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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. thanks YOTN, I think?
  2. Slav, I'm talking about actually filling holes, not picking up rentals. Think about this.\ If the sox re-sign Sale, Xander, and Kimbrel, the 2020 commitments to Price, Sale, Kimbrel, Betts (final year of arb likely about $25 mil), Pedroia Vasquez, and Bogaerts will be around $155 mil. The arb guys will be ERod, Barnes, and Beni who will likely cost around $20 mil between them. If JD doesn't opt out, that brings your team to $197 mil. Add in Pablo's opt out for 2020, you're up to $202 mil. Devers will be pre-arb. Add in $15 mil in benefits and you're up to $217 mil. The final cap around that time will be around $250 mil. That leaves $33 mil to build a team. If Pedroia is in fact done, you will need to flesh out the following positions on that amount of money 1b, 2b, CF (I am assuming the sox move on from JBJ as his arb price balloons), SP2, SP4, SP5, rest of pen aside from Barnes and Kimbrel. Maybe Velasquez will take one of the spots. Wright will be a FA by them. Hembree might pick up a bigger role as he will be at the end of the arb process and wont be essentially free. If you try to fill any of those spots with above replacement level regulars on the open market, you will fill maybe 2 of those spots with the $33 mil. This is why you need the next wave. You don't have a wave that will be ready by 2020. The drafting yesterday was interesting in that the best players were HS guys who wont be ready by 2020. I am a bit unsure of the plan from management on that one
  3. Andujar with the granny. Yanks up 4-1
  4. shallow and pedantic
  5. You're going to start feeling it this season with the fact that you wont be able to take on much in terms of salary at the deadline to upgrade your team. Next year, you will feel it when you have to choose which player to re-sign, Kelly or Kimbrel and with the fact that you'll have to fill the 5th starter role internally (which Wright might already have wrapped up btw). It isn't until 2020 that you really feel it. That's when Xander and Sale will be in the first years of their new deals and Betts will be in the final year of arb. ERod will be expensive by then as well. Price and Pedroia will still be on the books. 2020 will be the first year where you'll need the farm to either fill holes or be dealt for the hole fillers.
  6. I agree entirely, hence why I think this was more a phantom DL than a real thing
  7. Shouldn’t a doctor report injuries?
  8. The problem with a cliff created by DD is that you start paying your great players lots of money and don’t have a wave to replace the guys you had to let go for budget constraints.
  9. The first ten are in the books and it went how I predicted. We needed position player talent in the worst way as our 2014 INTL class has mostly flopped and we have seen a lot of graduations of top prospects to the majors. The first 3 picks and our 5th rounder to some extent should add some serious tools to the system. Seigler looks to be a true plus defender with a solid arm who should stick behind the plate. He is a switch hitter (and pitcher btw) with solid above average hit tools and power projection but not current raw power. He could move quickly depending on his bat. Typically HS catchers lead with their bat and their receiving skills keep them back. That shouldn't be the case with Seigler. Breaulx looks to be a power toolshed. Light tower power with good eye, but a trailing hit tool. Has an absolute cannon behind the dish capable of hitting 100mph off the mound. There are questions about his ability to stay behind the dish, but this season he looked to have the potential to stick at C. His bat may necessitate a change of position and if offense doesnt work, his arm could also work for him off the mound. Green is the big ticket overslot guy here. Big power, big arm, athletic enough to man RF and be a reasonable part timer in CF. This kid has power for days which seems to be the story with our 2nd and 3rd rounders. Lockridge, the 5th rounder may not be a power hitter, but he has unique speed, sitting somewhere in the 70-80 speed range. Down season this year, but has shown the ability to hit for average, some power and high OBP. If he can carry that over to wood bat, with his speed, he could be a steal in the 5th round. Rare to find a guy in the 80 range of any skill in the 5th, let alone a guy who should sign under slot. Onto the pitchers. This is what the Yankees do best. Between the 3rd and 10th round almost on a yearly basis, we stack RHP's with high spin rates and mold them into dynamite weapons on the mound. This year is no different. German, Hutchinson, Bies, Van Hoose, and Vorhof all throw low to mid 90s, but all have high spin rates and very high K rates in their college time. Out of these 5 guys, I anticipate 2 of them will separate themselves a la Otto, Stephan and Lehnan from last yr. Maciejewski is a change of pace selection, still a high K rate guy, but more a crafty lefty type than a high spin power guy like the RHP's. I love the top 3 in tandem, I thought we might have passed on some better offensive guys for our first selection, but that is made up for with 2 and 3. Like the pitching selections mostly due to the team's prior success with the same types of pitchers. Intrigued by the speed demon. I like the top 10 this year. No major reaches, no major give away picks
  10. 9. Mick Vorhof RHP- low 90s heater with high K rates. Not a big frame. 10. Josh Maciejewski LHP- tall lefty, low 90s, change better than breaking ball. Crafty, good location. Very high K rate.
