This is exactly why Verducci is right and some people on this site arent.
#1- Javier Vazquez is coming off a great season. A season of ace level performance where his ERA was under 3, and he put up ANOTHER 200+IP and 200+K season. It isnt like this guy has just languished in mediocrity and now is expected to be great.
#2- Javier Vazquez is going to be the #4 starter. A guy who has shown throughout his career that he is as durable as anyone.
#3- The Yankees had 4 pitchers make 31+ starts last yr, and they are all back, PLUS Vazquez.
Lets put a minimum out there. Lets say that Vazquez puts up 200+IP, 200+K's and a 4.50ERA. Would that not be a massive upgrade? This is the problem here. Everyone seems to think that Vazquez needs to have an ERA under 3 to be considered GREAT for the Yankees. He doesnt. He needs to take the bump every 5th day and give us 6IP 3ER and 6K per night. I'll take that. Lets just have a game here. Just some prediction for the 2010 season
1. CC Sabathia- 34 starts 20-7 3.20ERA 230IP 200K
2. A.J. Burnett- 32 starts 15-9 4.00ERA 200IP 210K
3. Andy Pettitte- 32 starts 15-11 4.40ERA 190IP 160K
4. Javier Vazquez- 32 starts 17-11 4.50ERA 210IP 200K
Now, those numbers are not out of the realm of possibility at all. Actually, I think you can pretty much bank on CC, Andy and Vazquez for at least that level of production and AJ has shown 2 yrs running that he has been durable. Now, tell me any other team out there with a more durable, more productive starting 4. Cmon, go ahead. You cannot
Now, Boston's rotation has the POTENTIAL to give better numbers assuming Lackey sheds his recent injury history, Beckett doesnt go down again late in the season, Buchholz shows he can be durable and effective in the bigs, and DiceK shows he can take the mound and be effective. But, those are a lot of questionmarks, and exactly the reason why I think Wakefield was retained on a two yr deal.
So, the sox rotation may have the potential to surpass the Yankee rotation, but the durability and the effectiveness in the top 4 of the Yankee rotation is EXACTLY why Verducci is right. Schilling said it best, the team that will win is the team that will get the most starts out of their top 5. And right now, you have to say that the edge in that category is NY.