THere seems to be some disagreement as to what we have in Kottaras and whether he'll amount to a major league catcher. There's legitimate arguments to be made on both sides of this debate and I'm interested to see where the board comes down.
We've basically got a catcher who hit 20 HR's and OPS of over .800 in AAA, but with a very low AVG (.243). Countering that is the fact that Kottaras works at bats and takes a lot of pitches, and knows how to draw a walk. (.348 OBP, .105 Isolated Discipline).
Defensively we've got a guy who calls games pretty well and who's beginning to draw positive review for his defense, but the arm's a bit on the shaky side. Once again a combination of strengths and weaknesses with not a ton of middle ground. He can handle the knuckleball, but with already a below average arm...
My thought on the subject is informed by a very similar story of a catcher. Once upon a time in the Boston system was a catcher named Scott Hatteberg
Until the beginning of 2008, Hatteberg and Kottaras were pretty much walking the same path. Their paths diverged in this their age 26 year when instead of improving his average 30 points to put himself in the conversation as a catcher of note in the minors, Kottaras did so with 20 HR's in roughly 400 at bats.
Hatteberg came up for good in September of his age 26 year and did't hit much of anything, then took over starting catching duties in his age 27 season and was an unspectacularly solid offensive backstop who got by defensively. I distinctly recall that Hatteberg caught Wakefield regularly and his arm was roughly the same as Tek's until an arm/shoulder injury took away some of his throwing ability and he was eventually moved to first base.
The question is, with Kottaras' contact being such a legitimate issue, can he really take that next step like Hatteberg did and play this kind of Jack Cust style offensive game in the big leagues? Usually, the guys who do that made good contact in the minors.
It's hard to see this guy not having a large amount of growing pains adjusting to the league, especially since unlike Hatteberg every time he's gone up a level, his AVG has gone down and not recovered which says depressing things about Kottaras' ceiling.