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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. The sox cannot let that vesting option vest. If the sox sign JD as is widely expected and Hanley’s option vests, you’ll have no money at all to retain Pomeranz or Kimbrel and you’d go beyond the threshold on arb raises alone. Another signing is in the offing to reduce Hanley’s role. Bank on it
  2. Now you’re just jealous man. It’s the American way. Market price is market price and $120 mil guaranteed is a bit light IMO for JD
  3. Knowing what you know now, you wouldn’t. He had one incredible campaign and two bad ones. Ben couldn’t assemble pitching. He just couldn’t. He inherited Lester and Lackey, dealt them away and then assembled a mishmash of #4’s and 5’s and had Farrell tout that he had 5 aces. He couldn’t develop pitching. He couldn’t draft pitching. He couldn’t sign pitching. He couldn’t deal for pitching. He was pitching delayed
  4. BP has us as the #2 farm in baseball
  5. That’s without you guys getting JD
  6. If you’re going to turn a team around quickly and create a window of competitiveness, you’d probably prefer that window was not when another team is coming into its own. Houston is going to be incredibly hard to beat this year
  7. I think DD might have gone too hard too fast. When DD took over after a disastrous 2015, the AL was wide open. KC won, but they had maybe another year in their window. The Jays looked to be the class of the game but they had age and depth issues with their best pitcher (Price) hitting the market. The Yanks were receding and the Stros appeared to be rising. I think DD saw an AL that was wide open and an ALE that was ripe for the picking. He was right for two season on the ALE but he didn’t see the Guardians turning into a force and the Stros turning into a super team. Nobody saw the Yankees returning as well as they have. DD, in retrospect, would probably have preferred to hold a year knowing what we know now. He’s got one year left before cap hell is going to start taking from a team that had been adding
  8. If the sox won a title, then his plan worked
  9. In all fairness, you don’t bring in Dave Dombrowski to “finish a rebuild”. You bring him in to immediately turn your team into a winner and forsake the future. The funny thing is, DD was a builder when he was younger, but I anticipate the directive when he signed and his recent MO suggested a rapid turnaround
  10. The sox don't have the parts. If the Nats offer Robles or Soto, they have him
  11. The sox have done the two things you cannot do for sustainability. They dealt their top prospects and they didn't replace them with big talent. I think their draft from a year ago was reasonable, but none of the players there are anything more than talent sans production. They drafted Groome in DD's first draft, and while his stuff has carried, his production has not. Nobody has taken the reigns from his first draft or from the 2015 draft and established themselves as top level prospects.
  12. I am surprised to see a 5 yr deal for a player whose game is based on athleticism at his age. He turns 32 in the first month of the season. They just locked him up until he is 36 yrs old. He will be a minus the last 2 years of that deal easy. Probably the last 3
  13. Brew crew just signed Cain
  14. It’s annual gripe about something time for Boras
  15. The problem with this year is that there are a fair amount of good players but the best guys aren’t transcendent yet they want to be paid like transcendent types. Darvish is a weak #1 but he’s also north of 30. He’s not getting the years he will want. Arrieta is even older and had a velo drop in season. Martinez is a butcher with a glove and has injury issues. Hosmer has run hot and cold and doesn’t have plus power for a plus power position. Cain is old for a player who makes his hay with speed and athleticism. These guys would all be second tier in next year’s class. The only two guys who should see $20 mil AAV based on the market are Darvish and Martinez, but I could at least see Darvish drop under $20 mil if teams are scared of signing a pitcher long term starting in the 30s. Boras can be as rankled as he wants to be about teams tanking or a better term, rebuilding, but with steroids out of the game, it doesn’t make sense to sign someone into their 40s anymore
  16. JBJ at least has been healthy and has shown a unique ability to be a defensive standout. Yes, his value dipped, but Salazar’s dropped more
  17. They would be stupid to move him now. His stock is down. It's the typical conundrum. If the player is performing, you want to keep them. If they aren't performing, you don't want to deal them when their stock is low
  18. I think it will since we aren't linked currently with any of the big name July 2 guys coming this year
  19. I’m anticipating a big bonus for the Cuban kid post July 2
  20. The Yankee INTL FA haul isn’t getting enough pub IMO. In 2014, we nabbed 10 of the top 30 guys under different rules. The top signing looks like a beast yet two lower priced signings of Florial and Perez might end up being the best ones of the bunch. The rest are still finding their way. The majority of the class is now 19, clearly too early to make judgements. This season, under a hard cap and a different set of rules, the Yankees were able to deal off unneeded assets to add to their bonus and nab 5 of the top 20 prospects available. Salinas and Pereira are 1 and 1a with Cabello being a close third. Their INTL scouting is second to none
  21. Medina is a monster. Tall, throws ched, has insane stuff just is 18 and needs command. He should develop into something huge as long as he stays healthy
  22. I actually went to a talk run by Gammons featuring Epstein. Epstein has said you sometimes have to make deals where you send away a player you know is going to be great so you can seize the moment
  23. Devers kicked the door down. He wasn't fast tracked as much as he made them fast track him. His AA numbers were bonkers for a 20 yr old then he went supernova in 9 games in Pawtucket right around the time the Pablo adventure ended. It was the perfect storm. I think, to a man, Dombrowski would have loved to have kept Devers down in the minors last yr and brought him up this year in May to set his clock back. I think the kid is going to be a star. I don't have the same feeling around Chavis. I wonder if Chavis' power is real, and with his skills, his new power is his only solid trait
  24. Yankees place 6 in the top 100 on BA. I anticipate Medina will end up on the top 100 by mid season.
  25. Chavis needs to prove he can hang in AA before you move him to the bigs. He was an all everything in the Carolina league but on promotion to AA, he was a power dependent low OBP hitter. If he can show the high OBP and power combo he showed in A ball, then he will be an asset. As his defense is poor, he is going to need to show the ability to hit and continue to be a plus hitter to make it to the bigs. He was more enticing as a possible 3b than he will be as a 1b
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