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Fan_since_Boggs

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Everything posted by Fan_since_Boggs

  1. Fan_since_Boggs
    If the Red Sox are still playing .500 baseball at the beginning of June, does Farrell get the axe? Can he survive the entire season playing .500 baseball? I don't know--I don't have a good feel for it either way.
  2. Fan_since_Boggs
    I wanted to trade him as well--just had a bad feeling about the guy and, yes, he is way too streaky. They could have moved Benintendi to CF and brought in an offensive upgrade at LF. It is possible that another team would have overpaid for Bradley, coveting his OF defense. It is too late to trade him now--his value is too low due to his slump. If he breaks out of it, I would consider trading him. My fear is that Dombrowski is going to trade Devers this season. He has traded every other high upside Red Sox prospect. Why stop now?
  3. Fan_since_Boggs
    Yeah a total salary dump. The Phillies were probably one of the few teams that would take on all of Buchholz's contract. Dombrowski was right to trade him now rather than wait. (1) Buchholz is fragile--he could get hurt in spring training and the Red Sox would be stuck with the contract. (2) The Phillies have the budget for Buchholz NOW but they might not have the budget for Buchholz one or two months from now.
  4. Fan_since_Boggs
    To get Syndegaard, I'm guessing the Mets would want more than Bradley--they would want Betts. Bradley Jr. and Pomeranz for deGrom and Bruce. This was a deal that I suggested prior to the Sale trade. Bruce and Young platoon in LF.
  5. Fan_since_Boggs
    I agree with this analysis. This was pretty much Dave Cameron's point too: the Red Sox gave up too much for Sale--Cameron wouldn't have made the trade. Dombrowski is making the media rounds going over how the two deals came together as if he has some special talent for such things. What a joke. In both cases, the deals were completed because Dombrowski overpaid. He did the same thing for Kimbrel. Anyone can make deals like this if you want to completely unload and decimate your farm system, which is what Dombrowski has done. If he didn't inherit a top farm system, Sale would still be on the White Sox. We kept hearing that Dombrowski is very shrewd when it comes to making deals, but I haven't seen evidence of it. In each trade, he is either getting fair value back or he is overpaying. What is so shrewd about that? Trading nothing for A.Chapman was a shrewd deal, the one Cashman made last offseason.
  6. Fan_since_Boggs
    Draft order: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2017-draft-order/ The Cards and Rockies have given up their picks, moving the Red Sox to 24. I would like to see the Marlins sign Janson, moving the Red Sox up another spot. The White Sox, Yankees, Pirates aren't giving up their picks. It sounds like the Tigers aren't spending. The Royals probably won't spend. I'm not sure about the Astros, but with Beltran signed, they don't need Bautista, Encarncion, or Trumbo. If the Guardians or Rangers sign Encarncion it wouldn't improve the Red Sox's first round draft position (alas).
  7. Fan_since_Boggs
    Right now the Red Sox's first round pick is 24th and could go a few spots higher, which would be awesome. They could draft a total bust with that pick. They could also draft the next N.Syndegaard with that pick. The other important consideration: by losing their first round pick, the Red Sox would have a much smaller draft budget, and this would make it more difficult to sign an over slot prospect later in the draft (to buy out his college commitment). So, in some ways, the Red Sox would lose two prospects by signing Bautista, not one. When you factor in Moreland's ability to prevent runs, something Bautista is no longer good at, the difference between the two is not as significant as we would normally think, especially if we factor in a decline in Bautista's production (age) and an increase in Moreland's (Fenway might augment his BA).
  8. Fan_since_Boggs
    I'm starting to think that Moreland will play against righties and lefties, and that Young will give Benintenti and Bradley some days off against lefties. The Red Sox may prioritize Moreland's defense especially with uncertainty surrounding Sandoval's glove at 3b. It would also be interesting to examine a hit chart on Moreland. He may be the type of hitter who goes the other way and can take advantage of the wall.
  9. Fan_since_Boggs
    Moonslav, based on the projected budget for future years, do you think the Red Sox will have the resources to sign someone like Manny Machado after the 2018 season? I'm selecting Machado because there is a good chance (now that Moncada is gone) that the Red Sox will need a 3b in a few years. Devers could always play 1b and it is still a little early to know what he might become. I don't want the Yankees to sign Harper AND Machado; I would like to see the Red Sox go hard after one of them.
  10. Fan_since_Boggs
    I thought the penalty was for last year and not the 2017 signing period. Though, I'm not fully certain.
  11. Fan_since_Boggs
    I would trade Buchholz for international signing money. I believe that can be done under the new CBA. I don't think the Red Sox can get a top prospect for Buchholz. By increasing their international spending amount, the Red Sox can hopefully sign one of the top international free agents in the coming year. They will also have the 24th pick (if not higher) in the draft. The international free agent and the first round pick would slot right behind Devers and Groome, giving the Red Sox four really good prospects (at least). Such a plan would help rebuild their decimated farm system.
  12. Fan_since_Boggs
    Probably not, but this would have been my best offer. If the White Sox want Moncada, they don't get Devers, Kopech, or Groome. They can have Pomeranz and Swihart instead. If that isn't good enough, call someone else.
  13. Fan_since_Boggs
    It sounds like the Red Sox want to move Buchholz instead of Pomeranz. I would move the latter in order to bring in a better prospect. But Dombrowski is clearly in the win now mode and isn't going to trade away the better pitcher. Assuming Buchholz gets dealt, the Red Sox will have 6 starters: Sale Porcello Price Rodriguez Wright Pomeranz Since Wright is so flexible, I would put him in the bullpen, but I would start him from time to time when the Red Sox play a stretch of games without a day off. In other words, I would use a 6 man rotation on occasion. An occasional 6 man rotation would keep down the innings of the other starters--the Red Sox would go into the playoffs with less wear and tear on the big 3: Sale, Porcello, and Price.