  11. This is a double header that they voted on and then the game was changed immediately after voting on it
  12. Kelly will cost you a lot of money. Chatham doesn't deserve a promotion past Salem. While Feltman looks like a good pick, you have no idea if he can be a good pro, let alone a replacement for the best reliever in baseball
  13. best pitching prospect in baseball? LOLOL
  14. Cora is being disingenuous. The Yankees had the right to vote on which day to play the DH against Baltimore. They voted to do it Monday and immediately thereafter found out their game was moved to 8pm the night before. I get it. 3 games within 24 hours with a flight inbetween is not appropriate when it was avoidable
  15. Calling it bicep tendonitis. I am calling it a phantom DL stint to get his head right
  16. 8. Conner Van Hoose RHP- low 90s, high K rates in the Patriots league. Not a big framed guy, I expect him to be a middle reliever
  17. After the 2nd round overslot HSer, the sox have gone college. Feltman looks like a legit prospect. Not sure about the rest aside from Granberg, who has hit everywhere he has gone.
  18. 3rd rounder Durbin Feltman is the kind of pick I expected out of the Sox. Short statured closer with huge velocity and a slider that is really good already. He should run through the sox system quickly
  19. 3. Ryder Green- OF. Love this pick. He's an overslot 3rd rounder, which is why the rest of our top 10 will likely be senior or junior signs. He has legit power and showed good contact this year. Has a cannon for an arm, and while he's not fast enough to be a true CFer, he profiles well as a power hitting RFer. 4. Frank German RHP- Finalist for the golden spikes award. Deep arsenal, tops out at 94mph for now. Just the kind of guy the Yankees sign. High spin rate with deeper arsenal to develop into a starter 5. Brandon Lockridge OF- coming off a down year, he had some helium going into this season as a contact hitter with good OBP skills and he can fly. The kid grades out either 70 or 80 on the speed scale. Projects to stay in CF or to shift back to 2b. Rare to get a guy with a plus plus tool in the 5th round, but he needs the hit tool to develop to use it offensively 6. Rodney Hutchinson RHP- middle reliever with UNC who isn't having a good season in college but dominated in the Cape last year. 3/4 arm slot, tops out at 95, two other projectable pitches. Big frame and capable with a good arm. This is what the Yanks do in these rounds. 7. Daniel Bies RHP- Bies is humongous, 6'8" 245lbs out of Gonzaga. Tops out mid 90s, good enough slider. Has the frame to start, but Callis likes him in the pen. He is the kind of giant who the Yanks will try in the rotation and work on a change. The rare projectable college player
  20. We will see him after the ASB next year.
  21. Getting TJS. Not surprised
  22. With contracts rising and the cliff approaching, having players capable of filling in within the next 2-3 seasons is prudent. Either to fill in or be dealt for cheaper fill ins
  23. Decker is an interesting pick as well. Power hitter who is relegated to LF long term with a questionable hit tool. He’s another HS kid who will take time to establish himself as a prospect. I don’t think there’s any problem with the talent boston got, I just find it interesting that they didn’t try to pick guys capable of rocketing through a system like a college pitcher or hitter could have. These guys will be on prospect lists in 3 years rather than 1 that a college kid could do.
  24. Casas is the classic boom or bust guy. He’s got a good eye, but plenty of holes in his swing. Thing is, if he can get ahold of a ball, it’s going out of the park. He was drafted as a 3b, but he’s not staying there. He’s massive as an 18 yr old, he’s only going to get bigger. He’s a 1b/DH long term. I think this is the kind of pick that could go well for Boston, but I don’t think this is what Boston needed. You needed a guy like McLanaghan who thrown 100 from the left side and should rocket through a system. Casas is going to take awhile, Boston needed a prospect who could be an option for trade or replacement shortly.
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