jacksonianmarch

And their best suitor just got Marte. This is a dumb move on Bloom's part. He never should have been tendered. Clearly he saw the market wasn't there. Why risk it? Or maybe his plan was that $1.1 mil wasn't a huge risk to see if the sox could move him prior to opening day. If you cut a tendered player in ST, you're only on the hook for 10% of the outlat

If he was spending all offseason and acted as if he didn’t care, then I’d take his walk back seriously. With the fact that he’s brought in low cost options and has actually dropped talent from his team and is currently rumored to be involved in cutting more salary, I don’t believe his retraction. Actions speak louder than words

I don’t believe that at all. He was walking back what he accidentally let slip

Recent rumor from MLBTR is that Price is involved in the talks. It’ll lessen the return, but free up more cash. As to what would go back to Boston, no clue

Here’s the crazy thing. They only banged for breaking balls. 13% of the pitches had bangs. Likely 60% of the pitches were fastballs. That means that 27% of the bangs were missed. Tells me that 3 spots in their lineup really liked advanced notice. I wonder if it was only a few batters who cheated or if it was hard to decipher the sign sequence with men on

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. And for those of you out there who think this is just Yankee fan hate, you have to remember that Betts might be in LA starting in 2020. But small guys who rely on speed and quick twitch power don’t last in baseball. The grind wears them down. If I were Bloom, I would NOT sign him to that huge contract. I’d let someone else pay for a broken down Mookie. His first few years of the new contract would still coincide with up years for NY and TB and his best productivity for the contract could be wasted

The biggest advantage for the Sox is he adds to depth. He’s also a lefty, which aside from Beni and Devers, you’re lacking. Like I said before, we are in an age where a player will be IL’d for a mild ache and pain. You need far more than your starting 9

A cheap deal for depth. Makes sense

Bloom seems to be focusing appropriately on Betts right now. I think Bloom is too smart to enter the year with him. He is going to get some financial relief, but the deal will create instant depth for a team entirely lacking it. In today's game where a player misses two weeks if they fart wrong, you need to have depth. If the reports are accurate, the Padres are willing to move Myers (to anyone), Quantrill or Luchessi, Naylor or Margot, and Campusano. If I was Bloom, I would take Quantrill and Naylor. Quantrill has the highest upside and the blood lines. Luchessi is the apple pie of the group, you know what you're gonna get. Quantrill could form into an ace. Margot has issues with the stick, and guys who get older and hit less are suspect. I know he is athletic as hell and would slide into the OF without missing a beat, but he has half the control Naylor would. Naylor is known for his bat. You are likely to lose (or trade) JDM this year. Adding a stick first guy isn't terrible, especially if he ends up being the power monger everyone thinks he will be. The big chip in this deal is Campusano. This kid can rake and he can catch. He is your Vaz insurance. And heck, Vaz might have more trade value than anyone on the team. Maybe Campusano ends up the starting catcher halfway through 2021 and Vazquez is dealt off for a haul. Campusano would instantly become your #1 prospect. Naylor goes to AAA as depth as does Dalbec. Casas moves to A+ ball. Now you have guys at the corners who can rake in the minors while you sort out JD and Myers' situation. Maybe you find a taker for both and now you have Dalbec and Chavis in the IF with Bogey and Devers with Naylor at DH and your young core expands. Who knows. I think Bloom is stuck with Eovaldi and Price. He is gonna have to run with them through ST and into April. If either of them show health and performance, you have the opportunity to move them. The problem is, if both of them are healthy through April and Sale is healthy, there is a good chance you're in the playoff race and that would be quite an issue. Nobody ever wants to deal someone when they are going good

Now a rebuild comes in two flavors. 1. Do you do what the O's are doing and detonate everything and wait until some of the kids graduate before supplementing a new core? This is the longest way to rebuild. You actively rebuild a young core which can take 3-4 years. 2. The way the big market teams do it is either spend around the young core coming up, or spend to create a core and use the kids to fill in, or use that new farm and financial flexibility to deal for now assets.

