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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Last year we started off 3-3 with 2 games vs Pitt and 4 vs DET. We won the division. In 2016, we started off 3-4 (2 vs CLE, 3 vs TOR and 2 vs BAL). We won the division. In our championship 2013 season, we started 5-4 (NYY, TOR, BAL) Our 2007 championship season started out at 2-3 and 4-4 (KC & TEX) 2004 started out with a 2 and 3 start (BAL & TOR) and 6-5. I like being 6-1 with a bunch of tougher teams coming up at some point than being 3-4 with easier teams to play going forwatd.
  2. Arb contracts also have a lot to do with what arb year it is. It's hard to compare the Betts arb with JBJ, because Betts' $10.5M was year one of 3 arbs. JBJ's $6.1M was in year 2 of 4 arbs. I hope we can keep both of these guys. Having great defense in CF and RF in Fenways is a huge plus. I do get the point about redundancy and the idea of trying to keep JMart happy by getting him more OF time, so I could see us trading JBJ to either save $8-10M next year or find a SP'er to take Pom's place or closer to take Kimbrel's place.
  3. Those are usually the ones that beat us!
  4. So, what's it going to say about Yankee pitching when we bust out on you guys?
  5. Suppose someone like Swihart becomes the fourth outfielder with JD starting in left. Johnson takes over the fifth rotation spot. If we trade JBJ for pitching or prospects, I think Nunez plays LF more than Swihart.
  6. I could see us trading JBJ next winter, and maybe he'd be part of a package for a better starter than a number 4 type. I may be biased, but I think he's worth a solid #3 straight up. It always seems like GMs ask about JBJ. Maybe they just figure we're not dealing Betts or Beni. I do think GMs value JBJ's defense more than some here might think.
  7. I seriously doubt any GM adds or subtracts value from any player based on a 7 game sample size.
  8. The rays almost always do better than most expect.
  9. I'm not "celebrating." but I'm glad we're off to a good start and out pitchers look very good. An 0.86 ERA in 7 games is pretty good no matter who you're facing. Sure, I'm not expecting 0.86 vs the Yanks and Astros, but I doubt their starters go 0.86 vs the Rays and Marlins..
  10. Sox OPS .989 Bogey .952 Betts .816 HRam .757 Devers .666 Nunez .656 JMart .650 Swihart .541 Beni .534 Vaz .467 JBJ .400 Leon .375 Holt .100 Moreland
  11. Starter Numbers: 0 ER 14 IP 7 H 3 BB Price (0.00 ERA/ 0.714 WHIP) 1 ER 11 IP 6 H 3 BB Sale (0.82 ERA/0.818 WHIP) 1 ER 6.0IP 6 H 1 BB Johnson (1.50/ 1.333) 1 ER 5.2IP 5 H 1 BB Velazquez (1.59/ 1.059) 1 ER 5.1IP 6 H 1 BB Porcello (1.69/ 1.313) Not one starter with an ERA over 1.70! (Yes, small sample size but still meaningful.) Team starter ERA 0.86 WHIP 0.929
  12. Where's the trade JMart thread?
  13. Extend him now, before his price tag goes up!
  14. Not me. Give it a month or two more, at least.
  15. I'd actually prefer Moreland to play 1B vs at least half the RH'd starters. As much as I hated the signing, I thought the purpose was to keep HRam from vesting. If that's not the reason, then the signing moves from the horrible to disgusting category.
  16. It's like we're now paying HRam $28.5M for 2 years, if we never play Moreland and let HRam vest.
  17. SSS. Do you really think he's going to end up at 6.4 wins? No. But now that he will be playing more 1B than DH, his WAR should be better than last year. I also think he's going to have a decent to good year. I do not want him to vest. I still think he needs to earn a FT job this year and should not be handed 500+ PAs. So far, he's doing well and has not done anything to show he should not be playing all games vs LHPs and some vs RHPs.
  18. You said it much better than I could have. NIce job! Here's a list of players we obtained through supplemental and international picks- something that will not be so easy to do going forward, as you pointed out. International: Bogaerts IGGY & Montas (Peavy > Hembree) Lin Margot (Kimbrel) Moncada & Basabe (Sale) Espinoza (Pomeranz) Devers Velazquez plus others Ellsbury (who later got us Kopech as a comp pick) Hansen Buchholz Fife Brentz Ranaudo (R Ross) Workman Barnes Swihart JBJ Johnson Light (Abad) Kopech -- our last comp pick (2014)
  19. 1) It's a lot harder to rebuild the farm with the new rules, especially when you are winning 4-6 years in a row. 2) 5 years? If we keep every essential player who will become a FA in the next 5 years, our budget will be over $300M. 3) The window looks to be 2-3 more years, unless something happens that is not, at this time, probable.
  20. He's at +0.2 so far this year- on pace for +6.4.
  21. I seriously doubt HRam will be an essential player in a championship run, but if he's needed that much, I'd change my mind. Besides, playoff PAs don't count on the vesting option.
  22. I do think Swihart would improve in that area, if he was given a lot of time- maybe just with one particular starter, but the learning curve may not be short, and we have a season to play and take every game seriously. I have to think the reason Swihart does not catch much is because of how he handles the staff and defends the plate. Nobody doubts he's a better hitter than Leon. As it is now, Vaz will likely catch 4 out of 5 starters, so even if Swi beats out Leon, he'll likely only catch 20% of the games. Is that enough for him to improve measurably?
  23. It will be at year two rates and penalties. The over $40M penalty kicks in, and the following season will be really tough to keep whoi we want (Sale/Bogey...)
  24. I actually like inter league play, but that aspect of it stinks. I'd like to see something like this: Play every other league team every year 3 times (3 x 15=45) Play every other division team 6 times (6 x 10= 60) Play your own division 14-15 times (14 x 3= 42 and 15 x 1= 15 for 57 total) You could play other divisions 5 games (5 x 10-50) and your own division 16-17 games. Totally balanced might look like this: 2 games vs every other league team (2 x 15=30) 6 games vs every other in-league division (6 x 10=60) 18 games vs own division (18 x 4=72)
  25. ...and he will prevent us from keeping Pom and/or Kimbrel.
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