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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. What a season! Guys going down left and right yet these Yanks showed their resilience. The division crown is back where it belongs after 7 long years, in the BRONX!
  2. The guy can hit. He also has a pretty reasonable history of playing average to slightly above average defense. He just couldn't stay healthy. If he is healthy now and can play full time in the OF for the POs, that is a huge boost.
  3. We will be over the $208 mil. We went under the tax in 2017 so we can go over for 3 or more years. We did let Pineda go, but that was with the understanding that he was going to miss the entirety of the following year due to TJS. Achilles injuries are usually less time. Britton tore his in January and was back by June (but wasn't back to being himself until September that year), so if Betances gets his fixed now, he might be ready for spring training and back to his usual effectiveness by mid season. I see the Yanks doing this with Dellin. He is going to need a pillow contract anyway and my bet would be he wouldn't sign a long term deal while rehabbing. I would probably offer him a 2 yr deal, but my bet is he signs a one year pact with escalators and a contractual guarantee of no QO.
  4. They saw him when he started the year. The report from his final 3 starts in AA were far different. Fastball hitting 98 in his last start. Slider considered plus
  5. Agreed. The entire Strength and Conditioning team needs to go. I also agree on Betances. The Yanks will likely offer him a pillow deal with a $5 mil base and incentives to get a nice payday before hitting the open market again
  6. Using minor league stats can be quite deceiving, especially with pitchers. Arsenal is a more useful dictator of future success. The three stats that I do look at are the BB/9IP, K/9IP and HR/9IP. Gil beats Ward in two of those categories. Gil 2019- 11.5K/9IP, 4.40BB/9IP, 0.09HR/9IP Ward 2019- 11.1K/9IP, 4.1BB/9IP, 0.42HR/9IP Then there is arsenal between the two. Gil tops out at 102mph. He sits 98-99. He also has a curve that scouts rate at 65/80 (that's very, very good) and a changeup that's more average than anything. If the change comes around, he projects at the top of a rotation. If not, he projects as a closer Ward is a 5 pitch pitcher sitting in the low 90s, throws a cut, a curve, and a change. He is projected as a swing man per the ever optimistic soxprospects site. So the comparison between the two isn't really a comparison at all. Throw in the age difference and no lost time due to injury and it isn't very close at all. For most players, age is a useful qualifier, but not very useful on its own without context. Clarke Schmidt was drafted in the first round of the 2017 draft even though he was a month into his recovery from TJS. He barely pitched in 2018 because he was working his way back from the injury. His year 23 season was his first full year as a professional pitcher. So 23 or not, he is a new pro arm. And he didn't disappoint. He also finished the year in AA and showed his best stuff as a Yankee prospect to finish the year before hitting his innings cap. He's a 4 pitch mix guy who throws a fastball that now tops out at 98mph. He's got command, a wipeout slider, a decent curve and a good change. He can run his fastball as well to keep the HR rate down. Provided good health, he's an ace level prospect.
  7. You haven’t been here long enough to see the Red Sox trolls here. Ask jbay about them. There are more of those on the banned list than Yankee fans
  8. Maybe you’re trolling?
  9. Maybe I went a little far on the “great” comment. How about very good prospects with close proximity and very good stuff?
  10. Let’s wait til the end of year rankings before you judge. Garcia will be top 100. Schmidt and Gil won’t be far behind
