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ORS

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Everything posted by ORS

  1. Speaking of which, one of those makeup games occur on Thursday (assuming no rainouts for either team Mon-Wed). Kazmir vs Rasner, in St Pete. We'll see what happens.
  2. This year's installment of the loss-column debate: It's 4. Supposing the Yankees are a .600 team (a 97 win team) here's the probability breakdown.... [table]Game 1|Game 2|Prob Win|Win|0.36 Lose|Win|0.24 Win|Lose|0.24 Lose|Lose|0.16[/table] 36% of the time you will be 3 back, 48% of the time you will be 4 back, 16% of the time you will be 5 back after catching up in games played. Yes, I know this is not written in stone, the games have to be played, pitching matchup matter, blah, blah, blah. Point is, it is folly to count them as wins, which is what you do when you ignore the win column as well. Think about that.
  3. Per game post-season stats.... [table]Team|Home FTA|Road FTA|Home:Road Atlanta|35.7|28.3|1.26 Boston|23.3|23.0|1.01 Cleveland|33.8|25.2|1.34 Dallas|27.0|32.0|0.84 Denver|21.5|36.5|0.59 Detroit|19.2|21.4|0.90 Houston|24.7|27.7|0.89 L.A.|36.3|31.3|1.16 N.O.|22.4|16.8|1.33 Orlando|22.8|25.3|0.90 Philadelphia|31.3|28.7|1.09 Phoenix|28.0|32.0|0.88 S.A.|23.8|20.8|1.14 Toronto|15.5|21.7|0.71 Utah|32.4|21.8|1.49 Washington|30.7|27.3|1.12[/table] 8 of 16 got favorable treatment at home, 1 was too close to call, 7 of 16 were treated better on the road. I don't think it's a strict home/road bias. I do note that the usual suspects, ie the teams you would think the NBA has interest in making it deep into the playoffs, all, with the exception of Boston (and maybe Phx), are on the list of those getting home cooking.
  4. *yawn* Probably belongs in the MiLB forum since that is where Abe's career will end.
  5. Dunno, but I like it. I'm getting the sense that the longevity of his stay in S.C. has more to do with mental development than physical. Perhaps they want to really boost his confidence before moving him up. That's all I can come up with at this point.
  6. I think it hit something overhead, but in fair territory. Or am I thinking of the Trop? I thought all covered stadiums used the same rules (which are retarded, IMO).
  7. It never ceases to amaze me that they allow that to happen in covered stadiums. It's easily one of the worst rules in baseball.
  8. Agree. #3 could have been scary if he wasn't taking too. I liked #4 though.
  9. Pitch #2 is what I'm looking for. Nice split to follow it.
  10. It'll be interesting to see what Papelbon does here. I'll smile if he 1 mph slower but on the black. I'll frown if he's pulling a Nuke LaLoosh. Regardless of outcome.
  11. Didn't Lowrie win the triple crown in the Pac10?
  12. Lowrie's stool has more baseball skill than Lugo.
  13. Okajima? Hmmm, I would have started the inning with Dice and someone warm in the 'pen. I don't like this, regardless of outcome.
  14. Since I said this.... He's done this.... 5 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 5 K I will continue this trend.
  15. Nice hustle, Dustin. Now let's knock this chow-hound out of the game.
  16. You will have to excuse my tardy posts, JHB. I'm on mlb.tv so my reaction to event #1 was probably in sync with event #2. Blasted streaming delays.
  17. Did that just happen?
  18. Gomez: 2 of 5 walks on the season by Boston pitchers. That's f***ing stupid. Dice blows. EDIT: Those 2 walks are in 11 innings.
  19. Blyleven thinks the 2-2 to Tek had plenty of the plate. Gameday disagrees. But, he's a former pitcher, so I can't fault him.
  20. Manny has been looking kind of lost the last few days. Youk hasn't.
  21. Concussions are serious business. They should proceed with extreme caution. I recommend the 60-day DL.
  22. Bingo, that and getting too much of the plate with Young, who has no discipline either.
  23. I don't think Lugo, after a lifetime of playing baseball, can identify a curve yet. It's become almost predictable. Get ahead with one in the zone while Lugo's knees buckle. Throw two in the dirt that he chases. Mix a FB in there every once in a while to keep him honest.
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