Lol, well the last part had something to do with our rebuild. We were competitive 2009-2012 and then mediocre until 2017. Now we are championship caliber. When your farm is dead and your young guys get expensive, the only thing you can do is spend to prop it open or wait on the farm to grow again. If you spend to prop open the window, your "reset" will be followed by a long rebuild. I will be proven right, this is not a reset. You guys are headed into a rebuild. The depths of that rebuild will depend on how much you're willing to explode

Bout f***ing time

At this point with Price, it might behoove Bloom to wait til the season. If he’s healthy, let him show it and deal him to a team that’s desperate. Every year a good team loses a pitcher in ST to shoulder or elbow surgery. Wait til then, and there won’t be a discount he has to take for his now health

When you rebuild, it’s not about positional talent, it’s about accumulation of talent. In that situation, Myers becomes the everyday 1b and Naylor goes to AAA. When Myers or JDM get hurt, Naylor comes up. If he outperforms the big leaguer, he keeps the job. If Myers reclaims his potential, then you deal him off for parts with SD footing some of the bill and Naylor takes 1b.

Naylor was a top 100 prior to burning his rookie year. He’s a stocky, undersized 1b with a 70 power grade via fan graphs who will begin the season as a 22 yr old. He held his own in his debut season in SD. He is a legit talent with 6 years of control left. Do not sneeze at him

Because the Padres will only be paying for the final 3 years of the contract.

It would go in like this (Stanton is similar) $14 mil AAV minus SD payment /3. So in this case, the Pads pay $18 mil, so $6 mil per year. Myers then costs $8 mil per season by Lux Tax

I floated it wondering why the Padres would take on $17 mil more per season for Price. But when I looked at the amount owed, it is more a lux tax fudge and really only $8 mil more per year for the Pads

They can do that without Betts. Like many on here have suggested, the Padres need pitching. Maybe a Price for Myers deal works? Myers' contract is real interesting. He signed a 6 yr $83 mil deal, but it was really two deals baked into one. He got a $15 mil signing bonus broken up over the 6 years, so $2.5 mil a year. His first 3 years, his salary was $7 mil TOTAL. So with the $7.5 mil in signing bonus and $7 mil in salary, he was paid only $14.5 mil over the first 3 years of the deal. The rest of the deal, Myers is gonna make BANK. We are talking $68.5 mil over those three seasons, including the $1 mil buyout of his 7th year option. What makes him appealing to the sox is the $14 mil AAV. The sox could even kick Price, OTOH, is costing $93 mil over those final 3 seasons at $31 mil AAV. The sox would get $17 mil over AAV savings per year while only seeing an outlay savings of $25 mil

Truck day is the last call before ST. You really should have a manager and a plan in place by ST

Truck day is a week from today. He’s essentially got til truck day to hire someone. At this point, nary a rumor about an interview

Right now, there is a lot of smoke with the sox and either LA or SD. I do not understand the SD aspect. They need pitching and won 70 games last year. They did add Davies, but I doubt that changes much for them. Maybe Richards ends up being an ace again and they patch it together, but I don't see them contending in the ALW with or without Betts. You only go out and get an uber talented, but high priced and rental Betts if you are going to be favorites for the division, and they wont be. But SD did send Urias to Milwaukee, so maybe they're gonna play fast and loose with their prospects? Not sure. Maybe they think that their farm is a limitless place of potential and they'll just get another top talent behind him? Not sure. But that team would be best served promoting from within and then going out on the FA market next year and getting a starter. Heck, I could DEFINITELY see an ERod to SD deal, but not a Mookie to SD deal. LA makes more sense. I get that LA doesn't want to part with Ruiz, May, or Lux. They likely don't have to. They can also mandate that the sox take Pollock, although Pollock's contract isn't a bad one per se, especially if healthy. Maybe the sox can buy a distressed asset for once instead of dealing one off? So be it. But if the sox dealt Betts alone for Pollock, they would have enough capital to require a now SP (like Stripling) and 2 prospects. Maybe they can pry Downs and Gray or Gonsolin and a lesser prospect as Gonsolin is MLB ready? Not sure, but it seems the Dodgers are the best bet

Especially when the ownership group is completely different and the GM is different

Yankee connection too. He was the cape cod league manager of Aaron Judge

S5Dewey, I think you may be right. He is setting a bar right now. He is comfortable entering the season as is. He likely thinks he will be able to offload some pricy pieces in season as teams get desperate.