moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Sox sign Garrett Richards, pending physical
moonslav59 replied to illinoisredsox's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Who was the guy on BDC who accused everyone of having 2nd identities? -
Casas should not be called up to platoon. He needs to play everyday, except for rest days- same as JD and Devers. This would mean Dalbec starts once every 2 weeks.
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Pitchers are often very good at age 32.
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These guys are creatures of habit. I wouldn’t mess with their timing. We’d likely switch to 5 at some point and mess with them again.
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Sorry for using the phrase “give up on” when you clearly did not mean that. Someone just accused me of giving up on Houck, so I know how you feel. If Casas is called up to play 1B full time, Dalbec would get very few PAs.
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Good points. I think people see the high K rate and lower BA and group all those power hitters together, when having massive OBP disparities makes a world of difference.
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How often do teams give up on a rookie hitting .785 on July 1st? Plus, if you add his small but great sample size from 2020, we’d be talking about benching a rookie hitting about .800 after 100 games.
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Sox sign Garrett Richards, pending physical
moonslav59 replied to illinoisredsox's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I, for one, am sick of the “or not.” -
Yes. Flat amount of years after drafted- maybe another amount for IFAs.
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I see Dalbec as being much closer to Dunn than Middy.
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I don’t see us benching a rookie hitting .785 on July 1st. I also doubt Casas will be called up that early, even if he’s hitting 1.100.
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Not even close to being in jeopardy, even if Casas is raking it in the minors.
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I can see .234, and of course a range of about 30 points plus or minus seems justifiable, especially for a rookie. .200 to .265 seems about right. To me, the OBP is way more important, and maybe that range is from .310-.380. I’ll project something like this: BA .235-.260 OBP .333-.360 HRs 35-45 assuming 550+ PAs
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The fact that the .234 number you highlight is so recent makes your point valid, but I want to point out that his OBP that year was .371, which is 10 points higher than the rest of his minor league numbers. I’ll take .235/.371 as his career numbers in a flash, even without the high HR and Slg % of .454. His 2019 number slightly improve if you add in his AAA numbers that year (123 PAs). .239 BA (OBP dips to .356) .816 OPS Career in AA .240 AAA .257 MLB .263 (80 PAs) I’m just not seeing .200 to .225, but certainly it’s not out of the question.
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I’m far from negative in Houck. I’d like to make sure we have one more year of team control with him- something some feel is just for upper echelon players. One could argue I am valuing him too highly. Look, the kid is suddenly a lock for a slot in our rotation based on a 17 inning sample size from a messed up 2020 season? I’m very hopeful that was not a fluke, so much so that I want another year of him in a Sox uniform guaranteed. Also, I’m very high on Pivetta- perhaps too high? I could ask why you are so negative on Pivetta, but I won’t,
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Very rarely that happens, and if it does just trade the guy or don’t offer arb,
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The double negative makes it hard to know what you mean.
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I’m not sure why Dalbec should be projected to hit .200 to .225. He’s been a .260 hitter in the minors with a pretty large sample size. Yes, he strikes out a lot, but unlike many other high K hitters, he walks a lot. That shows some discipline that many high K players just don’t have. His .360 OBP in the minors is more than decent, and even if he drops to a .250 BA and .340 OBP, the Ks won’t matter at all. I know the Middy & Chablis comps are getting repetitive, but both of them had a .325 OBP in the minors. They both showed plus power and rather low BA numbers, but it was the low OBP numbers and non plus defense the made Middy a bust and threatens to make Chablis follow in his footsteps. I just don’t see that with Dalbec. He’s a decent fielder, and even if he hits .235 with a .333 OBP, he’ll stick around a be FT player.
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Every dollar matters these days. Looking at our future needs and budget issues, having Houck for one more year at arb cost can help a lot.
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Maybe that was part of the decision, but Pivetta has way more experience than Houck, and it seems like the perfect time for him to prove he belongs in a rotation. He’s always been promising but has yet to deliver. 2021 is the year of finding out for many Sox players.
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I think once his clock is set, he’ll be called up, if needed. If we are way out of it, and they think being in AAA will help him develop more than being in MLB, maybe he’ll stay down longer than the clock indicates.
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Why is it only worth messing with “the clock” with upper echelon players? I get how it matters more, but getting one more year of cheap control from just decent players is worth something.
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Expected.
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Dalbec with another tater. Pitching looking better. ERod looks healthy.
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Has any other major sport had an active player as a partial owner besides basketball and hockey?
