This is exactly how I feel about almost our entire bullpen.
Jenks - Injured and fat. We can hope he returns to form during a contract year, but I have zero expectations.
Doubront - Injured last year, got torched a few outings as well. Big step backwards in my book from 2010. Hope he can gain his stuff back, but I'm not expecting anything.
Tazawa - See your comments.
Morales - When he throws strikes, he's a top 3 left handed reliever in the entire game. Throws hard, and his stuff is filthy. He just lacks consistent control. Hope, not expect.
Albers - Brilliant in the first 3/4 of the season, but then he got absolutely pummeled. Which Albers was the real Albers, and which was just an aberration? Judging by his history, I think we got 3/4 of a year of aberration. Again, hope he's that good, but I am not naive enough to expect it.
Melancon - I guess we can expect him to have at least moderate success pitching in the AL East. If he throws to a 3.3-3.5 ERA, that's about what I'd expect. Not elite, but he'll get the job done.
So basically, our bullpen is full of "If they pitch like they did during the ______ season, they'll be great, but if they pitch like they have recently, it's going to be a tough year."