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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Taller pitchers may have a physical advantage, but that does not translate into a pitching advantage over shorter pitchers.
  2. Kimmi
    I am sure there are a lot of people who believe that taller pitchers have an advantage. It's one of those traditional beliefs that people have accepted as true with no statistical support whatsoever. As far as whether a taller pitcher would have a more difficult time repeating his delivery, intuitively, that would make sense to me. The smaller and more compact a player is, the less his arms and legs have to move, so repeating his delivery would seem easier.
  3. Kimmi
    Not true. Cycles makes many posts that add to the baseball discussion. Others criticize posters too - they just do it in a more subtle manner. Subtlety does not make the criticism any better.
  4. Kimmi
    Do you feel that you lean more toward traditional views and beliefs, or more toward the findings of recent studies that have disproved many of the traditional views?
  5. Kimmi
    I didn't think it was a very good point either. The fact that James is 66 has nothing to do with the term "new school".
  6. Kimmi
    But you have said before that if the stats say something different than what you believe, you're going with what you believe.
  7. Kimmi
    I don't understand what you mean by this.
  8. Kimmi
    I don't think it's that they don't want you to know. The creators of these projection systems are quite open about their shortcomings. In terms of individual player projections, I think part of the reason is that there are too many different projected stats to keep an easy track record. Do you want a track record of BA, OBP, HRs, Ks, etc. etc.
  9. Kimmi
    This is something that we wholeheartedly agree on.
  10. Kimmi
    The idea that taller pitchers have an advantage or are better pitchers is another one of those false assumptions that the stats just do not bear out.
  11. Kimmi
    Both events sound like fun. I'd like to go to an event where I can sit and pick the brains of some of the FO types.
  12. Kimmi
    I'm sure Ben would have been a lot nicer.
  13. Kimmi
    No matter. Things won't be the same without Don.
  14. Kimmi
    Welcome Nikki! You sound like a true die hard fan.
  15. Kimmi
    They offer a lot more insight into a player's actual performance and contribution to the team. They are also less flawed.
  16. Kimmi
    As I've said many times, I realize that being old school or new school is not an either/or thing. I don't think there's a person on this board who doesn't understand the importance of having that balance. I do believe that most people lean one way or the other though, don't you? Your comment/asking about Bill James playing baseball tells me which way you lean. Again, when I say someone is old school, that is not meant to be an insult. As I've said before, my father is very old school. I would never insult my father.
  17. Kimmi
    First off, advanced metrics most certainly are advanced. They are still statistics, but they are far more advanced than your traditional stats. As far as subjectivity goes, I use the argument all the time about how subjective something as seemingly straightforward as strikeouts are. I often hear the argument against UZR that it is too subjective. One of the main focuses of stat geeks is to eliminate the subjectivity and bias as much as possible. It will never be eliminated completely, as long as humans are involved, but I can guarantee you that there is a lot less sujectivity and bias in UZR than their is in fielding percentage or errors.
  18. Kimmi
    That might be the case, but if the stats disagree with your way of thinking, you're going with your way of thinking. That's the old school philosophy.
  19. Kimmi
    Although most of the new schoolers are younger, IMO, being new school has nothing to do with age.
  20. Kimmi
    A projection is simply the best estimate of what a player's talent level is, nothing more. That doesn't mean (obviously) that a player is going to play to that exact level of talent. No one or nothing can predict the future with 100% accuracy. No projection system can account for injury or randomness. MLB projection systems are very similar to weather projection systems. There are various articles of how good projection systems are. The developers of these systems acknowledge their limitations. They are also constantly tweaking their systems to make them better. They are not foolproof, but they are actually pretty good, and much better than human projections.
  21. Kimmi
    Truth of the matter is that most, not all, of the old schoolers or traditionalists are older, and most of the people who really embrace sabermetrics are younger. I think it's that way with most things in life, not just baseball. When you've believed something all your life, like batting order really matters, it's hard to accept that it's simply not true. You are going to stick with your old school views that a manager must switch the #4 and 6 batters. However, if you came into baseball hearing how negligible such a switch is, then you're more likely to accept it. FTR, I'm no spring chicken. I was really not even aware of sabermetrics until about 2009, until I was having a debate about Ryan Howard versus Albert Pujols. The guy I was debating with opened my eyes to a whole new world, and I have not looked back. It makes so much sense to me.
  22. Kimmi
    If it were up to me, I'd add a saber component to the voting, much like has been done with the Gold Gloves. There is too much bias in the voting as it is right now.
  23. Kimmi
    The verdict is still out on him, IMO. He did lead the team to a World Series, though I do question all of the underperformances from the last two seasons. Is that something that better coaching/managing could have prevented? Did the team play better under Lovullo because of better management or because of other factors? I am going to withhold my opinion of whether he's a good manager until after this season.
  24. Kimmi
    As I noted, he did not make any reference to any sources. This is nothing more than his opinion, based on his speculation. Ilitch is the only one who knows for sure why he fired Dombrowski. The rest is speculation.
  25. Kimmi
    Of course he can. He gets high praise from me.
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