Rather promote Kalish than rely on signing Crawford. Half the league is going to be gunning for the guy and most of them are likely to be more desperate than we are. I suspect he's a Mariner next year. Seattle's GOT to make a splash this offseason and Crawford's a great fit for what that team is trying to be.
This team absolutely needs two things next year: Relief help and a corner infielder. That's where the money and trade pieces need to go. I really don't like the FA targets at first base very much -- Lee is interesting but Pena rubs me wrong and Dunn is a DH and beyond that the options are not great. We may wind up accepting a substandard solution there unless we are prepared to make a real material sacrifice.
What I want at corner infield is a guy we commit to for 2-3 years, after which time we review our options and see what Rizzo and Anderson have been up to in the meantime. That doesn't mean I'll get it, but the guy I want will be someone who gives us that option. Right now I think that might mean a short-term commitment to Lee, especially if Cameron starts the year on the DL or goes there for some reason and we wind up with 3 lefthanded outfielders. If he sucks, we have options, both Rizzo and Anderson have a chance to be ready by midseason if all goes well
The reason I like the idea of giving up a prospect for Mike Napoli is that he's one of the few under-30 first base types who you actually know might be available. A lot of the guys better than him are much less expendable, even Gonzalez might not be on the block if the Padres think they can take another run at a pennant before they lose him. Sure, Napoli's not twisting in the wind -- he Angels could crowd him in at DH I suppose, but they have players they like that duplicate is skills so they ought to be able to see their way to making a reasonable deal
As for why Napoli from a Sox perspective, I think that Napoli's got plus righthanded power that our wall would help. The wall isn't going to help a HR hitter, but it will boost doubles and BA from the right side. A few more of the fly balls that he hits when he does make contact smacking against the Monster would raise his BA somewhere around .020 or so, a critical jump for a career.256 hitter. And there is a chance that the Boston offensive philosophy might mesh with Napoli's natural style and he does a Papi. Not banking on it of course, you'd be a fool if you did, but the chance is definitely there. Scioscia likes aggressive guys who make contact and move the baserunner, which is just about the opposite of Mike "Strikeout" Napoli. Boston is much better prepared to handle a Three True Outcomes guy -- so in that sense Napoli is a better fit here than he ever was in LAA, and maybe a different look that plays into his style more will allow him to "click."
So Napoli isn't the sexy pick, but in my honest opinion he's the clever pick -- if we picked him up and he played 1B for us for a full season I think we'd all be pleasantly surprised and what he came up with offensively. And if not, you're not out that much and are a year or so closer to Rizzo, so the stakes aren't huge.