  11. This is just absurd at this point.
  12. Mother f***er. It was during his last pitch on Sunday. Done for the year. Likely out for a good part of next year. He is a FA this offseason. Big blow
  13. a700, I am not talking about the bougie parents who are dropping $300 a year for aluminum bats. I am talking about the little league team that can buy 3 bats for their squad at play it again for $40 total and play the game. Good luck doing that with wood
  14. Convenient sampling, but it goes to show you that DEPTH is your most important tool to be a title contender. Pitchers go down all the time. That being said, where is your depth? And the bogeyman nobody wants to encounter here is the possibility that Sale misses 2020. You don't PRP an elbow nothing. You don't PRP standard, run of the mill elbow inflammation. He had a partial tear in there. And, he hasn't been able to get past 160 innings each of the past 2 years. He lost velocity this year. He lost effectiveness this year. He had a procedure with a history of working, but returning the player to a lower standard of performance. If the goal is to be a title contender, then you cannot count on Sale for anything. If the goal is to stay competitive, but step back, then Sale being counted on is reasonable. Same with Price. He is already losing to Father Time, and now he has posted 2 seasons of sub 108IP in the last 3. He finishes the year with an injury that likely will require wrist surgery on his throwing hand. He's also 34 and on the decline with a TON of miles on his arm. Counting on him again is not really smart. Then there is Eovaldi. The guy has been a house of horrors when he took the mound this year, but he hasn't done that much due to injury. That's 3/5 of your rotation. You have one guy in ERod who is good. Not an ace, but good. Then there is the open space. Hmmmm. Who do they get there. Is it Johnson? Do the sox dumpster dive and try to find someone to take the bump? Who knows. The rotation for the sox went from a lead pipe lock strength to an absolute weakness with no depth whatsoever. Counting the sox rotation as anything but a problem is sox fanboy s***. I know you like to point to the Yanks and their rotation as an issue as it has been this year. But two guys return for 2020. Severino had 11WAR from 17-18. He had a lat issue that kept him out that is clearly healthy now. The Yanks didn't have to rush him back since we dominated the division. Then there is Montgomery, who didn't go the PRP route, and had the full TJS. His last full season was a solid 2.6WAR debut season before succumbing early in 2018. Add that to Paxton and Tanaka and the top 4 next year looks pretty good. Happ is who he is, but he's better than an open slot. And who the heck knows, maybe Cole is there and Happ is history. We also follow that with 3 great pitching prospects in Garcia, Schmidt and Gil, the first two will be starting in AAA next yr.
  15. The way it matches out, he should start twice more, with the final being the last game of the year. That should get him to 100 pitches
  16. Very encouraging from Sevy tonight. First inning jitters showed with a lack of command of the slider. Got out of it with a DP then cruised through 3 more shutout innings. The last 3 were pretty nasty. 97mph fastballs, sliders that dropped off the table and a changeup that was nastier than I remember. With Sevy back and showing his A game stuff and Betances back showing dynamite movement although a tick below his usual, I think the Yanks are finally rounding into form at the right time. Paxton, Tanaka, Severino, and German is a pretty solid top 4 if all are throwing well. A pen with Betances, Kahnle, Britton, Ottavino, and Chapman ain't bad either. Stanton returns either tomorrow of Thursday. Sanchez is expected back for the POs and EE might be back next week. This deep team is gonna be a tough out!
  17. I’m not talking about fans. I’m talking about front office. Do you think it’s a viable front office plan to hope that two injured pitchers who are at least possible to end up on the OR table be relied upon in a title charge as centerpieces? Or is it a better option to rebuild? Fans are gonna hope no matter what. Owners and GMs need a bit more than hope
  18. Exactly. This is called reality
  19. No, that’s not what I’m saying. What I’m saying is that a plan to contend that starts with “I hope they’re healthy next year” isn’t a viable plan to contention. They haven’t been healthy and now they’re a year older.
  20. Sevy is back tonight. Likely gonna see some rust, but the Angels are also rolling out a lineup sans Trout, Upton and Ohtani.
  21. It is dangerous, but the game wouldn't be cost effective if it was wood. Wood bats break a lot and parents wouldn't be terribly interested in buying 3 or 4 bats a season when 1 bat every couple years suffices with aluminum
  22. You also need to realize the sox' hit rate for picks in the 30s was staggeringly high. Ellsbury, Buchholz, Lowrie, Bard, Workman, Barnes, and JBJ have all played all star level ball for at least a season or more at the big league level. Heck, Kopech might be the best of them all. It's insane how good they were at drafting
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