Maxbialystock
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Everything posted by Maxbialystock
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To play 75% of a MLB 162 game schedule you need to play in 121 games (rounded down from 121.5). Right now the Sox have 3 players--Duran, Story, and Rafaela--who have played in 148, 148, and 146 games. No other Sox players will get to 121. No other AL team has just 3 players assured of playing in 75% of the games. The Jays, Yankees, Tigers, Astros, and Guardians, all have 6 or more players sure of playing in 75%. And the Mariners have 5 who, however, have played in 151, 150, 149, 148, and 130 games All 5 are very likely to play in at least 85% of the Guardians games. Here are the names and OPS's of 6 Sox players not playing in 75% (121 games or more) of the Sox games: Devers .905, Refsnyder .863, Anthony .859, Gonzalez .821, Bregman .820, Abreu, .811, The top 3 OPS's will all finish having played in less than 50% of the Sox games this season. I think it's pretty obvious that Cora gets the blame for the lack of good hitting on the Sox. He simply didn't play his best guys.
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Great bunt. Pitch was high but Narvaez persevered.
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Wrong again on this game and on Cora and Bregman. While I think the Sox are still very much in the hunt for the postseason, the hitting scares me.
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Agree.
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Not right down the middle but definitely a lousy at bat, just like Gonzalez.
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Right now Bregman is the only choice at 3b, but his September OPS is .563. His one dinger hit the Pesky Pole down low. And whatever bon mots he is sharing in the dugout or locker room ain't having much effect.
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Yes and no. The Jays are better but the A's could sweep the Sox.
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Last night another well-pitched game squandered.
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Not a joke--simply a team having trouble hitting a round ball with a round bat squarely. Not keeping Devers as DH saved money, but never solved the 1b issue--and it definitely hurt the hitting. At the time, I thought it was the right move and thought so for a long time until 2 weeks ago when Anthony went down for the count while Bregman couldn't hit spit. Devers as DH would be huge right now. Definitely not as good a clubhouse guy as Bregman, but that ain't working lately. Hitting is the coin of the realm. Breslow has a better eye for and interest in pitching than hitting. He brought in Breslow, whose value this season is maybe 1/2 his $40 salary and who gets $40M more next year if the wants it. But the two best Sox hitters this year, Devers and Anthony, came from DD and CB. So did Duran, Story, Abreu, Mayer, and Ref,
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Bregman is not mailing it in. He just can't hit for almost a month now.
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That's not a better world.
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A lot of meaningless caterwauling up above. Early at 80 pitches was about right. You don't bring in your 8th inning guy in the 6th. Weissert has the 2d most holds on the team after Whitlock. The score is just 2-1. If the Sox lose by that, it's yet again on the Sox miserable hitting.
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I don't think they need a sweep but would be delighted if they did. I saw him pitch in person at the old Griffith Stadium in DC. a double-header between the Indians and the Senators
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Roughly what he's been doing against lefty starters lately--so good work. Plus I like your mentioning the Wong possibility moving Narvaez to DH and Reg to the outfield. If Wong plays, I'd put Ref back in RF and keep Duran, but would not complain if Duran sat tonight. Wong's September OPS is .938 and Narvaez's is .934. Thanks.
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Red Sox Day Off Thoughts & Feelings
Maxbialystock replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I'm staying with 6-6 for the Sox. It won't be easy, but it will likely be enough to get the Sox into the postseason. Here's an interesting factoid. The Sox have used 32 pitchers this year, not including Eaton and Toro. -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part II
Maxbialystock replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Thanks. -
Red Sox Day Off Thoughts & Feelings
Maxbialystock replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Sox need to win 4/6 from the A's and Rays and 2/6 from the Tigers and Jays to go 6-6 and finish @ 88 wins. Sox hitting is suspect without Anthony, and the Sox ERA in September is 4.44--Crochet 4.74, Bello 5.63; Tolle 12.60; Chapman 4.15. -
The OP is long and pointless. The Sox hold on the 2d wild card slot is suspect because: 1) without Anthony, Sox hitting is struggling; 2) Sox pitching, a strength, has a subpar ERA of 4.44 in September; 3) the Sox final 6 games are against Detroit and Toronto, the two best teams in the AL; 4) Texas at 7-3 and Cleveland at 9-1 in their last 10 games are hot and close enough to pass the Sox in the next 12 games. I see some hope in the fact that Texas and Cleveland also have tough games ahead. In addition, the Astros, currently the 3d wild card, are also struggling (4-6 in their last 10 games) and are about to play Texas and Seattle. If the Sox can go 6-6 in their final 12 games, that's 88 wins and a good shot at a wild card slot. Theoretically they need to take 4/6 from the A's and Rays, and 2 of 6 from the Tigers and Jays.
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Where is this 8 of 15 making the postseason coming from? The AL standings whow there are 3 wild cards along with the 3 division leaders. That's 6 of 15 teams.
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Huge, necessary win, but I'm still very worried. Sox score 6 in 1st and don't score again? Yankees get 4 runs on 3 HR's and make the game more worrisome than it should have been. Sox go with their 3 best starters and win 1 game.
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You're a genius too.
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Or prilosec, which has served me very well for 30 years. If you predicted 89, you are a freaking genius. I mean that.
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While I agree the OP is a little over the top, I do think we should note that Story is tied for the team lead in games played and leads in rbi's, runs scored and stolen bases> He has maintained an OPS above .800 in June, July, August, and September, He also leads all MLB shortstops in both assists and putouts. So he's a very important cog in the Sox 2025 machine. He is not, however, a superstar. His WAR for those 144 games is just 3.7. He cannot stem the bleeding in the offense with Devers gone and Anthony and Abreu on the IL and Bregman in a slump--despite his .883 OPS in September. We miss all those good bats. But guess what? We would miss Story just as much as any of them.
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Doesn't this really go back to the earlier data indicating the Sox simply could not win games with a run differential of 1? How about the fact that the Sox have easily the second highest run differential in the AL but not the 2d best winning percentage?
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I for one like the breakdowns.
