Rician, thank you for your honesty.
I try to be as objective as one can be, but honestly, we are all terribly biased. But when it comes to looking at the teams, the yankees have a decided edge in all but the rotation.
Lineup-
Has a lineup that will eat more pitches ever been assembled? Johnny Damon had an off yr last yr at .359OBP. But we all know how gritty he is in terms of his ABs and if his history tells us anything, that OBP will rise and the HRs will likely fall. But look at this lineup.
1. Damon
2. Jeter
3. Abreu
4. ARod
5. Giambi
6. Matsui
7. Posada
8. Cano
9. Mientkiewicz/Phelps
The 8 hitter was top 3 in the BA race with a BA of over .340 and he is only 23. Abreu, Giambi, ARod, Jeter, and Matsui all had OBP's over .390 last yr. Cano came in at .365, Posada at .374 and Damon at .359. Hell, Mientkiewicz was at .359 last yr in a half season in Royal blue. This lineup wil absolutely grind pitching. And one thing that people seem to forget, is the top 4 in our lineup will all likely have over 20 steals too. Our lineup will see a record number of pitches and may top 1,000 runs. This lineup, barring any sort of setbacks, will be up there with the best lineups of the last 20 yrs.
the sox lineup looks solid too, but the back end of the lineup looks pretty poor and Lugo at the top is an enigma. Drew is an injury waiting to happen as well (dont forget he failed the physical). The sox lineup will be top 5, maybe even number 2, but it wont be near the run scoring machine the yankees lineup will be.
The other area the yankees will dominate is the bullpen. Mariano is a better closer than Papelbon, but in 2007 they are going to be rather similar IMO. But the rest of the pen is completely different. Aside from Myers, every guy in that pen can throw over 95mph. Proctor led the AL in innings from relief last yr and finished the yr strong. Farns can be absolutely dominant at times as well but has his moments where he is awful. But the real excitement comes from the 3rd and 4th right handed MR options in Bruney and Vizcaino. Burney was sitting at 96-98 last yr and was untouchable. One thing he was able to show in ST was a return to command, but we'll see if it holds up. Then again, Bruney had a sub 1 ERA last yr in 20+ appearances in pinstripes. Vizcaino is another Proctor type. He is good to eat innings out of the pen and he will likely be fighting with Bruney to get non-setup innings.
For the sox, Timlin fell off something horrible last yr and is starting the yr on the DL. Never good. Donnelly is a Vizcaino type IMO who has started the age slide. If he is used in the 50-60IP range, he should be fine. But if he lands the setup role and throws 70-80IP he will break down. The rest are total question marks. Okajima threw well in ST for the most part. I like his stuff, but I a not sure he is anything other than a lefty matchup guy as he relies on that big loopy curve. Lopez is garbage. Romero is garbage. Pineiro looked alright this yr, but the velocity still isnt back and who knows how he will do. The potential is there, but I dont see how the bridge to paps is anything but shaky at this juncture.
The only area where the sox have an advantage right now is in the rotaiton, and that is with Wang out. When Wang is in there, it is pretty close to equal depending on what Igawa can give. If Igawa matches Wake, then I'll take our top 3 over a full season vs yours for this yr. If Igawa cannot match Wake, then you guys will have an inning eating 1-4 that will beat ours. I thought a lot of your advantage in this category left with Paps.
But that is why they play the games, right. If everything breaks right for the yankees, they win upper 90s, maybe crack triple digits. If everything breaks right for the sox, I see mid 90s. And pitting the teams together is not how I come to that conclusion. The yankees and sox play 19 games each against he DRays and Orioles. They play a ton of teams that are shitbums for the most part. And the yankees lineup will churn through their pitching better than the sox will and the yankees relief will hold the leads the offense provides better than the sox's will. But if both teams makes the playoffs, the head to heads will be fascinating and all bets will be off.