The Red Sox will win the division if our big three can step it up. If Daisuke has a Johan type impact, Beckett has 15 or 16 wins with an ERA around 4, and Schilling can stay consistent and produce around the same level as he did last season, the rotation will be the best in the league. The Sox also have a solid bullpen for the first time in years. With Donnelly and Okajima in the late innings and Papelbon closing it out, it'll become much less of a risk when we have a one or two run lead going into the late innings. Also, the lineup is looking great this season as we don't have to depend on certain players like Coco or Varitek to produce. As long as Lugo and Youk get on base, and Papi, Manny, and Drew can drive in the runs, our lineup will once again be a machine.
Second place goes to the Toronto Blue Jays, the same team that will win the A.L wild card. Halladay, Burnett, and Chacin will be a powerful top of the rotation trio and B.J Ryan is just about as lights out as they come. The lineup will come together and be a run producing machine as they have Troy Glaus, Alex Rios, Lyle Overbay, and Vernon Wells returning along with the addition of slugger Frank Thomas who should continue to hit countless homers in the DH spot.
The Yankees on the other hand are looking as vulnerable as ever. The lineup is great but also isn't getting any younger. A-Rod will have an MVP year and Jeter will continue to do what he does, but after that, nothing is certain. Even though I'm a Red Sox fan, I'm far from biased as I picked the Yankees to win the division last season. Even if the Yankees acquire Roger Clemens midway through the season (which I'm expecting), he won't make as big of an impact as NY fans will hope for. He'll be turning 45 in August and he's going to find much tougher lineups in the AL than he saw in past seasons. His ERA will linger around 4 and his injury risk will be huge. Their rotation as it stands is terrible. Mussina will have a solid year and Igawa might have some success but Pettite, Pavano, and their #5 starter just won't cut it.
It's going to be a three way race to the finish for the AL East but the power is shifting and the Yankees will find themselves in 3rd place looking up to the Blue Jays, and World Champion Red Sox.