  14. Fan_since_Boggs
    I agree with Cameron's take.
  15. Fan_since_Boggs
    This deal could backfire on the Red Sox big time. Let's say Sale continues to lose velocity and his violent delivery catches up to him. Meanwhile, let's say Kopech turns into the next N.Syndegaard (the potential is there). In that scenario, it wouldn't even matter what happens with Moncada--the Red Sox lose the deal in a big way. And if Moncada develops into something really good, the deal would be an historic fleecing that should cost Dombrowski his job. I would have traded Moncada for Sale, but I would not have included Kopech, Devers, or Groome in the same trade.
  16. Fan_since_Boggs
    I see a Buchholz trade as something akin to a salary dump that would net a decent prospect, but probably not a great one. In contrast, I think Pomeranz has more value (team control for two years) and can bring back an excellent prospect. As such, I would like to see the Red Sox trade Pomeranz; Buchholz stays as the 6th starter, bullpen depth.
  17. Fan_since_Boggs
    Based on the new CBA, it sounds like Otani will not be coming to the major leagues after the 2017 season: http://sports.yahoo.com/news/report-mlb-not-willing-to-make-exception-for-shohei-otani-210526575.html Instead, Otani will likely come over at age 25 when he is no longer subjected to spending limits on international players.
  18. Fan_since_Boggs
    MLB Rumor Central: Mariners to check availability of Drew Pomeranz, Clay Buchholz? http://www.espn.com/blog/mlb/rumors/post/_/id/32211/mlb-rumor-central-mariners-to-check-availability-of-drew-pomeranz-clay-buchholz I was looking over the Mariners farm system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2016?list=sea I doubt the Mariners move Kyle Lewis. Luiz Gohara is an interesting prospect.
  19. Fan_since_Boggs
    I'm assuming Encarncion isn't in the Red Sox's plans at all. He would cost a first round draft pick. He would require a significant investment in terms of dollars. In comparison to Moreland, Encarncion would hurt the Red Sox's defense and ability to prevent runs. The Red Sox may have concerns about Sandoval's defense at 3b; they minimize such concerns by adding Moreland, a stud defender at the other infield corner.
  20. Fan_since_Boggs
    I like this move. Against righties, Moreland plays 1b and Hanley goes to the DH spot. Against lefties, Moreland goes to the bench, Hanley plays 1b, Young will DH or play the OF, moving one of the starting outfielders to the DH spot to help keep the starting outfielders fresh.
  21. Fan_since_Boggs
    I can tolerate giving up stud prospects for a dominant SP. I can tolerate trading T.Shaw for Thornburg. But Dombrowski continues to overpay for relievers. He gave up too much for Kimbrel when he had better options (the Yankees had not yet acquired Chapman for basically nothing) and now he trades a really good SS prospect (along with Shaw) for a volatile set up reliever who has had arm/elbow issues in the past.
  22. Fan_since_Boggs
    I would have preferred including Pomeranz in the Sale trade instead of Kopech. In turn, the White Sox could have traded Pomeranz for a prospect. I would now like to see the Red Sox trade Pomeranz for a prospect, a really good one, to keep the farm system strong. As many predicted, Dombrowski came in and decimated the farm system. I don't support trading E-Rod at all. ROTATION: Sale Porcello Price Rodriguez Wright With Buchholz in the bullpen and occasional starter to keep down innings. For me, Pomeranz has more value as a trade chip than reliever. The guy pitched too well last year for the Padres to be demoted to the bullpen.
  23. Fan_since_Boggs
    http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/nippon-ham-fighters-planning-to-post-shohei-otani-after-2017-season.html He can hit and pitch. He might be a better fit for the AL where he can pitch every five days and DH on the days he isn't pitching. In the NL, of course, he would be forced to play the field on the days he isn't pitching and that might be asking too much. It sounds like he is a better pitcher than hitter but can do both, and, more importantly, wants to do both. This guy is going to cost 300 million? I was hoping the Yankees would sign Encarncion, but I figured they wouldn't give up a pick or lock themselves into a long term contract with an older player. A-Rod's contract comes off the books next year; I could see the Yankees going all out for Otani. I don't want the Yankees to sign him. Will the Red Sox be able to afford him? If they can get under the cap this year, that would put them in better position to spend big on Otani.
  24. Fan_since_Boggs
    I'm not sure if the market is moving in this direction, though. Teams are starting to place higher and higher value on position players due to the uncertainty with the health of so many pitchers. This is why the Braves and Nats will not include Swanson and Turner for Sale. Moncada is comparable to Swanson and Turner in terms of value. http://www.fanragsports.com/mlb/heyman-dansby-swanson-not-sale-even-sale/ Alvarez is a poor defensive player, but he could play 1b or 3b in emergency situations. His acquisition would make T.Shaw much less necessary and a possible trade candidate, maybe for a reliever. The Red Sox would still have B.Holt on the 25 man roster, along with Moncada and Sam Travis in the minors. They should shop Shaw to a team desperate for 3b help.
  25. Fan_since_Boggs
    The Braves refuse to include Swanson for Sale; the Nationals refuse to include Turner for Sale; likewise, it wouldn't be unreasonable for the Red Sox to refuse to include Moncada for Sale. http://www.fanragsports.com/mlb/heyman-dansby-swanson-not-sale-even-sale/ I think teams are looking at the Cubs and how the Cubs focused on trading for and developing position players, knowing that such players come with less health risks than pitchers. As a result, young stud position players are highly valued in today's market, whereas pitchers (especially those with declining velocity like Sale) come with greater risks.
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