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ORS

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Everything posted by ORS

  1. Beckett: "Hey Victor, I want to try the suckball one more time." Victor: "You sure?" Beckett: "Yeah, I really like the suckball, I'll throw one to Rivera. It'll be great."
  2. Nice time to break out the suckball.
  3. It is when he swings.
  4. Ok, 2 strikes, time to quit guessing.
  5. There are 90 degrees of fair territory. What is the likelihood that two consecutive hitters hit the ball to the same fielder so directly that he doesn't have to step in either direction to field the ball? EDIT: With the IF in?
  6. Don't ask me, the guy who called it was as close as the 1B ump is for a play at 1B.
  7. Mauer hit the ball down the 3B line, Melky comes over trying to field it, it nicks his glove while he's in fair territory, then lands like 2' inside the line. Ump called it foul. Would have been a GR double.
  8. You've got to be kidding me. That ball was fair....twice.
  9. Against the Yankees, if Joe Nathan sucked any more, Linda Lovelace would sue him for copyright infringement.
  10. Are you asking yourself questions?
  11. And people say the Garza/Bartlett trade for Young/Harris was one sided. Fools, I tell you.
  12. Wow, very impressive.
  13. The dish is not savory until it has fully cooked.
  14. Girarduh.
  15. Surprised they don't go to Rivera here. If Girardi didn't have him warming when Hughes took the ball in a tie game, that's a blunder.
  16. For 29 teams it's called filing a grievance. For the Yankees, it's called scheduling a meeting with Bob Watson for salary review.
  17. It's no longer just death and taxes as the only things you can count on. The 3-0 strike can make that list.
  18. The best system is linear weights. It assigns a run value to every offensive outcome, both at the plate and on the bases. Conceptually, think about it like this, each outcome is a variable in an equation. 1B + 2B + 3B + HR + BB + HBP + IBB + SF + SH + Out + HIDP + SB + CS + RoE = Runs That's 14 variables, and each year you have 30 team outputs. Since the number of equations is greater than the number of variables, you can solve it as a system of equations and determine the value of each outcome. On BB-Ref, they keep this stat. It's called Batting Runs, only it's displayed relative to league average (for all players - not by position). So a player with 10 BtRns is 10 runs better than average by linear weights.
  19. OPS+ only takes actual OPS and adjusts it for home park and pitching staff. It's still got the different scale error.
  20. It's already been determined, and it's 1.7, approximately. However, that is really only a scale adjustment. SLG is on a 4.000 scale, OBP is on a 1.000. It's important to remember that SLG actually has a higher correlation to team run scoring. I forget the exact numbers, but it's something like .88 to .85. OPS is around .92.
  21. If you read the book and come away from it with "curse breaking" attempts by a management team who focusses on quantifiable data, then you really missed the point.....by a shitload.
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