggests otherwise. Hughes - He had a .250 BABIP as a reliever last year, and even if he didn't, as you said it's unlikely that he repeats the kind of performance that he had last year out of the pen. Park - He didn't allow a single home run last year. He's unlikely to continue that lucky streak in the most home run friendly park in baseball. His xFIP suggests he should have had an ERA of 4 as a reliever, not the 2.57 ERA that he actually had. Aceves - Another guy with a dramatically low BABIP (.260).
  12. Imperial59
    One thing to keep an eye on is that he did have a .260 BABIP last year and he does tend to give up home runs. But he could be invaluable in middle relief going 2-3 innings at a time.
  13. Imperial59
    Yeah, I was impressed with Aceves durability last year.
  14. Imperial59
  15. Imperial59
  16. Imperial59
  17. Imperial59
    What about Frank Viola Kilo? He was dominant for us in the early 90's striking out 2-4 batters every nine innings.
  18. Imperial59
  19. Imperial59
    Sweet, Krejci's been kicking ass lately. I hope he excels when the B's play in the Czech Republic next year as well.
  20. Imperial59
    I don't know about that, people still have the ball to say what's on their mind, it's not not popular enough to be on the radio. For evidence you could look at The Ruling Class by Loose Fur or Wilco and Billy Bragg's interpretation of Woody Guthrie's The Unwelcome Guest which was never put to music by Guthrie I believe. M.I.A. isn't really my thing but she backs the Tamir Tigers in her songs, which are considered by most to be a radical terrorist group. But her father was a member. And other artists like Bonnie "Prince" Billy are releasing quite candid, almost morbid songs like "Death to Everyone". I think musicians are still speaking their mind now as much as ever but it's more on the fringe.
  21. Imperial59
    I'm only 22 and the extent of my knowledge of Hoover was learned in my White Collar Crime class in college (my professor was ex-FBI).
  22. Imperial59
    I think it will all come down to Lee's performance next year. If he regresses significantly, I'd avoid him, but if he posts another low 3 ERA, I'd prefer him. There's not much Beckett can do to influence my opinion. 2007 was a career year for him and he'd have to repeat that kind of performance to approach Lee the last two years. 2009 Beckett - 3.63 FIP, 5.3 WAR Lee - 3.11 FIP, 6.6 WAR 2008 Beckett - 3.24 FIP, 5.0 WAR Lee - 2.83 FIP, 7.2 WAR 2007 Beckett - 3.08 FIP, 6.5 WAR Lee - 5.48 FIP, 0.2 WAR
  23. Imperial59
  24. Imperial59
    Lowell will get dealt for a prospect. He's supposedly healthy and will be swinging a bat soon. He said his hip feels 10 times better than it did last year and he has first first step back. I think other teams will be interested once he proves he's healthy.
  25. Imperial59
    Eh, he has a HUGE hitch in his swing which will be exploited time and time again by minor league pitchers. It will be near impossible for him to time minor league caliber pitchers unless he drastically changes his swing.
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