jacksonianmarch

In order to rid yourself of Price and get something of value, you’d need to eat the contract down to $10 mil per for 3 yrs (Sonny Gray extension). That’s eating $63 mil. The Sox could do it, but at that rate, you’re better off hoping he pitches really well to start 2020 and try to pawn him off at the deadline. He’s hurt right now and was scuffling prior. His worth is low

Hell, I’ll take the hill. I can still throw 85 with a nice slider. No command or control though. The other dads in the league cry when I hit them

The reason for the Pythagorean difference is simple. I’ve told you guys for years how to outperform your Pythagorean. Create a lockdown pen. Think about it. You’re gonna have beatdowns, you won’t win those. You’ll have games your are beating them down. You won’t lose those. Then there are the games in between. A good pen keeps you close in games you’re down by a run or two and locks down leads when you’re up a run or two. The Yanks pen this year is frickin legendary. Our overall might not be tops in the game since corpses like Brady Lail, Steven Tarpley and Joe Mantiply made appearances, but when the games are close, we unload multiple lights out relievers on the other squad. Heck, we’ve missed probably our best reliever in Betances and still dominate. The Sox have underperformed their Pythagorean because of their horrible pen.

Also, the tried and true way to outperform your Pythagorean is to have a lights out pen.

That’s still a 98 win team. I’m good with that

This year, I’d agree. I still think the power disparity allows a healthy Judge to surpass him. I would also like to see what Judge can do if he could figure out how to approach the ball inside. Two years ago, during his ROY campaign, he was pulling everything. You got him out by going away. Last year, he was hitting pitches where they were pitched and if it wasn’t for the freak wrist injury, he’d probably have been a 6-7 WAR player. This year, he’s hit every single one of his homeruns to RF. Now, not bad for a YS home player, but he’s being beaten on the inside pitch this year. I’m wondering if the oblique injury made him a bit gunshy. It seems his approach is to go to RF, which isn’t bad, but you’ve gotta be able to clean out pitches in or down the middle. Devers is cleaning out everything. He’s the best hitter in baseball not named Trout

Not really. The fall off the cliff started with Sale pitching all but the last six weeks

Sox have won 4 in a row and gained only one game in the L column on a PO spot. Now you’re gonna have to do it without Sale down 7 in the L column

If Sale misses 2020, then a rebuild is almost assured. You’ll have two holes in the rotation to fill and instead of it being just the 4 slot, you’d need to fill the 1 and 4 slot. Sale hasn’t pitched like an ace this year (peripherals yes, performance against the good squads no) but he was going to lead your rotation into 2020. 2020 was the last year of the window anyway. This could jump start it. Right now the Sox sit at either 19 or 20 in draft order (ties with CHC) and if they were in the NL, would be tied for the second wild card right now. If the Sox trail off and fade, they might slip below MIL, NYM, and PHI in record. That’s get them 16 in draft order. While the talent from 11-20 isn’t what it is from 1-10, the escalating draft pool will help the next GM pick some good players

For most SP’s, the recovery is 15 months before seeing the rotation again and usually 18 months before being fully back to prior. Relievers can come back in 12 months assuming everything goes perfectly, which is doesn’t always

Clearly I don’t want him hurt. When I saw the news initially I thought it was a convenient way to shut him down. But this sounds more serious than that. Hopefully he’s not headed for TJS

Real or fake? I’m intrigued.

You guys said the same thing about Betts last year and it corrected in a single season. Now, Betts is still an eminently useful player and on pace for nearly 6 WAR and a single good streak from a .900 OPS, but expecting guys to hit .360 on balls in play isn’t realistic unless the exit velo is insane (Judge for example). Devers also doesn’t have the benefit of great speed, so he might even dip under and even out over time. That being said, he’d be helped by keeping the 16% K rate and upping himself to 35 homers or so. That 35 for 132 (.16X600=96 K’s) removal will only lower the BA slightly

The one thing you are going to need to see from Devers is the ball going over the fence a little more. His power is undeniable, but his frequency of homers will rise as he ages. His BABIP says his results this year aren’t sustainable. A .360 BABIP is pretty tough to keep up. His K rate dropping really helped him. He’s an undeniable star, but I doubt he sustains the BA long term. He’s a .300-30-100 guy likely perennially for the next 10 years. He reminds me of Cano

They put him on the market, but the price was absurd. He’s a terrible OFer, but a gifted hitter who’d best be served as a JDM type, DHing most games and playing the OF as a 4th OFer

He’s got filthy stuff too. Medina, Contreras, and Gil are big time stuff guys who all will make something of themselves if they continue to show command

You’re 12, aren’t you

With how reliant we are on our pen, if we’re gonna lose, I’d rather it not be close

Yanks have been signing guys with no chance of playing a big role. What they do is activate them for either a DHer or pen game, then throw them to the wolves and DFA them

Most stadiums don't have a death valley in LCF. Hitting it out to LCF in YS is a poke

My guess is you will find someone from the TB front office. They pump out GM candidates capable of building from within and have nearly no allegiance to the players on the field at the time of takeover

We have a team of righties. If we had a bunch of lefties, I might be inclined to agree. But nearly our entire starting lineup hits RH'd or switches.

The old grandma hard candy. Kinda miss it

In ST, I called a .300-30-100 season for Devers. I was entirely pulling it out of my ass, but seeing what he did to Chapman showed me this kid has the goods. 103mph from a lefty and he goes over death valley and into the pen. That doesn't happen. He's a true hitter and one who I am going to see for 4 more years at least in Fenway terrorizing my team.

DD has been around too long not to see the writing on the wall. DD knows the destruction he leaves. Look at the Tigers? They're still a mess and headed for the 1st pick in the draft for the second time in 3 years. It's hard to be worse than Baltimore, but they are. DD leaves a dead farm system, a high cap numbers and a roster full of overpaid former superstars. The only saving grace for DD here is that the roster currently has in prime or before prime superstars on the roster. The best of which needs to get paid in Mookie. DD knew what he was signing up for. Henry knew what he was signing up for. I guarantee you Henry and DD had a chat that went something similar to this. H "Hey DD, can you take this underachieving major league roster and top 5 farm system and win a title?" DD "Why yes, John, I can. I can turn them into AL East champs overnight. We will have a 3-4 year window during which I bet we have a shot at a title or two." H "That sounds fantastic, we have seen the basement two years in a row and I need the fans to come back to Fenway. Our sellout streak is over and people are flocking to the Pats and C's" DD "Now, you know I won't be sticking around for the rebuild. I am going to deal all the prospects except the ones I want in Boston. I am going to spend a massive amount of money, we good" H "You're hired!"