Don't forget about Scutaro, Wake, Tek, and Oki, all of which would add up for an additional $5.75mm, so you're looking at a total of $52mm coming off the books. Take Gonzo's additional $17mm (estimated), Crawfords additional $6mm, about $8mm for arb eligible Buch, Salty, Lowrie, and Ellsbury, as well as Kalish for his first year, and you're left with $21mm to use to find a back up catcher (potentially internally), another BP arm, a backup OF (potentially internally), and a DH (I think we'll sign Ortiz to something to the tune of 2/$14 with an option.
I'd say we'll probably be around the same payroll next year as we are this year. Hopefully Lars Anderson or Ryan Lavarnway can advance their stroke and become contributors if Ortiz has an off year and we don't resign him. Although if we don't sign him and he goes to the Yankees, I'd puke.