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SoxSport

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    Read an article in the LA Times that said Pujols had to be signed to get the Angels' TV ratings up. They just signed a big local TV contract with Fox, but had low ratings previously. They needed a big star to improve their TV ratings! I don't know what the cable TV situation is in Miami, but I do know the Marlin owners got the city to build the stadium with bonds. Big stink about it in South Florida.Payoffs, etc. Apparently, the city isn't getting any of the concessions or luxury box revenues. Luxury boxes are a big chunk of ticket revenues these days--if you look into it. The owners are still taking a big chance, however, spending a lot of money on FAs. They have to fill the park.
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    Yeah. Pap was on the decline prior to last year. His numbers were going south. No more splitter. He turned it around last year. Can he sustain it? I don't know. He's closed a lot of years. The Red Sox weren't willing to find out for the money he wanted. I wish him well in Philly. They sure will look stupid letting Madsen go for less, if Pap doesn't pan out.
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    I doubt it, but every team has this question with their pitching. It's called the luck factor. Bard/Aceves could win 20-25 games total next year--or 5 games. Maybe Bard will ultimately close. Hard to predict. See how things look after spring training. They figure to be spending less time on the Sanibel beach with Bobby V as manager. I'll say one thing: The Sox are due for some good fortune after the last couple years.
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    Regarding TV markets, it's about local cable TV. That's where the Yankee advantage is--in their local cable network. they have the biggest--bigger than NESN, the Red Sox network. Teams don't share in these revenues. Plus, in MLB, the visiting team only gets about 10-20% of the ticket revenue, vs 40% in the NFL. In LA, the Angels just signed a big local cable contract, and they had to sign Pujols to get their low cable ratings up. Signing Pujols was a must for their TV contract. That's why they made him an offer only a fool could refuse.
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    I'm waiting for the year when Sabathia goes on the DL. The Yankees have gotten a ton of mileage out of him the last few years.
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    TB is overrated. The Phillies have 3 of the top 5-6 starting pitchers in Baseball. It took an incredible collapse by the Red Sox last year for TB to make the playoffs. Think that will happen again this year?
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    That Mississippi drawl doesn't go over big in South Beach.
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    Oswalt is a guy with a low salary/ incentives one-year contract written all over him. I get the impression he wants a lot more than anyone will give. If he wants to pitch this year, he will have to settle for an incentives contract.
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    I'll believe that when I see it. I just read an article where Taj Smith, ex-GM, argued it more the other way, using VMart and Dunn as the comparisons the Red Sox are using. $12 mil is about right. If it goes to $16 mil, they should just release the guy--if it's possible. They'd be paying him over $20 mil with the luxury tax. As I've said, I think the arbitration process is almost as inflationary as the agents are. Baseball doesn't have an effective way of controlling salaries. There isn't enough regulation--because the union has too much power and the big markets (mainly the Yankees) like the system for the advantage it gives them.
  15. SoxSport
    Market size refers to TV market size--not fan base. Big TV markets like NY and LA have the advantage in spending because they have higher TV revenues. Bringing fans in the park is important, too, but TV brings in more revenues. ESPN, for example, gets $4 per month per cable subscriber--whether you view it or not. It's part of the cable package. That's why they're rich. Mark Cuban pulled out of the LA Dodger bidding because he saw that he was really buying the TV rights, and not the ball club. It was too expensive, and the appreciation due to media was already built in. You take the TV revenue away from these teams, and their value collapses.
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    media market = TV market. It's all about TV. What they charge for TV advertising depends on the size of the market. NY is the highest. That's why the NY teams get on network TV all the time.
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    Amazing how just one year can change the perception. The truth is luck and injuries will determine the outcome of the season. For example, what happens if the Red Sox are actually in shape to begin the season? They're saying now they weren't in shape last April, which is what some of us suspected.
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    Pretty easy to do well in Baseball--just spend a lot of money on FAs. There are others ways to do well, too, but it's much harder.
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    Oswalt's leverage is declining, and he may have to settle for Boston at reduced rates.
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    The Globe says Cherington says it's unlikely they'll sign another pitcher before ST. It looks that way, unless something unexpected happens. In the Epstein compensation dealings, the Red Sox will probably ask Selig for Garza, while the Cubs will counter with Theo's old gorilla suit. They'll settle for something in between, unless the deal can be expanded for Garza.
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    From what I'm reading now, it seems Oswalt has a dilemma: he would like to play for the Rangers or the Cardinals, nearer his home--but there is no spot in the starting rotation for him in either place. And he's probably too expensive for the bullpen. The Red Sox are still in the hunt (MLB traderumors) because they are offering him the #4 spot in the starting rotation--for sure.
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    This figures, based on Boras' past success with Beltre by this route in Boston. But Fenway is more a hitter's park than a pitcher's park. Maybe he sees the Sox as the best contending option for Jackson.
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