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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. jacksonianmarch
    So you'll blame the yankees if Bay leaves? Seriously, you are just falling into the same trap that the rest of the nation is falling into. Claiming poverty. Its hilarious. Here's the deal. Bay came to Boston with a ton of controversy attached to him. He manned up, had a good end to the yr and then was solid in the playoffs. He's good for Boston. Are you really going to let a power hitting COF go over a couple mil per yr when the sox are completely swimming in cash? Even with the economy being in the shitter, the sox will sell out every game and will still be top 3 in merchandise sales. The global market has changed. But the sox are still making money hand over fist and will find an excuse to cut costs. That being said, getting Bay would fit the MO of the yankee franchise. No more 35+ overpaid superstars. We'd get another prime player in their prime. And you'll regret it.
  2. jacksonianmarch
    I actually would put Jenks in there and get rid of the Zumaya comparison and the Joba one. I do think Jenks and Bard fall along a similar path and Jenks is the best case scenario for Bard. I wouldnt put Zumaya in there because I think Zumaya consistently throws harder than all on the list. Zumaya can sit 99-101, Bard tops out there as do Jenks and Joba. Also, Zumaya has battled injuries since his run in 2006 and therefore may not be someone to strive for in the first place. But getting back to the Jenks comparison. Jenks was an all fastball, no control starter in the Angels system who converted to the pen full time in 2005 when he was claimed by the White Sox and was lights out from there. I think comparing to Joba in terms of stuff is off because Joba has a better slider and a third plus pitch and comparing control is not even close either.
  3. jacksonianmarch
    We'll have Pettitte's 12 mil, Matsui's 13 mil, Damon's 13 mil and Nady's 6 mil coming off the books with really only 2 spots to fill. I absolutely see us in on the Holliday sweeps, but if he struggles outside of coors, then we might pass. Bay is someone I guarantee will be on our radar, but possibly on the periphery depending on how our CF situation shakes out and how AJax does. Here's the deal, if Gardner plays like he can and locks down the CF slot, then Jackson would take RF and we'd need a power bat for LF/DH with Swisher being the other guy. We may only go for one of those guys. But if Gardner is subpar and Jackson has a poor AAA season, then we might just go balls out for both of those guys.
  4. jacksonianmarch
    He found his control in low A as a 23 yr old with power stuff and then conveniently lost it when he faced more polished hitters. Listen man, I agree he took a big step forward, but he didnt suddenly find control. He suddenly found more aggressive and less skilled hitters. Nobody doubts that Bard has a great fastball. And nobody doubts that on his good days, Bard could be completely lights out. I think what remains to be seen is if he can consistently get good fastball command on a day to day basis. He hasnt shown that at all. If he can at least have that then he'll be useful. Right now he doesnt
  5. jacksonianmarch
    why so personal these days? Mommy ground you?
  6. jacksonianmarch
    No, because Price has better command of a better arsenal
  7. jacksonianmarch
    He cant be. David Price is 10X the prospect Bard is
  8. jacksonianmarch
    he is actually a pretty good corner OFer.
  9. jacksonianmarch
  10. jacksonianmarch
    http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/extras/extra_bases/2009/03/bay_extension_t.html He would look nice in pinstripes after Hideki leaves I must say
  11. jacksonianmarch
    After two weeks of play... Gardner .379/.438/.759 with 3 homers, 2 doubles and 3 steals Cabrera .240/.325/.320 with a triple and a steal If this truly is an open competition for the CF spot, then Gardner should take it. He's looked real good.
  12. jacksonianmarch
    This might be it for Lugo. If Lowrie comes out hot then I dont see how the sox could give the job back to the wife beater
  13. jacksonianmarch
    mostly because kids in the farm need to play and keeping a kid from the farm on the roster playing maybe once a week is bad for their long term growth
  14. jacksonianmarch
    everybody got caught up in his raw power, but nobody really understood how bad of an offensive player he was. His approach sucked, he hardly ever made contact and he never could hit to the situation. Yes, when he hit the ball it was usually a missile, but that was so few and far between that he eventually ran out of chances. I'll tell you what, if Arroyo was still on this team for 2009, I'd say you'd have a much better chance than where you stand now. Arroyo would man that 5 hole every 5th day and would be giving you close to 200IP. Thats all you need out of that slot in the rotation. But now? You have one pitcher with a torn labrum who's been increasingly fragile over the past couple seasons and you have a 5a and 5b who are both hurt.
  15. jacksonianmarch
    You are expecting a 3.65 ERA out of Penny and Smoltz combined? In their first seasons in the AL coming off shoulder injuries? Thats dumb
  16. jacksonianmarch
    So lets say that you give each player a probability of helping your team. For example, just for shits and giggles Smoltz has a 30% chance of positively impacting the sox in 2009 Penny has a 40% chance of positively impacting the sox in 2009 Saito has a 25% change of positively impacting the sox in 2009. The chance that all of them will have a positive impact is .3 * .4 * .25 = .03 or 3% The chance that none of them will have a positive impact is (1-.3) * (1-.4) * (1-.25) = 31.5%. So while you have a 3% chance of all the players panning out, you have a 68.5% chance of at least one of them panning out.
  17. jacksonianmarch
    you think that the one yr, below market signings of injured pitchers have a high probability of success? Really?
  18. jacksonianmarch
  19. jacksonianmarch
    I guess it depends on what you value in making this distinction. Quality or price. If its for the money, then this article is spot on. If you are talking about just sheer improvement of the team, then this article is not correct.
  20. jacksonianmarch
    This is dumb. Jackson had a hip dislocation which is known to cause avascular necrosis. The Yankees are trying to keep ARod from developing arthritis like Belle had.
  21. jacksonianmarch
    Waiting another yr does get more expensive. But with pitchers, especially those with big IP jumps, it is prudent to wait. If Lester avoids injury, this deal is a massive steal. If he doesnt, then this deal is stupid
  22. jacksonianmarch
    Lowell is not in anywhere near the shape that ARod is
  23. jacksonianmarch
    Bard = young Farnsworth without the third plus pitch. I have said it before and I'll say it again. When Bard is on, nobody will touch him. When he's off, he will be game altering-ly off
  24. jacksonianmarch
    Pedro would love to come back to Boston to this ownership /sarcasm
  25. jacksonianmarch
    Did the sox flaunt their financial might? In a sense, yeah, but so be it I do agree with Gom on this point. It is risky. Lester was mediocre until last yr and then experienced a MASSIVE IP jump to a very high IP count. Thats a recipe for injury and doling out a contract like this could easily be overpaying. But at 6 mil a yr its easily absorbable
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