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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. That's the thing. You were growing Mookie and Bogey, you dealt off Miller to get ERod who went to your farm. The farm ended up being pretty strong during your short rebuild, just the MLB talent waned. Your farm hasn't been this devoid of talent since before Theo took over. This will be a very long rebuild outside of s*** luck or a further infusion of cash
  2. The Astros are gonna hit $200 mil. Osuna, McCullers, Springer, and Correa are all arb eligible and they'll have to get another starter with Miley and Cole moving on and McCullers moving back in (maybe Whitley is ready). This is why they aren't gonna retain Springer after 2020 and may look to deal him this offseason to make room for Tucker
  3. Yes he can be, but I think it is only in June. The QO means literally nothing to the Red Sox. It can mean the world to the player. The sox would get the equivalent of a 4th rounder. I wonder if the sox have called Boras and went over the contingencies. The sox may be able to deal JDM. The sox could easily allow him to walk if he opts out. I wonder if they have some sort of back room deal where if he opts out, he doesn't get the QO
  4. Pretending that the money wasn’t the biggest factor is naïveté. Then again, flags fly forever, so who cares. If the yanks are the big spender and win the title, I’ll be happy as a pig in s***.
  5. This is why you don’t dole out $30 mil per annum for a pitcher who isn’t healthy
  6. You had to put that into my head. Goddamn it. Burgers it is
  7. We will call it luck while the season is ongoing. Once the season ends, a reckoning
  8. I am gonna go against the grain in the AL. I think Morton plus that entire pen and probably Glasnow are going to win in Oakland. Hard to beat Scherzer at Washington. I am gonna go with Washington
  9. Didn’t say any of that. But keep on speculating.
  10. I won’t make predictions on Yankee postseason series as with their luck, we’ll be running a lineup of Thairo Estrada’s out there by game 5. Rumor has it that Voit may be left off the roster. He’s been awful since he got back. My bet is the sports hernia is hampering him more than he’s letting on
  11. An average year from them doesn’t improve your win total by 19 games, but I digress. Porcello is gone, so don’t worry bout him. Sale is injured and before his injury he was diminished. Worse than that, he was routinely abused by the rivals in NY. Price lost a lot this year and has now missed major parts of two of the last three seasons due to arm ailments. He’s also 34. Expecting anything of value from those two isn’t realistic. If it happens, you take it, but expecting them to be great again is a good way to be let down
  12. Your pitching sucked, but your offense allowed you to be a .500+ team. Removing JD's bat from your lineup will considerably drop your offensive output. He has helped the team in terms of his preparation and you lose a lot when the guy who you are styling off of goes elsewhere. My bet is he does opt out. He is 32 yrs old. This will be his last long term deal. He won't sniff the AAV he is getting, but he can get a bigger guarantee. He needs to consider this. Yes, he is set to make $20 mil on average for 3 yrs, until he is 35. How much does he think he can get at 35, assuming he isn't injured and unable to play? That is where he makes his bank. If he thinks he can make 8 figures when his deal ends, then that changes things. But at this stage, added years isn't as important as the overall guarantee. He will go where the most total guaranteed money is offered
  13. Girardi is a good manager, but he needs to adjust to the times. He is not a players manager. He is a hard ass manager, someone who the Cubs probably need, but may not be receptive to
  14. Whomever JH picks needs to be given the keys and the directive. JH gets impatient. If he is committing to return to prominence, then he has to keep the checkbook open. If he commits to a rebuild, he needs to allow it to happen
  15. Forever the optimist. With the salaries on the books and the fact that only one long term deal looks positive (Xander) and there are no reinforcements in the wings, how in god's name can you think this is a rapid turnaround?
  16. You gut the WHOLE development team. DD took the blame, but outside of their top pick every year, he has limited input in the farm. The guys around him failed miserably. They didn't identify nor develop the right talent.
