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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. I really see wells as the next 20mil AAV man. Texas will likely go 7yrs 140 mil. Jones has Boras. He wants longevity and money. I see the same dollar figures but with a 7th yr. Jones will likely get 7yrs 120mil, a Beltran deal.
  2. cmon now bosox. Worry cause there isnt an all star at every position? Hrm. Well, you may have a point. The yankees do have an allstar at every position. Except 1b, 8 outta 9 aint bad.
  3. If my life depended on it, I'd still say Houston. But with Pettitte in the Bronx, my 2nd choice would be NYY and a distant 3rd would be Boston. If theo is true in his desire to stay below the lux tax, then I really think Clem to Boston is not gonna happen.
  4. \Timlin is breaking down, BIG time. His 6+ era after the AS break should be an indicator that he needs to have the gas let off of him a little. He cannot handle the setup role anymore, let alone closer. Okajima sounds like a matchup lefty to me. MDC and Hansen were failures in the pen last season. Tavares was a failure in the pen too, but he was good in the rotation. Right now, nothing looks like a good start in the pen. 2 solid workhorse pitchers and the rest of that pen may fall into line with a decreased workload. But if that is your bridge or if that is your pen, then a miracle would have to happen for the sox to make it very far.
  5. well then Theo is dooming his team to the exact same fate that he has led his previous teams to. He believes that a pen is something that you throw a few pitchers into and poof, it works. He is wrong, and his philosophy is flawed. The one yr he fills the pen with solid vets and caps it off with a solid closer, he wins a world series. Coincidence, I think not. As for the marlins, their pen is BAD. Tankersley is the only guy worth his salt and even he is a work in progress. Plus, the marlins want ellsbury for him, and that aint gonna fly.
  6. We'll see. I think he makes a decision to pitch in February. Starts working out in April and holds a team hostage for a return in June. Whoever has the most SP problems will likely get him.
  7. I agree. But some on here are acting like there are lots of options. The options are go with what you got or make a deal. Unless you really think Chan Ho can get the job done, which I'd doubt at this point.
  8. 5-7 losses is something I dont see. I see a lot of decisions in his future as I think that pen is the paintin type. Remember, losses and wins are very dependent on offense and bullpen. I think a bunch of his wins will be blown by the pen and a bunch of his losses will be painted on. If you had a solid pen, then 5-7 losses is realistic. But I see a number creeping in towards double digits.
  9. the problem being, the best FA options for the pen are gone. Theo has always seemed to be lax on securing the bullpen and this yr it is very evident. Maybe he got burned a bit by signing Foulke and is afraid to throw big money long term to a closer? Maybe he felt this yrs crop was putrid and is willing to trade? Who knows, but 3 yrs ago he started the yr with a top tier FA closer and added it to a solid rotation and solid offense and he won a title. I would think he'd see the need for the same this time too.
  10. and 2005 and 2006 and likely 2007 until he gets replaced.
  11. you think the yankees will go for the little fish of the three? Has that EVER been their style? And you think Jones and Hunter get about the same? Man, your predictions on Jones are WAY off man. Dont mean to bust your balls, but those arent even close. Jones will be 30 and is widely considered the best NL CF. He is likely a 40HR a yr lock. He'll get 6-7 yrs of 18mil likely. Something that will trounce Carlos Lee #s. Hunter is a guy who will likely be getting 12-15 mil a yr for a shorter term deal because he cannot stay healthy. I do agree on the Wells thing. I see him being Hicks' next mistake. But dont think Boras of all people wil not try for the same with A. Jones.
  12. 15 wind? I expect 12 fire from Schilling, and maybe 10 earth from Papelbon. As for Beckett and Wake, who knows.
  13. Matsuzaka was the big coup early on. Then the yankees got Pettitte. Matsuzaka doesnt hurt as much anymore. See.
  14. I know. What I am saying is that the red sox may have been looking for something similar to what the yankees got. Hence, once they saw what the Tigers gave up for a guy who is not nearly worth as much as Manny, the price escalated. If you told the red sox 3 months ago that Manny could be dealt for a top pitching prospect and a top closer prospect, he'd probably have said, one more prospect and where do I sign. Once the yankee deal went down, he was talking about MLB ready talent only.
  15. http://www.nypost.com/seven/12102006/sports/sheff_deal_drove_up_sox_price_for_manny_sports_joel_sherman.htm
  16. actually, K's and BB's sometimes do change. Look at Ishii. The guy's BB rate went insane in the MLB, even though they were high before. Irabu's actually went down but his hits went way up.
  17. Breslow? Nice late piece to a pen, maybe, but when the big parts are missing, thinking about Breslow doesnt do much.
  18. Sanchez doesnt have a LONG history of injury. His injury history was last season, what amounted to a sore elbow which has since subsided. He will be 100% ready for ST. Whelan was the #10 prospect in the Tigers organization last season, that is what I meant. He is a top 10 prospect who happens to be a closer, and Gammons loves him. As it is, the yankees added likely their #3 prospect (behind Hughes and Tabata) in Sanchez and likely their #8 prospect (up from 10 now that Garcia and Melancon are on the TJ shelf) in a trade for a malcontent 39 yr old power hitter coming off a serious wrist injury. That is apparently what the sox were looking for early on. Two top 10 prospects. Once the yankees got that for Sheff, who has much less worth than Manny, they upped the ante and nobody budged. So you can thank Cashman for the sox not settling for less.
  19. on Manny. The sox were very surprised that the yankees were able to pry away a top line pitching prospect AND a top 10 closer project for a 39 yr old slugger coming off major injury.
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