Sickels is interesting in how he rates players. His A level prospects are guys who will at worst be big league regulars and are destined for stardom. B level players are guys who could be stars but project to have solid big league careers. C level players are either interchangeable prospects at the upper levels of kids too deep in the minors to get a feel for where they will play out...
If you go based upon his rankings, then every player below AA should be a C, since without seeing these kids in the upper levels effectively takes away the assuredness you get by the criteria set forth to be a B or an A. So it is strange that 5 of our guys ranked B- or higher havent played in Tampa yet. Weird....
Here's my take on the list...
1. Montero- spot on. The bat will carry, his glove will always lag. At worst he's a big league 1b or DH, at best, he's an offense first catcher
2. Sanchez- quite possibly the second highest ceiling player in the system. I think he definitely has star power, but had a few hitches in his game last yr. Granted, he was 18 in long season, but I would not have him above Banuelos
3. Banuelos- I can understand having him as a B, but not for the reasoning set forth. I'd have it solely based on the command that he showed in 2011. His stuff is not middle of the rotation at all. He has elite stuff with command issues since he saw a velo bump. Not sure how a kid with 3 big league plus pitches and a 95mph fastball can have #3 starter stuff. That's absurd.
4. Betances- I'd have him as a B as well as I think his ultimate destination may be the pen. I agree that he has the higher upside compared to Banuelos and I agree that he has more hurdles than ManBan to cross to reach it.
5. Williams- I am fine with him being top 5. He was amazing last yr. Elite defense, great arm, elite baserunning, elite contact skills, minus power. He has all the tools of a gold glove caliber, leadoff hitting CFer. The only reason why he isnt challenging Montero for the top spot is that he hasnt even seen the long season leagues. He has plenty of chances to fizzle in the meantime.
6. Bichette- No qualms with him being top 10. The kid can rake, he can pick it and he has a great eye. He, like Williams, has the tools to be a middle of the order, solid defensive 3b at the big league level, but his proximity is his biggest issue
7. Phelps- Sickels is after my own heart here, I love Phelps as a prospect. He's not an ace, and I agree in his B- ranking. He's a guy who safely projects as a big league starter and has the upside of a #3. There is a lot to be said about that.
8. Santana- Not sure how he could downgrade Santana based on an injury that he should recover from by the time ST starts. He broke his ankle, gruesome or not, guys recover from it pretty well. This kid is undervalued still. He has 30-30 potential with a cannon in CF and the ability to play elite defense in CF. I'd have him above Bichette.
9. Austin- I am not the biggest believer in Austin. He mashes, but thats about it. He K's a fair amount, he doesnt really have a defensive position and his SBs were more due to his solid baserunning vs elite speed. In terms of skill, his power is the only thing that looks to be plus and his contact may get there. But he is a guy who looks to have a moderate ceiling, IMO. I could be wrong, but I am not sure his tools will translate well into the higher minors.
10. Warren- His stuff and endurance are better than Phelps, he lacks the polish Phelps has shown. No problem with him in the top 10, I do have a problem with him being a C. He will be a big leaguer for a long time barring injury. I just think he'll be dealt in the meantime
11. Romine- I can see where he is coming from, but SB% in the minors is a s***** stat to follow. Pitchers are typically working on something and holding runners isnt at the forefront. He is also a guy who based on his qualifications, should be a B. He safely projects as a defense first starting catcher who wont embarrass himself with the stick. He just isnt the masher people thought he was when he first came into the prospect forum.
12. Murphy- I am unsure how Sickels can kill the kid about his adjusting to High A when he only played 26 games. Its a SSS. Fact is, he improved his D significantly while starting at catcher full time and his bat showed enough to promote him. I am a big believer in his stick, not sure if he stays at C long term because he is so versatile. But his bat will play mostly anywhere. If he is moved off the position, his bat will pick up
13. Culver- I agree completely with Sickels here.
14. Marshall- throws ched, likely a reliever, no qualms with his report, but if he remains in the rotation, it is because his secondary pitches improve. And if his secondary pitches improve, his low 90s sinker and mid 90s 4 seamer will play into a top portion of the rotation role
15. Heathcott- The guys has tools to spare, he just cannot stay healthy. The power comment isnt really accurate since the guy just hasnt had a healthy shoulder since he started. If he can go a season without a shoulder surgery and still cannot hit for power, then I'd agree with him.
16. Gumbs- agree completely
17. Turley- shouldnt be top 20, IMO, not even close. But his SR is right on
18. Lopez- showed a 5 tool potential for a kid who was initially signed because he could make contact and run a 6.3 60 yd dash. The kid can fly.
19. Adams- agree on the spot, dont agree on the SR. He has tools to hit for gap power, a great eye and a good glove. He looks the part of an offense first starting 2b. Horrific foot injury has cost him two season. Intra-articular fractures a horrible. They arent as gruesome to look at, but are harder to recover from. His injury was much tougher to come back from than Santana's, even though Santana's looked worse
20. Flores- He's intriguing, but many are better.
Overall, not bad, but also a bit confusing