Roman Anthony Is Built To Carry A Lineup, So Why Is He Struggling In 2026?

Although he seems to be finally turning the corner at the plate, Roman Anthony has not gotten off to a start that both he and fans were hoping for. It’s a bit understandable as the Boston media circus and the organization have all placed an immense amount of pressure on the young slugger’s shoulders. After the team failed to bring back Alex Bregman, Anthony was thrust into the spotlight as the guy to carry the load offensively. He’s able to do that, but he’s only 21 and is currently in his first full season in the big leagues.

Anthony’s start to the season mirrored the entire club’s: slow. From the beginning of the season until the end of the Cardinals series, he was slashing .200/.290/.309 with a .272 wOBA, 65 wRC+, and a -0.1 fWAR. In the most recent Twins series though, Anthony broke out. He went 5-for-10 with two doubles, two strikeouts, and three walks. As he was ascending through the minors, we heard a ton about his impressive eye and command of the strike zone. If we add that series back into his totals, we see the uptick. He’s now slashing .232/.338/.348 with a .313 wOBA, 94 wRC+, and 0.2 fWAR. What a difference a few games can make.

Through the first month of the season, his steady plate discipline and eye to disappear. He was swinging through a lot of pitches that he had no business swinging at, and the numbers reflect that. He’s currently ranked in the 23rd percentile in whiff rate (30.4%), and his strikeout rate puts him in the 27th percentile at 26.3%. That’s less than ideal, but the Twins series looked different. He seemed more poised and confident in his swing choices. He wasn’t chasing as much and when he made contact, it was solid. And, in truth, that mirrors his contributions across the entire campaign thus far.

The expected stats pass the eye test. An average exit velocity of 92.8 mph is nothing to sneeze at, and far more indicative of the solid work he's been doing in the batter's box to this point.

He obviously has to correct his sudden penchant for whiffing; in particular, he's getting beat badly by off-speed stuff. His overall swing-and-miss rate on those offerings is 55.6%, which isn't sustainable at this level. There's no doubt that he has the talent to correct this flaw, but the league will adjust to even the slightest weakness that a player has. Anthony will have to adjust back, either by way of an altered plate approach or changing up his attack angle on his swing.

Throughout his time in the minors, his offensive profile was built on the fact that his pitch recognition was top tier and he only swung at pitches he knew he could make contact on. We saw that last season once he was called up as well—he had an impressive eye at the plate. Right now, he's pressing to make things happen instead of being selective and looking for pitches he knows he can do damage on. Again, his at-bats in the Twins series looked far more like the at-bats he’s been known for since he entered the organization.

There’s little reason to be worried about Anthony, even if he’s started the season slowly. He’s a young and has the ceiling for a perennial All-Star. His slow start has been less than ideal, but not everyone ramps up at the same rate in pro baseball. Sure, he demolished his time in the World Baseball Classic, but keeping that same energy through the start of a 162-game season is incredibly difficult to do. The underlying data is worth buying into, if only because the Red Sox need him to lead this offense in order to reach the heights they were built for.