moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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11 losses are fine, if we win the 12 no decisions.
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It's very early, and the sample sizes are tiny, but here are some numbers: IP H ER BB K 2 0 0 1 3 Bello 2 0 0 0 1 Winckowski 2 0 0 1 1 Giolito 2 0 0 0 0 Houck 2 3 1 0 1 Crawford 2 2 0 2 1 Campbell 2 1 0 0 2 Hagenman 2 3 0 0 2 Murphy 2 1 0 0 2 Slaten 2 1 0 2 3 Weissert 2 2 0 1 2 Denlinger 2 1 1 0 2 Whitlock (Not all pitchers listed, just those doing well or okay.) Highest OPS (6+ AB) 1.875 Sogard 1.167 Reyes 1.125 Kolozsvary 1.111 Contreras .944 Rafaela .875 Westbrook
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Our points are "truth" as well. Nobody is saying the listed Monty win totals are wrong.
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There will always be gray areas on everything. In your scenario, the guy did get on base. Din g him for baserunning skills not OB skills. On Sac bunts: the batter is being told to make an out. Somehow, that should not hurt his OBP, if he did what he was told to do, well. Some hitters are nver asked to bunt sac.
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Yes, 6 IP and 2 ER but 4 unearned runs won't win many games.
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I'm not sure about the "should" part, but I get it. Why not count reach on error as getting on base, then? He stepped up and got on base.
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Monty is a pretty good pitcher. He gives innings. He keeps opponents from scoring a lot. He takes the ball, every 5 days. There might be 20-30 SP'ers better than him, but none are on the Sox. The odds are much better for us to win, if he was on the mound, and if wins is what the game is all about, he's a damn good SP'ers for increasing the chances of winning. If he were to join the Sox, sending Houck to the pen would turn our pen from about average to a clear top 10-14 pen, on paper. That would help all our SP'ers in getting the team more wins. Just do it. The cost should not be too high, as it seems nobody is beating down the door to overpay him.
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I always assumed SA did not hurt OBP.
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More than the determination on who gets the win needs to be changed, but it's hard to do it while keeping the rules 100% objective. I think the QS rule should be updated to something like tis: Now: 6 IP and 3 or less earned runs allowed. My idea: 4+ IP 0-1 ER allowed 5+ IP 0-2 ER allowed 6+ IP 0-3 ER allowed 8+ IP 0-4 ER allowed (This seems like a no brainer. If going 6 and allowing 3 is quality at a 4.50 ERA, why wouldn't 8 IP at a 4.50 ERA be as good or not better?) On wins, if a pitcher does any of the above and the team wins, assuming he left with the team ahead or tied, he should get the win, even if the team was tied or fell behind after he left. If a RP'er pitches more IP than the SP'er and does better, he should get the win, no matter what. (I'm not sure how to quantify that.)
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I guess the most important thing a SP'er must do is let up less runs than the opponent. If he lets up 7 ER and gets the win, because his team scored 8+, he's a better pitcher than the guy who lets up 1 run in a team loss. Got it.
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Not if a run scores, right? It's no PA.
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...and Grissom v Sale.
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Yes, as long as the team went 23-10 in their starts. I'd be bummed about the pen or O for not allowing them to meet some crazy guideline for them to be credited with the win, but if the team wins, that's what counts more than which pitcher gets credit for the win.
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Mis Casases son tus Casases.
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Agreed. I'd like to see a fairer number than OBP + SLG, since OBP is more valuable. Something like this: (3 x OBP) + (2 x SLG)/ 5 Cue the BA Traditionalist Brigade.
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My order could look like this: OPS Against (which is hard to find, except season by season) ERA- (or ERA+) IP xFIP WHIP K% v BB% (better than K/9 and BB/9, since good pitchers face less batters per 9 IP) I'm not big on HR/9 rates, but it can be something used as a tie-breaker. I value IP per GS more highly.
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I get your point. It is valid. It's really not much of a reward. It just doesn't count the AB. Unlike a BB, it does not help (or hurt) BA or OBP.
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JBJ showed a lot of potential with the bat, especially during years 3 and 4, when he had an .834 OPS (117 OPS+). After that, he managed to stay over .717, but mostly due to having incredible hot streaks within each season. (.737 and a 93 OPS+ over his next 4 seasons- up to 2020.) He was my favorite Sox player over his first 8 seasons in MLB. He was fun to watch. (He did manage a 101 OPS+ from 2015-2020.) I hope Rafaela can top that.
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It's always nice getting reports like these. Thanks.
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For some reason, supporting evidence bothers some, and we are made out to be a posse seeking to silent any desenters.
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King Felix was 169-136 career (.554 %) Take away his best 2 W-L season in '09 and '15, and he was 132-122 in his other 13 seasons. That averages to a 10-9 record. He really sucked, those years. The 3.42 ERA and 117 ERA+ was just a mirage.
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I think the word "sacrifice" implies intentionality, but your point is still valid.
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Yea, the plan of using Noah Song as our closer is deeply flawed.
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LOL! Good one! I'd say the Sox will have plus O, plus pen, near average D and bad luck.
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Pitchers who pitch for bad teams or bad offensive and defensive teams can never be a great pitcher. How often do you hear people say, pitcher A had a 2.90 career ERA over 18 years, but the stat is so flawed, he really wasn't very good?