  17. This isn't a quick turnaround. A rebuild entails using your farm and other prospects. Your farm is scorched earth, salted and dead. You need to draft well, sign well, develop well, and trade well. If you don't commit to a rebuild, then the process will be far longer. I think Henry is struggling with the idea of cutting payroll and rebuilding or giving it one last college try with this team
  18. I absolutely do not deal Barnes this offseason. The most overpaid for commodity at the deadline is bullpen. If I were the new GM, I would put the following limits on Barnes for 2020. He doesn't close games He doesn't pitch back to back games That is it. His numbers should improve and some sucker will go out and give the sox something useful for him.
  19. He also isn't due $22 mil a year anymore. He got $23.75 mil for the first two seasons, so that's $47.5 mil. He gets a $2.5 mil kicker if he opts out. So he made $50 mil over 2 seasons. His final 3 seasons are in effect being paid out as a $60 mil total. If he stays, the $2.5 mil kicker is baked into his contract, but in effect, he has $50 mil in hand and an extra $60 mil over 3 years he can get. My bet is he thinks he can get another contract worth more than $60 mil. I bet he is right, but likely not at the AAV he is going for. I said before and I think I will say again. JD can probably get a 4 yr $75 mil deal from someone. Take that, add in the $50 mil he got from the sox and he is looking at 6 yrs and $125 mil. Not bad for a one way player
  20. The game now is depth. With these players pushing the limits of the human body in terms of strength and flexibility, they’re also getting hurt more. Everyone knows the Yanks struggles with injury, but TB had some big injuries too. They lost months from their top 3 starters in Chirinos, Snell and Glasnow. Their ROY candidate missed the back half of the year. Yet they still won mid 90s. The game is depth. Dealing Betts will add a lot of depth, but whomever takes over needs to know how to build depth from within and the outside
  21. It sure is tempting, but I’d pass. We need a guy at the top of the rotation. With German staring at a suspension and his performance being pretty average outside of win total, he is more a mid rotation guy. Same with Tanaka. Same with Montgomery should he be healthy. Same with the upside of JA Happ. Our rotation’s upside rests with the perpetually frustrating and injured Paxton and Sevy, who missed the whole year. While Cashman likes to hurt his competitors on the open market, I think this offseason, we’ll be focusing on hurting Houston. Outside of an ARod style overpay by an outlier, I think Cash has his sights set on Cole
  22. You got me. Best DH in baseball over the past 3 years. Nelson Cruz and the rocketball/PED got his fWAR up
  23. He was healthy and a consummate professional whose approach rubbed off on the other hitters in your lineup. They guy is a nightmare to pitch to as well. He’s the best DH in baseball. Anytime you lose the best player at a position, you downgrade your production. This may be better for the Sox in the long run as they can get under the cap and start the rebuild sooner with his money off the books
  24. JD said today that he doesn’t mind moving around, that he actually likes it. He also would get a $2.5 mil kicker if he opted out. Those words certainly make it sound like he’s at least considering moving on from Boston
  25. So there has been some news coming out of late. 1. The sox plan to stay under the first threshold for 2020 2. The sox plan to negotiate an extension with Mookie Betts 3. The sox plan to negotiate an extension with Rafael Devers For the first one, this would be tricky. If the plan is to keep Betts, then you'd have to deal off JDM (or hope he opts out). That lineup is far less deadly without JDM and if you want anything great in return (top 100 prospects, plug and play big leaguer), you would probably have to eat some money. Then the question is, how competitive would the team be? The Yanks and Rays are deep and still rising in the division. The sox will be limited by their cap number and their aging and fragile rotation. Henry is all about timing, and I bet he sees the timing as poor for the sox to contend next year. For the second one, I think this is a ploy for PR. Mookie said he is gonna go to FA. The sox are going to make the RSN aware they are gonna do everything they can to re-sign him..... right before he is dealt. For the third one, if the sox are able to extend, it would probably be akin to the Bregman deal where they don't touch the pre-arb season next year and the extension kicks in afterwards for lux tax purposes
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