To think he has Pujols, Dunn, Fielder, Howard tools is kinda overstating it a bit especially when you compare performance by age. Also, 40 homers isn't as easy as it was a few years ago. Could he hit 25? Maybe. 40? Highly unlikely.
I'm not trying to bag on the guy, but 40 homers is a stretch. Saying it's easy to see when he's never shown it doesn't make sense to me.