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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Swihart is not playing regularly, now, so I guess we should not count the good with the bad, then, right? Yes, he's playing more, but not all that much. Monthly PAs 21 April .390 27 May .470 35 June .348 38 July .1.091 36 August .479 5 Sept .400 He's had one good month with just 7 games started and 38 PAs.
  2. Yes, Lakins went from 19th to 13th...not down but up. My bad. I fixed it.
  3. I meant starting May 13th, after may 12th, but you are right, starting May 20th gives a better number. Starting May 20th, he has a .797 OPS in 318 PAs. (10 Hrs in those 86 games) His OPS was at .502 after May 19th's game. It's at .707, now.
  4. It was the perfect time to let him go 3-4 innings and "build up" to be a starter, if needed.
  5. JBJ has 2 arb years left. He may get close to $15M his last arb year, if he keeps hitting like he has since May 12th.
  6. What we have in the minors has nothing to do with arb costs. It's all about getting closest to what the arb guy determines. Chances are we settle before the arb at slightly above the projected amount. (Maybe $10.5M) Remember, this is not his last arb year, which typically gives the biggest raise.
  7. dWAR does not cover catcher-pitcher relationship and comfort level. Vaz has had a defensive slump this year. I think he'll do better going forward. I don't have the same hopes for Swihart's defense and pitcher relationships.
  8. I was surprised they only used Wright for one inning yesterday.
  9. He hit .726 last year and got a 70% raise. He's barely over .700 this year, and now this makes 2 years closer to .700 than .750. A 70% raise this year would be about $4.3M, which would bring him to $10.4M. usually raises get bigger as they near the last 1 or 2, but I think JBJ will get about $9-11M.
  10. I'd throw our 2014 as well. It was long ago and JBJ was jerked around a lot that year- due mainly to his horrible offense from 2013-2014. Out of 70 OF'er with 1500+ PAs from 2015-2018, JBJ ranks 38th in OPS at .772. Others close to him are Josh Reddick, Adam Jones and Nick Markakis. JBJ has been, despite his streakiness, a pretty much average hitting OF'er. If you drop the sample size down to 1,000+ PAs, the group numbers 113, and JBJ places 50th. I'm not here to say JBJ is some great offensive talent, but he has had a couple seasons over .835 and he is still in his prime.
  11. I get that: my hope is that Cashman repeats his mistake x 4. It's not easy guessing right on mega free agents. Ben's HRam and Pablo signings did him in.
  12. I only brought up the hypothetical, because getting JD was what started this whole trade JBJ crap. JD is having a great year and will likely ave more clout when his opt out comes due. I seriously doubt he makes any demands like I hypothesized. Maybe a better hypothetical might be, if Devers proves he can hit very well but can only DH, because he continues to do poorly on defense. I doubt we'd trade Devers to keep JD for one more year before his next opt out. I'm not for trading JBJ and never have been, but I could see it happening.
  13. My heart felt condolences go out to you and your family. I'm so sorry to hear of this tragedy.
  14. I just don't get why people discount Vaz's very nice 60 PAs before he went on the DL and his 2017 OPS and only look at his season OPS, yet they ignore Swihart's season OPS and gloat over a scattered 80-90 PAs of hot hitting. If Swihart could catch worth a damn, he'd have started way more games than he did after Vaz went down (or before). It's not like Cora was playing him at other positions everyday. The guy does not make pitchers comfortable when he's behind the plate. We have a couple starters who have never even seen a second catcher this year- let alone a 3rd like Swihart, so it's not some imaginary thing going on. It's real. DD and Cora know it's real. Pitchers know it's real and have said so for decades.
  15. The fact that Sox management avoids starting Swihart at catcher, despite his hot bat, speaks volumes. And, actually, it wasn't CERA I used, it was OPS against.
  16. For what you paid Ellsbury, I am pretty sure Cashman thought he was "top tier," even though many of us knew otherwise.
  17. It's a great strategy. It also puts a RP'er in when there is no pressure (opening the game) and allows the starter to reach later into the game, thereby lessenng the need for more than 2-3 set-up men.
  18. Keep it going. Rev up the engines in time for a bust-it-out October.
  19. ...and some Sox fans hate inter league play...
  20. I was at Notre Dame when Joe Montana, the third string QB, led us to a national championship vs Texas. Beating Michigan is always sweet.
  21. Great! $110M can buy you 5 Ellsburys!
  22. I'm heading to DQ for a Brazier Burger.
  23. Wright looked a little shaky, but better than Eovaldi.
  24. Nice! A crooked number!
  25. But, when they did, it was in huge crooked numbers. 9/3: 0 9/2: 0 9/1: 2, 3 & 1 8/31: 1 8/30: 4 & 5 8/29: 1, 1, 1 & 11 8/28: 1, 2, 1, 3 & 1
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