notin
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Everything posted by notin
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WAR is the dumbest stat known to mankind (Trout vs. Betts)
notin replied to kenmeister's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
And for what it is worth, Fangraphs has Betts with 3.6 WAR and Trout with 3.3. Citing wither player as the "greatest of all time" for bWAR or fWAR or anything like that is a little silly, given the complete lack of defensive data on players like Babe Ruth and Ty Cobb.. -
WAR is the dumbest stat known to mankind (Trout vs. Betts)
notin replied to kenmeister's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
That's a big part of it. Defensively, center field is considered more important than RF so it has a bigger input on the defensive factors in WAR, which were not accounted for in the OP. Don't forget, WAR is for Wins Above Replacement at your position. So if the Replacement Level CF is starting from a higher baseline, the numbers are not apples to apples when comparing CF to RF... -
An unproven commodity? That's not what that testimonial from Natick to NC said...
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Neither title is correct. Dombrowski is the President of Baseball Operations for the Red Sox Cherington is the Vice President of Baseball Operations for the Blue Jays
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And yet still, with all that, our manager refuses to play him and our GM can't seem to work out a decent trade. If all this were true, you'd think at least 15 GMs would be making substantial offers by now. ..
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We're a few days closer to June 1 than April 30. I don't expect Bradley to hit .300 this year, but no one expected Valentin to turn around his season so effectively either...
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Bullpen help is definitely easier to get, cheaper to acquire, and always a need for every team. Plus getting another catcher would mean DFAing either Vazquez or Leon, and that is something the Sox have been hesitant to do...
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Last year, 262 rookies made their MLB debut, which does exceed one third of all roster spots. But 52 of debuted after September 1, when different roster rules apply. But only 3 had enough plate appearances to qualify for a title and only 50 had even 100 plate appearances. 50 pitchers had as many as 50 IP. Historically, over one half of these players will never play in MLB again.
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Sometimes better products don't pan out. In fact that's really the case with most of them. There's a really good chance the Sox deal Swihart and never miss him, much like how they don't miss Owens, Middlebrooks, or Cecchini. This isn't always a matter of the prospect being mishandled or poorly developed. There are only 750 possible roster spots in MLB. It's a little silly to think they're are 100 players in the minors worthy of earning one every year. ...
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That doesn't mean you'll be heading in the right direction. ..
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Quite a few at this point in the season. And hitting .160 in mid-May isn't the end to the season. In 1997, Jon Valentin hit .160 in April but ended the season hitting .306, the only time he hit .300 with enough at-bats to qualify...
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The Sox chances of getting Realmuto are about the same as chances of me purchasing New Zealand. Lucroy is more likely if Oakland falls out of contention. Wellington Castillo is also a distinct possibility. ...
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The more I look at this, why would any team keep a DH with an OPS of .666? At least Bradley brings defense to the game...
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Making this team better doesn't need to carry unrealistic expectations, does it? And keeping the up-the-middle defense intact might be more important than the performances of the 8 and 9 spot hitters. It's not like the Sox were counting on Bradley and Vazquez the way the DBacks are counting on Paul Goldschmidt and his .697 OPS / 85OPS+
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And they won a WS with Calos Beltran (OPS .666) at DH and Nori Aoki (OPS .694) in LF. Not Bradley-esque, but certainly not "threats" in the lineup...
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How many teams have 8 guys in the lineup who are threats?
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You're going to want Cherington back in 2 or 3 years if this farm system doesn't get any better. #thecliffisreal
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Hanigan was a prototypical backup catcher. If the Sox had any faith in Vazquez - and reportedly they did - the catching staff was never going to be both of them. At one point, the Sox were getting significant trade interest in Vazquez, yet they elected to keep him. So I must assume on some level they did like Vazquez as well. Of course, that might have been more about Cherington, who was a wee bit reluctant to deal any minor league talent.
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Good thing. Because there aren't 5 Sales out there. Sale leads all pitches in fWAR since 2015. Ahead of Scherzer. Ahead of Kershaw. Ahead of everyone...
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Plus they had a guy named Coke. They weren't even trying to hide their drug usage...
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There's no magic formula to win a title. For a long time, I kept seeing people say "You need an ace to win a title." But then KC won a World Series without an ace. When this was pointed out, the ace-supportes invariably sad "That's different. They had a killer bullpen." Well that's the entire point. If you don't excel in one area, you can make up for it with better play in others. Pitching, defense, etc. And really, weak hitting from the 8 and 9 spots in the lineup is fairly commonplace. How many championship teams had solid hitters in spots 1 through 9? The only team in MLB history with a .300 hitter at every position was the 1930 Cardinals. And they didn't win the World Series...
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Why not? I've seen a lot of comments on this like it's a fact. But the Sox are 30-14 overall and 23-10 (.696) with 2 black holes in the starting lineup...
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Dare you hint there might be a cliff? Blasphemer!!!
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Also true. He was there before Epstein and there after Epstein left.
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Trading a good starting pitcher for a reliever seems like a rasonable blanket statement. But if you take into account the financials, it can make sense, especially long term. For example, would you deal David Price and his remaining 4 years $120+ mill for someone from that killer Milwaukee bullpen? And then there are times with pending free agency that it makes sense, too. Trading an All Star position player for a pitcher can also have its time and place, especially if you take into account years of control. but if the point is position players are more valuable than pitchers, there are plenty of GMs who appear to take that stance at its core...
