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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. jacksonianmarch
    We are urinating on the stros now too.
  2. jacksonianmarch
    He didnt twist anything. Almost looked like a cramp or a pulled calf muscle.
  3. jacksonianmarch
    Wang reached on a FC today and scored on a hit by jeter. Unfortunately, as he rounded third, he started limping and couldnt walk by the time he crossed the plate. Looks like a lower leg injury, ankle/foot/calf type thing.
  4. jacksonianmarch
    I see the sox decided to piss on the reds today.
  5. jacksonianmarch
    I understand that you can try to predict an adjustment period, but this one doesnt hold water. You have a guy who was just moved to the pen last july or so in the minors and now, you will have a pre-season ranking predicting how he will do in a full season at a higher level at the new role? Also, the idea of PECOTA and any other ranking system is based upon players prior performance and cannot accurately detail a player finally breaking out. As such, it cannot predict a player's performance at a new role when it doesnt have the data to make the prediction. It is a farse.
  6. jacksonianmarch
    So 9 games is enough to throw him under the bus? For a stat oriented guy, that sentence makes no sense. Hypocrite much?
  7. jacksonianmarch
    nice post, honestly.
  8. jacksonianmarch
    PECOTA is a putrid projection tool as are most tools projecting what a rookie pitcher will do. I'd look at stuff more than your tidy little cpu projections. The fact that he is new to relieving makes PECOTA obsolete in that sense since he doesnt have a track record to reliably follow.
  9. jacksonianmarch
    Predictable. Girardi abused the kid early on. 20 innings in April. That is a 120IP pace for a kid who just converted to relief mid season last yr. He also was being used as our long man and setup man for some reason when we wanted to rest Joba. Regardless, he is a kid with a hard fastball and a plus slider. He was abused early on and it showed. Now I think his confidence is broken. Just like hansen, the stuff is too good to write him off as nothing. I'd ship him to Scranton for the forseeable future and see what Robertson can do. Funny thing is, while Ohlendorf was being abused, Veras and Ramirez were busy carving a nice niche out of our pen.
  10. jacksonianmarch
    Nixon has actually been hitting homers in the minors.
  11. jacksonianmarch
    well, that was the first time I saw Papelbon get rattled. He recovered though. BTW, Hansen nearly s*** his pants when Cabrera got on base.
  12. jacksonianmarch
    Mussina after 6 innings is a problem. Ohlendorf at any inning is a problem. Quite a conundrum. I think Ohlie needs a dose of the minors. He got ruined by Girardi in April and May. He needs a confidence builder.
  13. jacksonianmarch
    Righties maxing out at 89-90 get drafted typically in the late rounds if they had solid college numbers and proved to have solid off speed stuff. Venditte has ridiculous K numbers in a minor conference league, but he doesnt have the dynamite breaking pitch from the right side like he does from the left. IE, if he didnt have the added bonus of throwing left handed, he would not have been drafted IMO. Regardless, it doesnt matter where you take your fillers. The late rounds for the big market clubs typically have 3-5 signability guys, multiple filler picks and then a ton of projects. Venditte from either side alone screams filler. If he can become serviceable from both sides, then he could be a MR at best. He certainly doesnt seem likely to be a MLBer
  14. jacksonianmarch
    well, there is a problem. Typically, outside of the first round, it is frowned upon to offer late round picks more than a million. Now the sox wouldnt be the first team to break that unspoken rule, but even the yankees havent strayed past it recently (Angelini, Betances, Jackson, etc have all gotten 1 mil or less in rounds 8-10). Meyer is asking for top 5-10 pick money, ie 7-10 mil. AND, Boras loves to have his kids go to college if they dont get exactly what they want. IE, if the sox sign him, they will catch hell from the commish. But then again, if the commish really wanted to fix it, he'd force the players union to agree to slotting.
  15. jacksonianmarch
    maybe he's smarter than we think.
  16. jacksonianmarch
    JHB, come on now. There are plenty of filler picks in the draft. It is how it is always done. On both sides, you can see picks in the 20s and above where you just know they wont see the light of day in the bigs. What I did like about both of our drafts was how deep the talent pool collectively was from round 10 or so on. The sox with Meyer in the 20th was a solid pick. The Yankees with Dwyer, Monar and the kid they chose in the last round are all high end lefties with good arms and high demands. The point is, you need to be able to fill out your roster AND sign high end talents. A lot of teams dont go for the big bonus kids late because they know they wont sign them. We think we can. Regardless, I dont see Venditte making it past AA. I also dont see the sox signing Meyer. What I do see is venditte selling car insurance in 2011 and meyer being the 1st overall selection out of the U of Kentucky (that wasnt my original idea, I think Callis brought that up).
  17. jacksonianmarch
    good luck signing him. We got some high upside guys late as well. You do usually start filling in the roster after pick 10 or so and then nab some guys later who you think could help. For us, Dwyer is a biggest late round selection, with Lassiter and the catcher committed to Fla a close second
  18. jacksonianmarch
    Broken back. The C's will be takin this one home
  19. jacksonianmarch
    20th round. Remember that. They did nab some high end late rounders but this guy screams filler. He did K a ton of hitters this yr. Regardless, he drops down from the left side and throws a mean slider. If he can utilize that, then he'll have a role. His RH side sounds pretty good for a long man, but right now his secondary stuff sans the lefty slider is totally undeveloped.
  20. jacksonianmarch
    3 of the walks were in one inning, 1 intentional. Not one ball was hit hard. I was more impressed with Joba's sinker today. He was pitching to contact early on and it left him in for 6 innings rather than having him out after 5. Word is Wang and Joba are working on the 2 seamer. It didnt have Wang's bite, but he was throwing it 93mph
  21. jacksonianmarch
    he'll fade
  22. jacksonianmarch
    I dont think Kennedy's ceiling is as a #5. I think his ceiling can be as high as a #2. But for 2008, I expected #5 type numbers. I did not expect him to totally lose his control.
  23. jacksonianmarch
    they are grooming him as both.
  24. jacksonianmarch
    I wasnt expecting Kennedy to come out and be the second coming in his first yr. I do think Kennedy will be a solid pitcher, but I expected #5 type numbers this yr.
  25. jacksonianmarch
    I dont think anyone thought Rasner would be a sub 3 era guy. I didnt. But I do think that he should be a 4-4.5 ERA guy who can give innings. He throws strikes with 4 pitches and can locate to all 4 quadrants of the plate. nothing plus, so he will have games where the other team hits him hard. But he should be good enough to replace what we were expecting from Kennedy
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