You also can't assume you won't. That's why a smart GM prepares for either contingency. If Rask takes over Thomas's deal is not so large he cannot be traded. If Rask does not take over we have an above average option who can take over immediately -- as he's done each of the last 4 years when the nominal Plan A fell through. Either way, it's smarter to keep Thomas than it is to expose Rask. Even if Rask blew everyone away it still would be smarter to have Timmeh around.
Rask is going to be a trenendous goaltender... by all accounts.... sure, I'll buy that in the same way I bought Toivonen and Raycroft. Both of them had a similar buzz, and both of them fell flat on their faces when given the NHL starter's job in exactly the same way you want to give it to Rask. Heck, Toivonen and Rask were even very successful in much more NHL action than Rask has had so far when they were GIVEN that job.
So yeah, I'll buy that in exactly that same way, meaning I'll keep my receipt and my return ticket handy and a backup plan available on immediate notice, and see if the kid can take over on merit. That way if Rask does succeed in winning the starter's job, it's because he's playing better than an above average tender. Not just because there was no one else like the other 2 times (in the last 6 years!) we tried to move a goalie of future dominant superstar awesomeness in the regular lineup.
You say he's not going to fail. I say we're talking about a rookie here, even if he dominates eventually he might not do so in his first season. If he doesn't I'd rather have Timmy Thomas between the pipes for half my games or more than Ty Conklin -- and so would you.
Why am I reminded of the Mark Teixeira discussion? You know, when you to shell out for an expensive prime veteran and I wanted to roll the dice on a dominant rookie of the future?
I think Thomas is a great goaltender but I'm dealing in facts. The fact is that TT is above average right now. Whatever else he may be, the fact that he is better than the majority of starting goaltenders is statistically indispuable. A below average goaltender does not get nominated for the Vezina or stand among the league leaders in key goaltending categories like SV%
Also, a guy who is above average is not necessarily a downgrade right now vs. a guy who is going to be great. Even accepting the premise of eventual guaranteed dominance, we're still talking about a rookie with some learning and growing to do. Just ask Carey Price.
No, it isn't, because I'm not saying Rask WILL follow in the footsteps of Toivolen and Raycroft. I'm simply saying it's sufficiently possible that I'm not prepared to gamble the whole team's future on it with a reasonable alternative handy.
it also could have been disastrous. Look at the Habs to see why. You know as well as I do that what people were saying about Price is about what they're saying now about Rask. Do not assume that all the ability he'll have at his peak is there now. It is not.
When he stays will you shut up about Thomas? With the bonus cushion going away Boston has room to spare to promote Rask and sign K&K. Worst case scenario is that Kobasew and/or Sturm move on at draft day.
And if Magical Super-Goalie X makes those two saves we still lose 2-1. Thomas didn't excel, but he's hardly to blame here. You can't win if you don't score goals and you can't win if you can't get out of your own way. All those turnovers in the neutral and defensive zone are a far bigger problem than an above average goaltender.
Yes. Especially if the defense wakes up and does its job. Especially Ferrence and Chara who have both been ridiculously bad.
This season is in the hands of our offense and specifically in the hands of Bergeron, Lucic, Krejci, Kessel, Chara, Wideman and Ryder to step their games up, clear their heads, and play some quality hockey.