norbit

Just don't see how he can be a 750ish hitter with how soft he hits the ball, but maybe he hits a s*** ton of balls off the monster.

Abreu is odd in that he starts off this on fire and then his bat turns into a wet noodle. 2025 after 4/6 wRC+ 92 2026 after 4/6. wRC+ 95. 100 is league average reference his defense, in my opinion defense at corner positions is significantly overvalued, I realize this is an unpopular opinion. I think we can both agree that he wouldn't be in the middle of a lineup of an average offensive team.

Since 5/28 Durbin is 307/341/588 wOBA .392, which is crazy cause his xwOBA is .305

It would be a crime to tear it down with quality of starting pitching the Sox have. The truth is the Red Sox are almost below average at every position when it comes to offense. I read an article awhile back reference baseball value, and it went something along the lines of 48% comes from offense, 40 % on pitching, 11% on defense. I think Bresolow went 48% pitching, 40% defense, and 11% offense.

I would bet that Mayer is the better player in the next 500at bats, his ceiling is too high. Durbin has already reached his ceiling. I'm not a huge Schmitt guy, I was watching the giants game and thought he would be an interesting fit. I'm not seeing where he is a below average 3b, per Statcast fielding at 3b 2023 2, 2024 0, 2025 -1, 2026 1. I didn't realize that he's played ss and 2b. I don't know if this is a career year for him, but every he gets better.. It's true that he doesn't walk much, but he still gets on base more than Durbin and without the walks still has a xwOBA .357 compared to Durbin's .281

Scoring runs. I think everyone agrees that the Sox offense is putrid. There will need to be at the minimum at least 3 offensive upgrades. I doubt the Sox trade Rafaela or Anthony, they could trade Contreras but then you're counting on Casas as the free agent class is trash. SS will be manned by Story at least the first couple of months and the hopefully replaced by Arias. Catcher needs an obvious upgrade and I would assume the Red Sox will be in on Jeffers but so will several other teams. That leaves 2b/3b, I could be wrong but I doubt they move Mayer for pennies on the dollar when his ceiling is so high. This is a personal opinion, but I don't value defense at the corner positions. Abreu has a league average bat and plays solid defense, belongs nowhere near the middle of the lineup. Durbin is similar to Abreu as most his value comes from defense, but the offensive upside is limited as he just doesn't hit the ball hard(4th percentile exit velocity), even in his current hot streak his xwOBA is only .299 where league average is .320. Early would be my choice if I had to move at pitcher in a package for a upgrade position player, I think Tolle and Bennet are significantly better and Eyenson will be in AAA next year with couple of other interesting arms. None of Durbin, Abreu, or Early alone will bring back an impact bat, but maybe if they are part of a package. I think a lot of fans including myself get caught up getting the most value out of players, when the goal should just to be able just to get the best players.

I haven't thought about Durbin at 2b due to the lack of 3b in next years free agent class, but what if San Francisco made Schmitt available? you could have Mayer and Durbin battle it out at 2b, Arias up around May 1st, a couple key free agent acquisitions and suddenly you have a Major League line up.

Im in the sell camp now and I don't see the next couple of weeks changing that. Must trade: Chapman, Gray Willing to trade: Whitlock, Abreu, Durbin Have to be overwhelmed: Contreras, Early When it comes to Duran, he has little to no value, might as well and see if he can right the ship and increase his value this offseason.

I think people overall are too down on Mayer. Less than 350 PA, has already improved his K% from 30% to 19% and well above average bat speed. The body type appears to be able to add significant amount of strength.

Contreras had a miserable April last year, but from May 1st on he had a wRC+ of 136 compared to Alonzo who during the same time span put up a wRC+124. Contreras is also significantly better defensively.

Marcel Ozuna is still available and put up a .351 xwOBA last year while dealing with a lingering hip issue.

When I look at Player's season, I usually take out the first series due to timing, anxiety, and physical conditions. So when I look at the outfielders I was kind of surprised. Rafeala 253/299/421 wRC+ 95 Duran. 257/332/445 wRC+ 112 Abreu. 234/299/441 wRC+ 97 and this is him being consistently platooned. My personal preference is strong up the middle defense and getting offense from the corners. I would not be surprised if Duran and Abreu are moved, one is obviously better offensively and the other defensively.

I don't see why Story couldn't play 3b, his arm strength is the same as Bregman and he's 10x's the athlete.