I dont think example is understanding what is going on here, as usual.
The Red Sox 2008 team had a lot of people who achieved last their prior performance. Does that mean they are in for a regression? Who knows. But it certainly doesnt guarantee that those players perform at that same level
Pedroia's high .800s OPS and MVP season. Is he gonna repeat that success?
Youk jumping 100+ points in SLG, can he repeat that?
Lester going from marginal #5 starter to post season ace. Can he repeat that?
Those were three major driving forces for the sox winning as much as they did. Now, you get to deal with the questions about Bay needing to reproduce what Manny was doing. Well, nobody can do that. Manny's worth goes beyond his numbers. His protection of Ortiz and presence in the lineup forced teams to game plan around him. Now that he's gone and Ortiz looks like a shell of himself, this lineup isnt as intimidating. And when you consider that the catchers slot is due to be a disaster, the CF slot has a kid who regressed something fiece from June on last yr and the SS slot is gonna be a battle between Lowrie and Lugo, and there is a significant chance that the sox have 3 holes in their lineup. Throw in the fact that Lowell regressed from his uncanny 07 back to his career norm prior to getting a serious injury to a major weight bearing joint and Ortiz' bat looked very slow and the offense has some serious concern without much help on the way this yr. Granted, if everything breaks right, the sox O could be solid. But with so many question marks, shoring up that lineup would have been a good idea. Especially with this being a significant buyers market outside of Tex and they didnt do it.
Now throw in the fact that we add Tex and Swisher as well as a full yr of Nady to our lineup. We might have Posada back as full time catcher, which fills a massive offensive void and we should see Matsui back at some capacity in the DH role. If we get anything close to their career norms, then we should dominate. The questions are actually the exact opposite from our end. Is there a rebound in store for those who slumped in 08? Cano, Jeter, All CFers, even ARod didnt have his typical yr. I do think that with a more balanced lineup as well as the best 3-4 combo in the game with ARod and Tex, we are gonna be a much more dangerous team. Throw in the additions of CC and AJ as well as likely a full yr from Wang and we'll be really tough. Theo said it, if you arent getting more dynamic, you are falling behind. We did. The sox didnt. The question is, did the sox fall behind 6 games? Time will tell