He's never been a high EV guy.
XWOBACON
2018 406
2019 391
2020 386
2021 404
2022 359
His 2022 Barrel % is 6.9, which is the lowest since 2017. His weak batted ball % is the lowest of his career. His whiff % on 4 seamers is the highest of his career. His overall whiff % is the highest of his career. His BABIP is inflated. He has been pretty lucky this year. Any team that is going to spend $30M on him is taking a decent risk. I think he's more of a $22.5-$25M guy. I'd offer him 6/150 as I believe he has more value to the Sox as a face of the franchise type player. If someone wants to pay him more, let him go.